Braedon Karpathios

Braedon KarpathiosOF San Antonio Missions

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 186 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION528 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP330

ISO120

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	86	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	161	116	21	6	2	0	44	50	1	2	3	181	410	267	677	86	318	31	27	336	114	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	61	22	6	2	0	19	16	1	4	0	361	519	525	1.043	164	478	20	23	458	196	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.2
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	125	+16	-0	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	88	80	18	3	2	3	8	28	0	0	1	225	295	425	720	200	306	32	9	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	433	366	93	19	1	12	65	118	2	9	4	254	370	410	779	156	343	27	15	353	125	+13	+0	—	—	+9	2.3
2025	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	69	57	12	5	0	0	11	27	0	1	0	211	338	298	636	88	387	39	16	296	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	192	33	5	197	19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	161	130	18	4	2	0	30	70	1	2	3	138	304	200	504	62	292	43	19	245	52	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	82	68	18	4	2	0	12	23	1	4	0	265	383	382	765	118	376	28	15	333	112	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	455	87	21	1	7	69	194	4	5	3	191	303	288	591	97	301	36	13	272	70	-19	-0	—	—	+12	-0.8
2025	22	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	88	83	17	3	2	2	5	32	0	0	1	205	250	361	611	157	292	36	6	261	63	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	433	384	77	14	1	10	47	161	2	9	4	201	291	320	611	120	311	37	11	269	68	-16	+0	—	—	+9	-0.7
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	167	33	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	198	35	9	3	0	42	94	2	6	3	177	326	253	579	76	333	39	17	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	243	177	43	12	4	0	63	66	2	6	3	243	446	356	802	113	384	27	26	377	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	455	87	21	1	7	69	194	4	5	3	191	303	288	591	97	308	36	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	528	105	19	3	13	59	219	2	10	5	199	282	320	602	121	310	37	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	590	503	123	27	3	15	84	173	2	10	5	245	355	400	754	155	342	29	14	341	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	192	33	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	197	35	9	3	0	42	94	2	6	3	178	326	254	580	76	320	39	17	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	456	87	21	1	7	69	194	4	5	3	191	303	287	590	96	301	36	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	524	105	19	3	13	59	219	2	10	5	200	282	323	604	122	308	37	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	197	35	9	3	0	42	94	2	6	3	178	326	254	580	76	320	39	17	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	456	87	21	1	7	69	194	4	5	3	191	303	287	590	96	301	36	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	524	105	19	3	13	59	219	2	10	5	200	282	323	604	122	308	37	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	SD	—	528	481	110	19	3	13	44	206	0	6	6	229	293	362	655	133	367	39	8	284	78	-14	-1	+0	-3	+11	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	SD	—	510	448	120	22	3	17	60	162	0	6	6	268	354	444	799	176	380	32	12	355	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	SD	—	18	13	2	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	154	353	154	507		286	33	22	256	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	SD	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		333	40	10	283	78	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	SD	—	538	490	111	19	3	13	45	210	0	6	6	227	292	357	649	131	364	39	8	284	78	-14	-1	+0	-3	+12	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	31%	557	501	110	20	3	14	50	198	1	5	4	220	292	355	647	136	327	36	9	291	83	-11	-1	+0	-3	+12	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	45%	588	528	118	21	3	16	53	202	2	6	5	223	297	366	662	142	324	34	9	297	87	-9	-1	+0	-4	+13	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	51%	611	548	123	22	3	17	56	206	2	6	5	224	299	369	667	144	322	34	9	300	89	-8	-1	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	53%	612	548	124	22	3	18	57	205	2	6	5	226	301	376	677	150	321	33	9	301	90	-7	-1	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	53%	612	548	123	22	3	17	57	206	2	6	5	224	300	369	668	144	320	34	9	300	89	-8	-1	-0	-4	+13	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	604	540	120	21	3	17	57	204	2	6	5	222	299	367	665	144	318	34	9	297	87	-9	-1	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	SD	52%	596	533	117	21	2	16	56	203	2	5	4	220	296	356	653	137	316	34	9	294	85	-11	-1	-2	-4	+13	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	31%	173	155	35	6	1	5	16	61	0	2	1	226	298	374	672	148	324	35	9	289	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	45%	262	235	51	9	1	7	24	90	1	3	2	217	292	353	645	136	321	34	9	294	87	-4	-0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	51%	311	279	62	11	1	9	28	105	1	3	3	222	295	366	661	143	319	34	9	297	89	-4	-1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	53%	321	287	64	11	2	9	30	108	1	3	3	223	299	369	668	146	318	34	9	297	90	-4	-1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	53%	327	292	65	11	1	10	31	110	1	3	3	223	299	370	669	147	317	34	9	296	89	-4	-1	-0	-2	+7	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	317	283	62	11	1	9	30	107	1	3	2	219	296	360	657	141	315	34	9	294	87	-5	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	SD	52%	311	278	61	11	1	9	29	106	1	3	2	219	295	363	659	144	313	34	9	291	85	-6	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2022	1809	400	70	8	58	188	687	6	20	16	221	297	365	661	144	318	34	9	294	83	-30	-2	-1	-12	+44	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	130	23	3	19	60	221	2	6	5	223	298	371	669	148	321	34	9	294	83	-10	-1	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5578	4956	1066	198	27	136	558	1942	21	61	44	215	297	348	645	133	320	35	10	290	83	-63	-5	-3	-25	+91	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	124	23	3	16	65	226	2	7	5	215	296	348	644	133	319	35	10	290	83	-10	-1	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3.1	2,028	57	20	224	296	368	-12	+0	1.1	1.1
/162	664	19	6	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braedon Karpathios (OGILVIE)	23	40	50	42	62	213/285/339	126	333	7	4	37%	9%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	44→43	45→50	46→45	46	211/291/336	125	311	13	8	34%	10%	78	-0.3	206/287/361	155	334	19	4	40%	10%	83	+0.1	204/288/352	148	322	17	2	39%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	40→47	47→50	46→45	43	206/271/340	134	280	15	8	31%	7%	72	-0.7	225/282/366	141	294	13	6	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	42→40	44→50	48→45	41	205/265/320	115	290	11	4	32%	7%	65	-1.2	186/248/292	106	267	9	4	32%	7%	53	-2.1	153/220/256	104	215	9	1	32%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→45	44→55	45	197/273/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	65	-1.2	191/295/300	109	252	10	15	26%	12%	73	-0.6	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA	23	38→42	43→55	49→50	42	187/259/305	117	285	10	9	36%	8%	60	-1.6	199/274/355	156	282	17	12	33%	9%	77	-0.3	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→41	46→55	50→45	43	199/269/329	130	288	13	10	34%	8%	70	-0.9	212/283/357	145	286	16	6	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Zach DeLoach 2022 · AA	23	45→51	46→45	45→50	43	222/287/358	136	309	13	7	31%	7%	82	-0.0	225/299/349	124	322	13	8	31%	9%	84	+0.2	223/301/339	116	322	12	10	32%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Niko Kavadas 2022 · A	23	47→44	45→55	49→30	50	224/310/355	131	321	12	7	32%	11%	91	+0.6	202/315/376	174	332	22	3	41%	12%	98	+1.2	181/303/354	173	298	23	1	42%	13%	88	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Byron Wiley 2010 · A	23	45→44	46→45	47→45	47	214/297/351	137	324	12	7	35%	10%	84	+0.2	214/290/337	123	332	13	8	36%	9%	78	-0.3	180/264/286	106	281	17	8	40%	9%	56	-0.6
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA	23	39→42	48→50	45	42	202/268/345	143	270	16	4	31%	7%	73	-0.6	210/265/349	139	269	14	3	27%	7%	72	-0.7	213/261/361	148	264	15	2	25%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Gabe Matthews 2022 · AAA	24	41→42	43→50	50→40	42	199/279/313	114	301	11	7	35%	8%	70	-0.9	197/288/330	133	299	15	4	36%	9%	78	-0.3	184/284/315	132	277	16	2	36%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	40→43	49→55	47→50	42	207/267/358	151	280	17	6	32%	7%	75	-0.5	210/262/376	166	301	21	10	36%	6%	77	-0.3	207/276/382	174	264	24	4	31%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	39→47	44→45	44→45	48	193/275/312	119	272	11	5	31%	10%	68	-1.0	215/291/324	109	288	10	5	27%	9%	76	-0.4	216/293/312	97	283	9	4	25%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→42	46→50	46→50	45	217/283/344	127	282	13	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	214/280/320	106	310	10	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	175/252/223	48	291	3	15	38%	9%	35	-0.7
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A	23	37→43	44→60	48→50	40	188/250/302	114	281	12	5	36%	7%	55	-1.9	213/298/396	183	298	23	9	34%	10%	96	+1.0	211/308/417	206	281	27	10	34%	11%	102	+1.2
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	36→42	48→50	41→40	47	183/275/321	138	287	16	2	39%	11%	70	-0.8	198/295/339	141	302	15	3	36%	12%	82	-0.0	193/300/335	143	284	15	2	34%	13%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→39	48→55	49→45	42	193/265/335	142	287	16	9	37%	8%	70	-0.9	197/270/360	163	275	21	7	35%	9%	77	-0.3	202/279/386	184	273	24	7	34%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	40→46	42→50	50	42	193/272/298	105	296	9	12	35%	8%	63	-1.3	208/283/336	128	298	11	11	32%	8%	76	-0.4	203/278/333	131	282	12	10	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Brandon Wagner 2019 · AA	23	45→49	45	44→30	44	216/296/334	118	326	13	3	35%	9%	80	-0.1	180/264/273	93	301	10	4	40%	8%	55	-1.9	136/227/203	67	241	8	1	43%	8%	24	-2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps