Gabriel Rodriguez

P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 172 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ACWS	28	4	67	4.43	4.35	16.4%	13.0%	—	K 12.1% · BB 15.4% · FIP 5.42
2026	22	ACWS	21	13	66	5.07	5.17	19.6%	10.7%	—	K 14.5% · BB 12.6% · FIP 6.52
2027PROJ	23	MLBCWS	59	0	62	6.39	6.39	11.5%	16.4%	-1.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCWS	26	0	27	6.04	5.94	14.2%	14.8%	-0.4
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCWS	40	0	42	5.76	5.66	15.8%	13.9%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control30Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsWirkin Estevez (age 24) · Tyler Brashears (age 23) · Seth McClung (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154146vR 138

ERA6.39

FIP6.39

K%11.5%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%-4.9%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	16	8	43	205	44	31	3	50%	2.7	14.6%	18.9%	-4.3%	1.8%	4.19	5.24	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	16	8	43	205	44	31	3	50%	2.7	21.5%	15.1%	6.3%	1.5%	4.19	4.12	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	13	10	54	230	58	22	3	77%	4.2	17.1%	12.0%	5.2%	1.5%	3.64	3.99	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	13	10	54	230	58	22	3	77%	4.2	25.2%	9.6%	15.7%	1.3%	3.64	2.90	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	9	48	215	61	24	1	64%	3.4	19.3%	14.0%	5.3%	0.3%	3.78	3.40	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	14	9	48	215	61	24	1	64%	3.4	28.4%	11.2%	17.2%	0.5%	3.78	2.32	—
2025	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	12.1%	15.4%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.43	5.42	—
2025	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	12.1%	15.4%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.43	5.42	—
2025	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	16.4%	13.0%	3.3%	1.7%	4.43	4.35	—
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	5.6%	5.07	6.52	—
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	5.6%	5.07	6.52	—
2026	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	19.6%	10.7%	8.9%	4.3%	5.07	5.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CWS	59	0	62	262	30	43	9	0%	1.1	11.5%	16.4%	-4.9%	3.3%	6.39	6.39	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	60	0	63	266	38	39	9	0%	1.1	14.2%	14.8%	-0.6%	3.2%	6.04	5.94	-0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	43	37	9	0%	1.0	15.8%	13.9%	1.9%	3.2%	5.76	5.66	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	26	0	27	114	16	17	4	0%	1.0	14.2%	14.8%	-0.6%	3.2%	6.04	5.94	-0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	40	0	42	177	28	25	6	0%	1.1	15.8%	13.9%	1.9%	3.2%	5.76	5.66	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	293	44	42	9	0%	1.1	15.2%	14.2%	0.9%	3.2%	5.87	5.39	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	127	121	26	0%	1.1	15.2%	14.2%	0.9%	3.2%	5.87	5.39	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		92	44	278	1230	188	178	31	48%	3.0	15.3%	14.4%	0.8%	2.5%	4.28	5.02	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	32	200	886	135	128	22	48%	3.0	15.3%	14.4%	0.8%	2.5%	4.28	5.02	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.39	11.5%	16.4%	3.3%	—	5.80	15.0%	0.7%	127	-0.59	—	—	—
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	85
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	82
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	81
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	81
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	81
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	79
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	79
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	78
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	77
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	77
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	77
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	76
Erling Moreno R 2019 · 6.02 FIP	22	SP-	6.02	7.8%	18.2%	2.3%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	213	76
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	76
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	76
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	75
Erick Reynoso R 2024 · 7.34 FIP	21	SP-	7.34	13.1%	22.6%	4.5%	.226	6.10	15.5%	-7.0%	107	-1.24	6.06	180	75
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	75
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	13.8%	15.0%	1.26	6.06
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*