Jonney Rosario
P
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 22
RHP
5'10" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 13 | 0 | 24 | 122 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 17.4% | 0.4% | 4.1% | 9.62 | 6.05 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 13 | 0 | 24 | 122 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 26.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 9.62 | 5.24 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | 12 | 11 | 52 | 219 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 92% | 4.3 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | 12 | 11 | 52 | 219 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 92% | 4.3 | 24.2% | 6.8% | 17.4% | 1.8% | 4.01 | 2.93 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 13 | 3 | 34 | 151 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 23% | 2.6 | 17.6% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 5.08 | 4.53 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 13 | 3 | 34 | 151 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 23% | 2.6 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 5.08 | 2.98 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.1% | 44.4% | -33.3% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 7.79 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.1% | 44.4% | -33.3% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 13.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | SD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SD | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 78 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 14 | 111 | 501 | 85 | 64 | 14 | 36% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 4.85 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 25 | 200 | 905 | 154 | 116 | 26 | 36% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonney Rosario (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.19 | 24.0% | 15.2% | 21 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 84 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 83 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 82 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 82 |
| Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 82 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 80 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 80 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 80 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 79 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 79 |
| Yon Castro R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.21 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .297 | 4.53 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 167 | +1.32 | 3.21 | 274 | 79 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 79 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 78 |
| Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 78 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 77 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 76 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 76 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 76 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 76 |