Alejandro Lóaiza

C FCL Cardinals

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	ROKSTL	78	.103/.208/.221	2	1	-30	—	.057/.143/.129
2025	21	ROKSTL	38	.265/.342/.441	1	0	30	—	.167/.211/.306
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSTL	148	.186/.248/.276	2	1	48	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSTL	31	.191/.253/.285	0	0	52	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 Rk

Speed76

ISO66

Chase%50

Z-Con%50

BB%12

K%7

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsArturo De Freitas (age 23) · Chris Okey (age 23) · James Parker (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .246 / .274

PA41

HR1

K%36

BB%6

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	198	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	80	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	75	196	87	283	12	165	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	200	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	80	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	75	196	87	283	12	154	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125		80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	103	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	238	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	198	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	81	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	74	196	86	282	12	165	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	0%	148	136	25	4	1	2	9	54	2	1	0	186	248	276	524	90	288	36	6	239	48	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	30%	104	95	18	3	1	1	7	37	1	1	0	190	253	287	540	96	289	36	7	245	52	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	30%	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	191	253	285	539	95	291	35	6	245	52	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	278	35	6	245	6	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	105	21	0	0	42	231	0	0	0	173	226	207	433	35	279	36	6	245	6	-37	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	455	411	47	8	2	5	32	213	9	3	2	114	195	180	375	66	214	47	7	177	6	-8	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	67	11	3	7	46	304	13	4	3	114	195	179	374	65	214	47	7	177	6	-38	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Lóaiza (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	184/246/274	89	288	1	0	36%	6%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/242	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	32	-3.6	182/235/282	100	271	11	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	38→28	43→50	50→45	37	187/247/298	110	305	10	7	40%	7%	53	-2.1	188/259/319	131	341	15	7	45%	8%	63	-1.4	151/235/301	150	278	21	4	50%	10%	48	-1.2
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	181/259/285	104	283	9	8	37%	8%	56	-1.9	202/276/296	94	307	7	5	34%	7%	64	-1.3	201/277/286	85	307	6	2	34%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→45	50→30	37	195/244/287	91	291	7	7	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/242/305	120	300	13	2	40%	7%	53	-2.1	151/212/258	107	282	10	0	48%	7%	29	-1.7
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	32→37	41→50	48→30	34	165/219/258	92	266	9	4	40%	6%	33	-3.6	196/234/319	123	268	14	3	32%	4%	53	-2.1	196/236/312	116	270	13	1	32%	4%	50	-1.4
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	39→30	42→45	47→40	35	185/252/284	100	312	10	4	41%	6%	53	-2.1	183/266/296	113	259	14	5	33%	7%	62	-1.4	173/264/288	115	230	16	3	31%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	36	39→40	45→40	38	178/242/260	81	271	6	4	35%	6%	42	-2.9	202/271/288	86	309	6	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/276/284	83	307	6	2	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Matt Whatley 2019 · A	23	37	39→40	46→50	34	178/235/261	83	296	6	6	40%	6%	40	-3.0	187/262/259	72	265	5	15	29%	8%	50	-2.3	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	36→30	41→40	48→45	35	181/230/280	99	273	9	6	36%	5%	42	-2.9	187/236/277	90	296	8	7	38%	5%	44	-2.8	168/214/244	77	270	8	5	40%	5%	26	-1.2
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	47→30	42	182/255/276	95	278	10	6	36%	8%	52	-2.2	198/259/300	102	327	8	6	39%	7%	58	-1.7	181/241/300	119	309	8	3	41%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Mateo Gil 2023 · A	23	39→33	42→45	42→45	35	195/239/298	103	291	9	6	36%	5%	50	-2.3	187/229/302	115	267	12	5	33%	5%	47	-2.5	169/209/285	116	233	12	4	33%	4%	33	-2.1
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	43→45	49→40	37	185/240/292	107	269	11	5	34%	6%	50	-2.3	201/259/326	125	303	11	5	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/248/316	125	290	11	3	36%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	48→30	39	186/244/267	82	276	3	5	32%	6%	45	-2.7	189/248/290	101	279	9	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	174/235/282	108	252	11	1	34%	4%	43	-2.2
✕Edwin Díaz 2018 · A	22	35→33	40→50	46→40	37	175/233/264	89	270	9	3	37%	6%	40	-3.0	181/243/302	121	279	12	4	37%	7%	53	-2.1	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	39→34	42→45	49→40	43	194/265/299	104	264	9	4	29%	7%	61	-1.5	177/248/271	94	297	10	4	41%	7%	48	-2.5	156/231/243	86	268	10	3	43%	7%	35	-2.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/264/283	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	57	-1.8	185/252/285	100	267	8	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Adam Zebrowski 2024 · A	23	35→33	46→50	49→40	41	182/255/306	124	272	14	3	37%	8%	59	-1.6	191/245/316	125	282	16	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3