Braedon Karpathios

Braedon KarpathiosOF San Antonio Missions

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 186 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .270 / .305

PA224

HR5

K%37

BB%10

BABIP292

ISO115

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	167	33	5	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	243	198	34	8	3	0	42	98	2	6	3	172	322	242	565	71	337	40	17	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	243	177	43	12	4	0	63	66	2	6	3	243	446	356	802	113	384	27	26	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	452	84	19	1	8	72	194	4	5	3	186	303	285	588	100	297	36	13	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	590	527	105	18	3	15	60	221	2	10	5	199	284	330	614	131	308	37	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	590	503	123	27	3	15	84	173	2	10	5	245	355	400	754	155	342	29	14	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	SD	—	336	305	61	9	3	7	30	134	0	5	3	200	272	318	590	118	327	40	9	259	56	-17	-0	+0	-2	+10	-0.9
YTD	23	AA	SD	—	336	291	68	11	3	8	44	104	0	5	3	234	334	375	709	141	333	31	13	321	104	+2	-0	+0	-2	+10	0.9
ROS	23	AA	SD	2%	224	200	38	6	1	5	22	83	0	3	2	190	270	305	575	115	304	37	10	269	64	-9	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	SD	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						300	25	0	264	60	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	SD	—	340	309	61	9	3	7	30	135	0	5	3	197	268	314	582	117	321	40	9	259	56	-17	-0	+0	-2	+10	-1.0
TOT	23	AA	SD	—	560	505	99	15	4	12	52	217	0	8	5	196	271	313	584	117	313	39	9	263	59	-26	-0	+0	-3	+16	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	31%	581	517	105	18	3	14	57	206	2	7	4	203	285	331	615	128	303	35	10	280	72	-18	-0	+0	-3	+16	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	SD	45%	605	538	113	19	4	16	60	208	2	7	4	210	292	349	641	139	302	34	10	287	78	-15	-0	+0	-4	+17	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	611	542	116	20	4	17	61	206	3	7	4	214	297	360	657	146	302	34	10	291	81	-13	-0	+0	-4	+17	0.1
2030	27	MLB	SD	53%	612	543	115	20	3	17	61	205	3	8	4	212	295	354	648	142	301	33	10	292	82	-13	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.1
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	612	542	115	20	3	17	62	206	3	7	4	212	297	354	651	142	301	34	10	291	81	-13	-0	-0	-4	+17	-0.0
2032	29	MLB	SD	57%	604	536	111	19	3	16	61	205	2	7	4	207	290	343	634	136	300	34	10	289	79	-14	-0	-1	-4	+17	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	SD	31%	180	159	31	5	1	4	18	64	1	2	1	195	281	314	595	119	299	36	10	274	68	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	SD	45%	270	240	50	8	2	7	27	93	1	3	2	208	291	346	637	137	298	34	10	281	73	-8	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	311	276	58	10	2	8	31	105	1	4	2	210	292	348	640	138	298	34	10	284	76	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	SD	53%	321	285	60	10	2	9	32	108	1	4	2	211	292	354	647	144	297	34	10	285	76	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	327	290	61	10	2	9	33	110	1	4	2	210	293	352	645	141	297	34	10	284	76	-9	+0	-0	-2	+9	-0.2
2032	29	MLB	SD	57%	344	305	63	11	2	9	35	117	1	4	2	207	290	344	635	138	296	34	10	282	74	-10	+0	-1	-2	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1757	1559	323	54	11	46	176	598	6	21	11	207	290	344	635	137	299	34	10	282	74	-51	-0	-1	-11	+50	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	119	20	4	17	65	221	2	8	4	206	289	343	632	137	297	34	10	282	74	-19	+0	-0	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	5237	4615	939	167	28	126	559	1839	23	67	37	203	293	334	626	130	304	35	11	282	74	-154	-1	-1	-31	+148	-3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	117	21	3	16	69	228	3	8	5	204	293	335	628	131	304	35	11	282	74	-19	-0	-0	-4	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	84	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	161	116	21	6	2	0	44	50	1	2	3	181	410	267	677	86	318	31	27	336	115	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	61	22	6	2	0	19	16	1	4	0	361	519	525	1.043	164	478	20	23	458	209	+10	+1	—	—	+2	1.3
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	129	+17	-0	—	—	+15	3.3
2025	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	88	80	18	3	2	3	8	28	0	0	1	225	295	425	720	200	306	32	9	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	433	366	93	19	1	12	65	118	2	9	4	254	370	410	779	156	343	27	15	353	129	+14	+0	—	—	+12	2.7
2025	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	69	57	12	5	0	0	11	27	0	1	0	211	338	298	636	88	387	39	16	296	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,760	48	21	211	290	351	-11	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	18	8	211	290	351	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braedon Karpathios (OGILVIE)	23	40	50	42	65	196/271/313	117	313	12	8	39%	9%	59	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	44	45→50	46→45	46	211/291/336	125	311	13	8	34%	10%	76	+0.0	208/290/368	160	334	19	4	40%	10%	85	+0.7	205/290/360	154	326	18	2	39%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	38→47	44→45	44→45	47	192/275/315	123	272	12	5	32%	10%	64	-0.8	219/294/333	114	295	11	5	28%	9%	76	+0.1	221/296/324	103	291	10	4	26%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	41→40	43→50	48→45	40	201/261/311	110	293	10	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	186/249/296	110	271	10	4	33%	7%	47	-1.9	155/224/269	113	219	10	1	33%	7%	27	-1.2
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→42	47→55	50→45	43	201/270/339	138	290	14	10	34%	8%	68	-0.5	213/282/360	147	291	16	6	31%	8%	79	+0.3	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Zach DeLoach 2022 · AA	23	45→50	47→50	45→50	41	223/282/361	139	311	14	7	32%	7%	79	+0.3	227/300/359	132	324	14	8	32%	9%	85	+0.7	226/303/348	122	325	13	10	32%	9%	82	+0.4
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA	23	37→40	43→55	49→50	41	183/253/301	119	283	10	9	37%	8%	51	-1.7	202/277/372	170	283	20	12	34%	9%	79	+0.3	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Byron Wiley 2010 · A	23	45→44	46→45	47→45	47	214/297/351	137	324	12	7	35%	10%	82	+0.5	216/290/342	126	332	14	8	36%	9%	77	+0.1	188/267/300	112	287	19	8	39%	9%	54	-0.4
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→50	44→55	44	196/272/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	60	-1.0	191/297/306	115	253	10	15	26%	13%	72	-0.2	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA	23	38→41	48→50	45	42	199/264/337	138	265	16	4	31%	7%	66	-0.6	206/261/344	138	266	14	3	27%	6%	65	-0.7	209/256/357	148	263	15	2	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕John Whittleman 2010 · AA	23	41→43	43→50	41→45	50	201/284/318	117	272	10	4	28%	10%	69	-0.4	187/268/327	140	259	15	3	32%	10%	65	-0.7	171/259/324	153	234	18	1	34%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	44→41	46→50	46→50	44	217/282/344	127	285	13	8	28%	7%	75	-0.0	214/278/320	106	313	10	11	32%	8%	66	-0.6	179/251/225	46	304	4	15	39%	9%	26	-0.7
✕Richie Robnett 2007 · AA	23	41→44	49→50	44→45	42	208/274/352	144	298	18	6	35%	8%	73	-0.1	214/264/343	129	305	13	6	32%	6%	66	-0.6	210/256/335	125	295	11	5	32%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	40→44	50→55	47→50	42	208/268/362	154	281	18	6	32%	7%	73	-0.1	208/259/379	171	298	22	10	37%	6%	74	-0.1	207/274/387	180	263	25	4	31%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Dustin Yount 2006 · A	23	44→43	45	45→40	44	213/290/329	116	305	13	6	32%	8%	74	-0.1	211/285/321	110	286	12	5	29%	8%	69	-0.4	216/291/339	123	288	16	2	29%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	44→49	43→45	47→50	48	214/291/327	114	289	10	12	28%	9%	74	-0.1	204/290/309	105	312	10	12	34%	10%	69	-0.4	186/281/277	91	297	9	12	37%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	35→40	50→55	41→40	51	184/288/333	149	262	18	3	35%	12%	76	+0.0	198/298/367	169	310	21	5	39%	11%	88	+0.9	193/298/365	172	291	22	4	38%	12%	86	+0.6
●Niko Kavadas 2022 · A	23	47→43	46→55	49→30	50	226/310/361	136	323	13	7	32%	11%	91	+1.1	200/314/381	181	336	24	3	43%	12%	99	+1.7	178/302/358	180	296	25	1	44%	13%	86	+0.6