Braedon KarpathiosOF
San Antonio Missions
Age 23
L/L
5'11" / 186 lbs
AA
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.5 · 2029
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .286 / .316
PA320
HR7
K%36
BB%11
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
50→50
SPD
42→42
FLD
50→50
EYE
60↗65
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.6M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $6M | +$2M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .150 | .190 | .300 | .490 | .150 | .182 | 38 | 5 | .191 | 4 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 243 | 197 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 43 | 93 | 2 | 6 | 3 | .178 | .331 | .254 | .584 | .076 | .333 | 38 | 18 | .276 | 69 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 534 | 455 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 69 | 194 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .193 | .305 | .290 | .595 | .097 | .312 | 36 | 13 | .273 | 67 | -20 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 590 | 527 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 210 | 2 | 10 | 5 | .205 | .289 | .332 | .621 | .127 | .309 | 36 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -21 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 69 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .141 | .203 | .234 | .437 | .094 | .321 | 52 | 7 | .181 | -3 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 251 | 222 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 96 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .189 | .277 | .311 | .588 | .122 | .297 | 38 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | 320 | 286 | 51 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 132 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .178 | .261 | .294 | .555 | .115 | .307 | 41 | 10 | .248 | 48 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | SD | 544 | 477 | 97 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 59 | 160 | 3 | 7 | 3 | .203 | .295 | .342 | .637 | .138 | .270 | 29 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | SD | 574 | 503 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 63 | 165 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .207 | .299 | .352 | .651 | .145 | .273 | 29 | 11 | .294 | 83 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | SD | 591 | 518 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 168 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .210 | .302 | .359 | .661 | .149 | .275 | 28 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | SD | 598 | 523 | 110 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 169 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .210 | .304 | .358 | .661 | .147 | .275 | 28 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | SD | 597 | 522 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 67 | 170 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .209 | .302 | .356 | .659 | .148 | .275 | 28 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +17 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | SD | 590 | 516 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 66 | 170 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .301 | .351 | .652 | .143 | .274 | 29 | 11 | .296 | 85 | -10 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | SD | 581 | 508 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 169 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .300 | .350 | .651 | .144 | .272 | 29 | 11 | .293 | 82 | -12 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +16 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | SD | 568 | 496 | 101 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 168 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .204 | .298 | .343 | .641 | .139 | .271 | 30 | 11 | .289 | 79 | -13 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +16 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | SD | 550 | 481 | 95 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 165 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .198 | .292 | .328 | .620 | .131 | .269 | 30 | 11 | .284 | 76 | -15 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +16 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | SD | 521 | 455 | 89 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 58 | 160 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .291 | .325 | .616 | .130 | .267 | 31 | 11 | .279 | 72 | -17 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -0.9 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | SD | 473 | 416 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 149 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .283 | .312 | .595 | .123 | .265 | 32 | 11 | .272 | 67 | -18 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +13 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7826 | 6836 | 1381 | 269 | 50 | 182 | 885 | 2414 | 42 | 82 | 31 | .202 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .134 | .280 | 31 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -201 | +4 | -17 | -47 | +222 | -4.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 74 | 200 | 3 | 7 | 3 | .201 | .296 | .333 | .629 | .132 | .278 | 31 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -17 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 21 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .286 | .368 | .654 | .158 | .231 | 24 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 161 | 116 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 3 | .181 | .410 | .267 | .677 | .086 | .318 | 31 | 27 | .336 | 115 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 82 | 61 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .361 | .519 | .525 | 1.043 | .164 | .478 | 20 | 23 | .458 | 209 | +10 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 534 | 429 | 108 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 95 | 145 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .252 | .392 | .385 | .777 | .133 | .355 | 27 | 18 | .354 | 129 | +17 | -0 | — | — | +15 | 3.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 88 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .225 | .295 | .425 | .720 | .200 | .306 | 32 | 9 | .318 | 101 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 433 | 366 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 65 | 118 | 2 | 9 | 4 | .254 | .370 | .410 | .779 | .156 | .343 | 27 | 15 | .353 | 129 | +14 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 69 | 57 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .338 | .298 | .636 | .088 | .387 | 39 | 16 | .296 | 85 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Braedon Karpathios (OGILVIE) | 23 | 40 | 50 | 42 | 65 | .193/.286/.316 | .122 | .294 | 7 | 4 | 36% | 11% | 70 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A |
23 | 43→44 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 47 | .209/.291/.330 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.290/.374 | .164 | .332 | 20 | 4 | 39% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .200/.288/.364 | .164 | .316 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Byron Wiley 2010 · A |
23 | 46→45 | 46→45 | 47→45 | 48 | .218/.301/.357 | .139 | .322 | 12 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.294/.342 | .126 | .327 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .184/.271/.291 | .107 | .281 | 17 | 8 | 38% | 10% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA |
23 | 39→40 | 46→55 | 48→45 | 43 | .198/.269/.330 | .132 | .286 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.280/.354 | .145 | .285 | 17 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.284/.367 | .164 | .263 | 21 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA |
23 | 38→41 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.307 | .119 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.271/.352 | .157 | .280 | 18 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.288/.362 | .155 | .320 | 17 | 12 | 37% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
●Niko Kavadas 2022 · A |
23 | 47→43 | 46→55 | 49→30 | 49 | .227/.309/.360 | .134 | .322 | 13 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 89 | +1.0 | .205/.316/.388 | .183 | .335 | 23 | 3 | 41% | 12% | 102 | +1.8 | .182/.303/.362 | .180 | .299 | 25 | 1 | 43% | 13% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA |
23 | 42→41 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 41 | .207/.267/.325 | .119 | .293 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .184/.247/.296 | .112 | .270 | 10 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .152/.219/.263 | .111 | .216 | 11 | 1 | 34% | 7% | 24 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA |
24 | 39→47 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 48 | .193/.275/.309 | .117 | .272 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.294/.333 | .116 | .291 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.297/.324 | .105 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 26% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Zach DeLoach 2022 · AA |
23 | 45→51 | 47→50 | 45→50 | 42 | .222/.286/.361 | .140 | .311 | 14 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .222/.297/.352 | .130 | .319 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .221/.300/.342 | .121 | .320 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA |
23 | 37→42 | 47→50 | 42→40 | 46 | .185/.275/.321 | .137 | .291 | 15 | 3 | 39% | 11% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.295/.349 | .151 | .306 | 17 | 3 | 37% | 12% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.301/.351 | .156 | .289 | 18 | 2 | 35% | 13% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA |
23 | 37→38 | 49→55 | 41→40 | 51 | .193/.292/.341 | .149 | .266 | 18 | 3 | 33% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .198/.296/.368 | .170 | .300 | 21 | 5 | 38% | 11% | 88 | +0.9 | .190/.295/.363 | .173 | .279 | 23 | 4 | 38% | 12% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brandon Wagner 2019 · AA |
23 | 44→46 | 45 | 44→30 | 43 | .214/.292/.334 | .120 | .319 | 13 | 3 | 35% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .181/.265/.280 | .099 | .305 | 11 | 3 | 41% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .135/.228/.207 | .072 | .247 | 9 | 1 | 45% | 8% | 15 | -2.2 |
|
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA |
23 | 39→42 | 48→55 | 45 | 42 | .202/.266/.344 | .142 | .272 | 16 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.265/.352 | .143 | .270 | 15 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.258/.365 | .155 | .264 | 17 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2016 · AA |
24 | 42→47 | 46→55 | 45 | 42 | .211/.269/.345 | .134 | .290 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .233/.293/.391 | .158 | .293 | 17 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2022 · AAA |
24 | 42→41 | 44→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .203/.279/.321 | .119 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.285/.334 | .138 | .297 | 16 | 4 | 37% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .184/.284/.322 | .138 | .277 | 17 | 2 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Richie Robnett 2007 · AA |
23 | 41→43 | 49→50 | 44→45 | 42 | .208/.273/.352 | .144 | .298 | 18 | 7 | 35% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .212/.263/.342 | .130 | .303 | 13 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.254/.330 | .123 | .292 | 11 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕John Whittleman 2010 · AA |
23 | 41→43 | 44→50 | 41→45 | 51 | .202/.286/.321 | .119 | .272 | 11 | 4 | 28% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .187/.269/.322 | .135 | .256 | 15 | 3 | 31% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .170/.259/.320 | .149 | .231 | 18 | 1 | 33% | 11% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
✕Josh Ockimey 2019 · AAA |
23 | 41→46 | 48→50 | 40→30 | 43 | .206/.279/.348 | .141 | .309 | 16 | 3 | 37% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .198/.289/.361 | .163 | .296 | 20 | 3 | 37% | 11% | 82 | +0.5 | .177/.281/.338 | .161 | .253 | 20 | 1 | 36% | 12% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A |
23 | 41→43 | 50→60 | 47→50 | 43 | .211/.272/.363 | .152 | .278 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .212/.264/.386 | .174 | .301 | 22 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .212/.281/.401 | .189 | .265 | 26 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
✕Brett Bonvechio 2007 · AA |
24 | 43→42 | 47→50 | 43→30 | 44 | .208/.287/.345 | .137 | .320 | 14 | 3 | 37% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .216/.284/.362 | .146 | .300 | 16 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .211/.276/.376 | .165 | .265 | 19 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jon Singleton 2014 · AAA |
22 | 44→49 | 47→55 | 46→45 | 46 | .216/.292/.350 | .134 | .314 | 15 | 5 | 34% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.283/.344 | .153 | .263 | 19 | 4 | 33% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 | .205/.306/.376 | .171 | .261 | 23 | 1 | 29% | 13% | 91 | +0.9 |