Owen Kellington

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 193 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	APIT	23	18	80	3.94	4.03	26.2%	14.5%	—	K 19.4% · BB 17.2% · FIP 5.35
2025	22	MIX2 levels	12	6	33	3.31	3.83	24.2%	9.1%	—	K 20.6% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.58
2026	23	A+PIT	20	0	27	8.00	7.10	23.1%	16.4%	—	K 17.8% · BB 18.9% · FIP 8.08
2027PROJ	24	MLBPIT	15	0	16	5.62	5.62	20.0%	15.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPIT	12	0	13	5.37	5.29	20.9%	13.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJordan Brink (age 23) · Brad Deppermann (age 25) · Will Bednar (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.62

FIP5.62

K%20.0%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	6	2	10	55	15	9	0	33%	1.7	18.5%	20.5%	-1.9%	0.0%	11.70	4.12	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	6	2	10	55	15	9	0	33%	1.7	27.3%	16.4%	10.9%	0.0%	11.70	2.80	—
2023	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	18	80	344	90	50	8	78%	3.5	19.4%	17.2%	2.2%	3.1%	3.94	5.35	—
2023	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	23	18	80	344	90	50	8	78%	3.5	26.2%	14.5%	11.6%	2.3%	3.94	4.03	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	33	132	32	12	4	50%	2.7	20.6%	10.9%	9.6%	5.2%	3.31	5.58	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	6	33	132	32	12	4	50%	2.7	20.6%	10.9%	9.6%	5.2%	3.31	5.58	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	6	33	132	32	12	4	50%	2.7	24.2%	9.1%	15.2%	3.0%	3.31	3.83	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	0	27	134	31	22	8	0%	1.4	17.8%	18.9%	-1.1%	7.5%	8.00	8.08	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	0	27	134	31	22	8	0%	1.4	17.8%	18.9%	-1.1%	7.5%	8.00	8.08	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	0	27	134	31	22	8	0%	1.4	23.1%	16.4%	6.7%	6.0%	8.00	7.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PIT	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	15.1%	4.9%	3.5%	5.62	5.62	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	28	0	30	126	26	17	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	3.4%	5.37	5.29	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	12	0	13	55	11	7	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	3.4%	5.37	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	11	7	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	3.4%	5.37	4.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	109	31	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	3.4%	5.37	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		61	26	150	665	128	110	28	43%	2.5	19.2%	16.5%	2.7%	4.1%	5.05	5.84	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	35	200	889	171	147	37	43%	2.5	19.2%	16.5%	2.7%	4.1%	5.05	5.84	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Owen Kellington (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.62	20.0%	15.1%	3.5%	—	5.29	20.9%	7.6%	30	-0.33	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Will Bednar R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	24	SW	6.40	23.8%	23.1%	4.3%	.240	3.83	25.5%	9.4%	115	-2.57	3.38	202	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	77
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	76
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	76
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	75
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	75
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	74
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	74
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	74
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	74
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	74
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	74
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	74
Matt Merrill R 2022 · 6.06 FIP	24	SW	6.06	20.4%	22.4%	3.4%	.314	3.92	25.4%	7.0%	108	-2.14	3.14	205	73
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	73
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	73