Braedon Karpathios

OF San Antonio Missions
Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 186 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ASD534.252/.392/.3858570—.193/.303/.287
202522AA/A+/INTL2 orgs590.245/.355/.400151075—.211/.296/.343
202623AAA/AASD544.258/.346/.42317676—.224/.288/.352
2027PROJMLE24MLBSD4.202/.275/.3280072-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBSD81.206/.279/.3382176-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBSD136.208/.281/.3444178-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wRC+73
Chase%73
wOBA67
ISO66
BB%64
Speed27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 1.8, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%
CompsBen Rortvedt (age 25) · Roberto Ramos (age 24) · Mickey Hall (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .275 / .328
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%9
BABIP297
ISO127
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2272829
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202219 ROKACL Padres — 2119 4001 250 00 211286368654 158231 2410 295 20 — — — — — —
202320 ALake Elsinore Storm — 161116 21620 44501 23 181410267677 86318 3127 336 55 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL Padres — 8261 22620 19161 40 3615195251.043 164478 2023 458 111 — — — — — —
202421 ALake Elsinore Storm — 534429 1082928 951454 53 252392385777 133355 2718 354 70 — — — — — —
202522 AASan Antonio Missions — 8880 18323 8280 01 225295425720 200306 329 318 68 — — — — — —
202522 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 433366 9319112 651182 94 254370410779 156343 2715 353 75 — — — — — —
202522 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 6957 12500 11270 10 211338298636 88387 3916 296 87 — — — — — —
202623 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 3429 3000 4120 00 103212103316 176 3512 162 -24 — — — — — —
202623 AASan Antonio Missions — 510448 12022317 601620 66 268354444799 176380 3212 355 83 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202219 ROK MLEACL Padres — 2120 3001 170 00 150190300490 150193 335 198 20 — — — — — —
202320 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 161130 18420 30711 23 138304200504 62309 4419 250 55 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Padres — 8268 18420 12231 40 265383382765 118374 2815 332 111 — — — — — —
202421 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 534456 882126 681974 53 193303287590 94309 3713 271 70 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 8882 18323 6320 01 220273415687 195299 367 269 68 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 433383 8014110 481522 94 209300329629 120315 3511 279 75 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 3430 3000 3140 00 100182100282 172 419 133 -24 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 510466 10819313 421980 66 232295369664 137365 398 291 83 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Padres — 2120 3001 170 00 150190300490 150167 335 198 20 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWACL Padres — 2119 4001 250 00 211286368654 158231 2410 295 20 — — — — — —
202320 A MLE2 teams — 243198 35930 42952 63 177326253579 76337 3917 278 74 — — — — — —
202320 A RAW2 teams — 243177 431240 63662 63 243446356802 113384 2726 377 74 — — — — — —
202421 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 534456 882126 681974 53 193303287590 94317 3713 271 70 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 534429 1082928 951454 53 252392385777 133355 2718 354 70 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 590527 10919314 602082 105 207290334624 127310 3510 277 74 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW3 teams — 590503 12327315 841732 105 245355400754 155342 2914 341 74 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 544496 11119313 452120 66 224288353641 129359 398 281 76 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 544477 12322317 641740 66 258346423769 166368 3212 343 76 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Padres — 2120 3001 170 00 150190300490 150193 335 198 20 — — — — — —
202320 A MLE2 teams — 243197 35930 42952 63 178326254580 76331 3917 278 74 — — — — — —
202421 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 534457 882126 681974 53 193303287590 94309 3713 271 70 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 590523 10919314 602082 105 208290337627 128312 3510 277 74 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 544494 11119313 452120 66 225288354643 130353 398 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 534457 882126 681974 53 193303287590 94309 3713 271 70 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 590523 10919314 602082 105 208290337627 128312 3510 277 74 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 544494 11119313 452120 66 225288354643 130353 398 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESD 2% 380342 701229 341341 43 205277332609 127303 359 274 72 -13 -0 +0 -2 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSD 2% 44 0000 010 00 202275328603 126297 250 272 72 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESD 31% 260234 49917 23901 32 209281342623 133302 359 280 76 -8 -0 +0 -2 +6 -0.4
202926 MLB MLESD 45% 305274 581028 271041 32 211284348632 137302 349 283 78 -8 -0 +0 -2 +7 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXSD 31% 8174 15302 7280 11 206279338617 133297 359 278 76 -2 -0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
202926 MLB CTXSD 45% 136123 26414 12460 11 208281344626 136296 349 281 78 -4 -0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 217197 41716 19740 22 208278345623 137297 349 280 74 -6 -0 +0 -1 +5 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12321318 572220 66 208278346624 137297 349 280 74 -18 -1 +0 -4 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 27072394 492941554 28598710 3523 206293325618 119320 3611 277 74 -23 -1 +0 -5 +17 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 11923413 682372 86 207293329621 122323 3610 277 74 -19 -1 +0 -4 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 510 PAwOBA .346 → .291 (−55)K% 31.8% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.76%÷1.000×1.220——38.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.57%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0278.32%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.000×0.920×1.046×1.02726.96%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.840×1.046×1.0276.94%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷1.000×0.940×1.046×1.0271.06%
Home runs /BIP5.94%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0274.88%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .346 → .291; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .380 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 34 PAwOBA .159 → .133 (−26)K% 35.3% → 42.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.000×1.200——42.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0508.52%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05017.23%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .159 → .133; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .176 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 433 PAwOBA .345 → .279 (−66)K% 27.3% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.25%÷0.989×1.270——35.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.01%÷0.984×0.710—×1.01210.96%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.790—×1.0120.37%
Singles /BIP24.60%÷1.013×0.920×1.050×1.01223.75%
Doubles /BIP7.66%÷1.071×0.810×1.050×1.0126.15%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.120×0.850×1.050×1.0120.33%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷0.941×0.800—×1.0124.16%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .345 → .279; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .343 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 88 PAwOBA .309 → .269 (−40)K% 31.8% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.82%÷1.054×1.220——36.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.020×0.700—×1.0426.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷0.964×0.920×1.015×1.04219.41%
Doubles /BIP5.77%÷0.963×0.840×1.015×1.0425.32%
Triples /BIP3.85%÷1.036×0.940×1.015×1.0423.69%
Home runs /BIP5.77%÷0.950×0.800—×1.0425.06%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .309 → .269; ISO .200 → .174; BABIP .306 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 534 PAwOBA .349 → .271 (−78)K% 27.2% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.15%÷1.002×1.360——36.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.79%÷0.972×0.690—×1.01512.82%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.780—×1.0150.59%
Singles /BIP24.30%÷1.036×0.920×1.019×1.01522.31%
Doubles /BIP10.21%÷1.108×0.830×1.019×1.0157.91%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.108×0.910×1.019×1.0150.60%
Home runs /BIP2.82%÷0.953×0.800—×1.0152.40%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .349 → .271; ISO .133 → .101; BABIP .355 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 161 PAwOBA .330 → .250 (−80)K% 31.1% → 44.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.06%÷0.953×1.360——44.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA27.33%÷1.032×0.690—×1.03018.83%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.780—×1.0300.50%
Singles /BIP19.70%÷0.951×0.920×1.027×1.03020.15%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.065×0.830×1.027×1.0307.49%
Triples /BIP3.03%÷0.900×0.910×1.027×1.0303.24%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .330 → .250; ISO .086 → .071; BABIP .318 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Padres · 82 PAwOBA .454 → .332 (−122)K% 19.5% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.51%÷0.983×1.440——28.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.17%÷0.972×0.620—×0.99514.70%
HBP% /PA1.22%—×0.720—×0.9950.87%
Singles /BIP31.11%÷1.006×0.820—×0.99525.22%
Doubles /BIP13.33%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9959.54%
Triples /BIP4.44%÷0.931×0.720—×0.9953.42%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.912×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .454 → .332; ISO .164 → .123; BABIP .478 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Padres · 21 PAwOBA .287 → .198 (−89)K% 23.8% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.81%÷0.984×1.440——34.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷1.015×0.620—×1.0085.86%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷0.965×0.820—×1.00818.34%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.016×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.081×0.780—×1.0085.19%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .287 → .198; ISO .158 → .102; BABIP .231 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .