Derlin Figueroa — OGILVIE

Derlin Figueroa1B Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 163 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .251 / .316

PA197

HR5

SB5

K%39

BB%7

BABIP289

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	146	16	2	1	0	15	61	2	2	4	110	202	137	339	27	180	37	9	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	134	22	3	2	0	27	40	2	2	4	164	313	216	529	52	224	24	16	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	152	33	3	1	7	11	53	3	8	4	217	283	388	671	171	277	31	7	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	142	42	5	1	9	21	35	3	8	4	296	398	535	933	239	330	21	12	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	157	138	30	9	0	4	18	42	1	6	3	217	312	370	682	152	283	27	11	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	157	128	42	14	0	5	28	29	1	6	3	328	452	555	1.007	227	394	18	18	442	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	453	74	13	2	10	29	165	3	15	7	163	219	267	486	104	226	34	6	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	431	96	16	3	13	49	108	3	15	7	223	305	364	669	142	263	22	10	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	482	438	78	14	3	5	33	142	3	24	4	178	241	258	498	80	246	29	7	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	482	419	99	16	3	6	51	102	3	24	4	236	323	332	655	95	293	21	11	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	296	270	53	14	0	12	22	127	2	10	5	196	262	381	643	185	311	43	7	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.7
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	296	261	71	19	0	17	31	94	2	10	5	272	354	540	894	268	358	32	10	387	154	+18	+0	+0	-5	+8	2.2
ROS	22	A+	KC	0%	197	180	34	8	0	5	14	76	1	5	2	189	251	316	567	128	285	39	7	258	56	-10	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.8
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						281	0	0	250	49	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	KC	—	297	271	53	14	0	12	22	127	2	10	5	196	261	380	641	185	308	43	7	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.7
TOT	22	A+	KC	—	493	450	87	22	0	17	36	203	3	15	7	193	257	355	613	162	301	41	7	270	65	-20	+0	+0	-9	+14	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	35%	543	495	98	21	2	16	40	197	3	12	5	198	262	345	608	147	285	36	7	270	64	-22	+0	+0	-10	+15	-1.6
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	575	523	107	23	2	18	43	201	4	13	5	205	270	359	630	155	287	35	7	278	71	-19	+1	+0	-10	+16	-1.3
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	597	542	113	24	2	19	46	204	4	13	5	208	275	365	641	157	287	34	8	282	74	-17	+1	+0	-11	+17	-1.1
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	608	552	114	24	2	19	47	206	4	13	5	207	274	361	634	154	287	34	8	284	76	-17	+1	+0	-11	+17	-1.0
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	611	554	114	24	2	19	48	207	4	13	5	206	274	359	633	153	287	34	8	284	76	-17	+1	+0	-11	+17	-1.0
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	607	550	113	24	2	19	48	207	4	12	5	205	274	360	634	155	286	34	8	283	75	-17	+0	-1	-11	+17	-1.1
2027	23	MLB	KC	35%	188	171	33	7	1	5	14	68	1	4	2	193	258	333	591	140	281	36	7	261	58	-9	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	266	242	49	10	1	8	20	93	2	6	2	202	269	351	620	149	283	35	8	269	64	-11	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	309	280	57	12	1	9	24	105	2	7	3	204	271	350	621	146	283	34	8	273	67	-11	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.8
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	330	299	61	13	1	10	26	112	2	7	3	204	272	355	627	151	283	34	8	275	69	-12	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.8
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	332	301	61	13	1	10	26	113	2	7	3	203	271	352	623	150	283	34	8	275	69	-12	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.8
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	329	298	61	13	1	10	26	112	2	7	3	205	273	356	629	151	282	34	8	274	68	-12	+0	-0	-6	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1755	1592	322	68	6	52	136	603	11	38	16	202	270	351	620	148	285	34	8	272	66	-67	+1	-0	-31	+50	-4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	119	25	2	19	50	223	4	14	6	202	269	347	616	146	284	34	8	272	66	-25	+0	-0	-12	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	5205	4723	924	189	19	141	392	1761	36	136	54	196	262	333	596	138	274	34	8	265	61	-229	+6	-1	-93	+147	-17.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	116	24	2	18	49	220	4	17	7	197	262	336	598	139	275	34	8	265	61	-29	+1	-0	-12	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	134	22	3	2	0	27	40	2	2	4	164	313	216	529	52	224	24	16	256	54	-9	-1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	142	42	5	1	9	21	35	3	8	4	296	398	535	933	239	330	21	12	403	166	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	157	128	42	14	0	5	28	29	1	6	3	328	452	555	1.007	227	394	18	18	442	197	+17	+0	—	—	+4	2.2
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	431	96	16	3	13	49	108	3	15	7	223	305	364	669	142	263	22	10	298	86	-8	+0	—	—	+14	0.7
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	213	188	37	5	0	2	21	62	1	13	2	197	281	255	536	59	276	29	10	249	49	-12	+2	—	—	+6	-0.5
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	269	231	62	11	3	4	30	40	2	11	2	268	356	394	750	126	305	15	11	333	113	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,754	55	38	206	270	360	-31	-4	-3.4	-1.7
	/162	664	21	14	206	270	360	-11.9	-1.7	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derlin Figueroa (OGILVIE)	22	50	35	50	45	193/257/355	162	301	17	15	41%	7%	65	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	41→45	48→50	43	192/259/288	96	277	9	11	33%	8%	50	-1.8	233/284/346	113	316	11	14	28%	6%	75	-0.0	236/286/349	113	314	11	15	27%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Juan Silva 2013 · A	22	45→46	42→45	48→55	46	215/285/319	105	304	9	13	31%	9%	69	-0.4	223/299/322	99	302	7	24	26%	9%	75	-0.0	220/300/312	92	292	6	29	24%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	45→55	39→40	52→50	44	215/277/301	86	296	5	16	28%	7%	60	-1.0	254/306/336	82	309	4	15	18%	7%	80	+0.4	259/308/332	73	304	4	16	16%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→45	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	43	-2.2	197/248/299	102	283	10	12	32%	6%	47	-1.9	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Daniel Fields 2013 · AA	22	40→50	39→45	48→55	39	191/252/273	83	293	7	13	35%	7%	43	-2.2	217/271/327	110	313	9	17	32%	6%	65	-0.7	212/269/330	118	305	10	18	32%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Tristan Peters 2022 · A	22	45→53	40→45	54→50	42	209/275/304	95	319	7	13	35%	8%	60	-1.0	224/291/345	121	286	9	13	23%	8%	78	+0.2	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Drew Vettleson 2013 · A	22	46→49	42→45	50	42	222/274/330	107	305	10	13	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/257/321	107	302	9	8	30%	5%	56	-1.3	203/243/309	106	287	8	7	31%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Aneury Tavárez 2014 · A	22	43→53	40→45	50	31	204/237/296	92	316	7	16	37%	3%	41	-2.3	219/256/335	116	315	10	16	32%	4%	59	-1.1	251/290/369	118	325	8	17	25%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→45	50	42	199/277/290	90	314	7	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	204/283/328	124	302	11	12	34%	9%	71	-0.3	200/281/332	132	290	12	12	33%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→53	42→45	52→50	39	218/266/328	110	281	9	9	26%	4%	63	-0.9	235/285/346	111	289	11	10	22%	5%	76	+0.0	229/281/334	105	279	12	12	22%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2023 · A	22	43→52	42→50	47→50	39	208/264/318	110	305	9	7	33%	6%	59	-1.1	219/270/336	117	310	10	9	31%	6%	66	-0.6	219/274/338	119	308	10	8	31%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Jeisson Rosario 2022 · AA	22	43→49	38→45	46→50	45	201/276/277	76	302	6	11	33%	9%	54	-1.4	207/292/317	110	301	10	12	32%	10%	72	-0.2	197/291/307	109	288	11	12	32%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	37→47	41→45	50→45	49	186/264/279	93	248	9	7	28%	10%	50	-1.7	199/277/309	110	280	10	5	30%	9%	63	-0.8	211/294/337	126	281	14	4	28%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Slade Heathcott 2013 · A	22	47→43	41→45	51→50	37	219/274/323	104	339	8	17	36%	6%	65	-0.7	220/264/324	104	317	9	14	32%	5%	60	-1.0	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	63	-0.8	224/271/333	109	314	11	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	42→49	41→50	48→50	40	206/271/300	94	280	10	13	29%	6%	59	-1.1	218/277/357	139	304	13	11	32%	5%	76	+0.0	212/271/361	149	298	14	9	32%	5%	71	-0.2