Camron Hill

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 LHP 6'6" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	8	7	22	4.15	3.79	24.8%	21.1%	—	K 16.9% · BB 26.9% · FIP 5.08
2026	23	MIX2 levels	40	0	50	4.32	4.08	32.2%	12.8%	—	K 24.8% · BB 13.0% · FIP 5.75
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	19	0	20	5.11	5.11	23.7%	14.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	19	0	20	4.92	4.85	24.0%	12.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBPHI	29	0	30	4.82	4.79	24.2%	12.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Hector Mercado (age 26) · Mitchell Tyranski (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%23.7%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	16.9%	26.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.15	5.08	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	16.9%	26.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.15	5.08	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	24.8%	21.1%	3.7%	0.0%	4.15	3.79	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	50	211	68	27	8	0%	1.2	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	5.6%	4.32	5.75	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	50	211	68	27	8	0%	1.2	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	5.6%	4.32	5.75	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	50	211	68	27	8	0%	1.2	32.2%	12.8%	19.4%	3.8%	4.32	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	12	3	0%	1.1	23.7%	14.4%	9.3%	3.3%	5.11	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	43	0	46	193	46	25	6	0%	1.1	24.0%	12.8%	11.2%	3.2%	4.92	4.85	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	43	0	46	193	47	24	6	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.5%	11.7%	3.2%	4.82	4.79	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	43	0	45	190	46	23	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.4%	11.7%	3.3%	4.80	4.80	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	24.0%	12.8%	11.2%	3.2%	4.92	4.85	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	29	0	30	127	31	16	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.5%	11.7%	3.2%	4.82	4.79	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	33	0	35	148	36	18	5	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.4%	11.7%	3.3%	4.80	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		81	0	85	357	86	45	12	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.5%	11.6%	3.2%	4.83	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	106	28	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.5%	11.6%	3.2%	4.83	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		48	7	72	320	71	57	12	15%	1.5	22.1%	17.7%	4.4%	3.7%	4.27	5.52	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	20	200	893	197	158	33	15%	1.5	22.1%	17.7%	4.4%	3.7%	4.27	5.52	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camron Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	23.7%	14.4%	3.3%	—	4.81	24.1%	11.6%	136	-0.30	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	89
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	87
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	86
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	84
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	84
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	83
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	82
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	82
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	82
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.66	19.4%	5.9%	190	-0.29	1.91	302	81
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	81
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	25.2%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.48	19.9%	5.1%	59	-0.81	3.00	158	81
Bailey Horn L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	24.7%	15.6%	3.1%	.320	4.35	22.0%	11.5%	163	-0.36	3.90	265	81
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	81
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	80
Ben Harris L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	23.8%	19.6%	3.8%	.291	4.74	21.1%	0.9%	30	-0.92	3.06	183	80
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	80
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	79
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	39	24.0%	12.8%	1.26	4.88
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*