Derlin Figueroa — OGILVIE

Derlin Figueroa1B Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 163 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION452 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP258

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	134	22	3	2	0	27	40	2	2	4	164	313	216	529	52	224	24	16	256	59	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	142	42	5	1	9	21	35	3	8	4	296	398	535	933	239	330	21	12	403	159	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	157	128	42	14	0	5	28	29	1	6	3	328	452	555	1.007	227	394	18	18	442	186	+16	+0	—	—	+3	2.0
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	431	96	16	3	13	49	108	3	15	7	223	305	364	669	142	263	22	10	298	88	-7	+0	—	—	+11	0.4
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	213	188	37	5	0	2	21	62	1	13	2	197	281	255	536	59	276	29	10	249	55	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	269	231	62	11	3	4	30	40	2	11	2	268	356	394	750	126	305	15	11	333	111	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	146	16	2	1	0	15	59	2	2	4	110	202	137	339	27	174	35	9	172	3	-19	-1	—	—	+4	-1.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	151	33	3	1	7	12	52	3	8	4	219	289	391	680	172	263	31	7	289	82	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	157	138	30	9	0	4	18	42	1	6	3	217	312	370	682	152	285	27	11	300	89	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	452	77	13	2	11	30	159	3	15	7	170	227	281	508	111	224	32	6	222	36	-37	+0	—	—	+11	-2.7
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	213	194	30	4	0	2	15	83	1	13	2	155	219	206	425	52	239	39	7	189	14	-22	+2	—	—	+5	-1.6
2025	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	269	245	51	10	2	3	17	58	2	11	2	208	265	302	567	94	251	22	6	256	59	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	146	16	2	1	0	15	59	2	2	4	110	202	137	339	27	176	35	9	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	134	22	3	2	0	27	40	2	2	4	164	313	216	529	52	224	24	16	256	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	151	33	3	1	7	12	52	3	8	4	219	289	391	680	172	277	31	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	142	42	5	1	9	21	35	3	8	4	296	398	535	933	239	330	21	12	403	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	157	138	30	9	0	4	18	42	1	6	3	217	312	370	682	152	283	27	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	157	128	42	14	0	5	28	29	1	6	3	328	452	555	1.007	227	394	18	18	442	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	452	77	13	2	11	30	159	3	15	7	170	227	281	508	111	230	32	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	431	96	16	3	13	49	108	3	15	7	223	305	364	669	142	263	22	10	298	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	482	438	80	13	2	5	33	141	3	24	4	183	245	256	500	73	252	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	482	419	99	16	3	6	51	102	3	24	4	236	323	332	655	95	293	21	11	296	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	167	148	16	2	1	0	15	59	2	2	4	108	202	135	338	27	174	35	9	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	169	152	33	3	1	7	12	52	3	8	4	217	289	388	677	171	263	31	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	157	137	30	9	0	4	18	42	1	6	3	219	312	372	684	153	285	27	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	456	77	13	2	11	30	159	3	15	7	169	227	279	505	110	224	32	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	482	443	80	13	2	5	33	141	3	24	4	181	245	253	498	72	246	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	157	137	30	9	0	4	18	42	1	6	3	219	312	372	684	153	285	27	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	492	456	77	13	2	11	30	159	3	15	7	169	227	279	505	110	224	32	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	482	443	80	13	2	5	33	141	3	24	4	181	245	253	498	72	246	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	KC	—	452	417	76	17	1	19	29	182	2	18	7	182	239	365	603	182	260	40	6	262	63	-20	+1	+0	-8	+10	-1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	KC	—	452	404	102	24	2	26	42	135	2	18	7	252	326	515	841	262	309	30	9	363	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	33	11	260	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	KC	—	461	425	77	17	1	19	30	185	2	18	7	181	239	360	599	179	259	40	7	262	63	-20	+1	+0	-8	+10	-1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	35%	531	487	97	20	2	18	36	181	3	13	5	199	259	359	618	160	267	34	7	272	70	-19	+1	+0	-9	+12	-1.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	46%	574	525	107	22	2	20	41	188	3	14	5	204	265	368	633	164	270	33	7	280	76	-17	+1	+0	-10	+12	-1.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	52%	597	545	112	23	2	21	43	192	4	15	5	206	269	371	639	165	271	32	7	285	79	-15	+1	+0	-11	+13	-1.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	54%	608	554	115	23	2	22	45	194	4	15	5	208	272	375	647	168	271	32	7	287	80	-14	+1	+0	-11	+13	-1.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	35%	184	168	33	7	1	6	13	63	1	5	2	196	258	357	615	161	263	34	7	261	70	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	46%	265	242	49	10	1	9	19	87	2	7	2	202	266	364	630	161	266	33	7	269	76	-8	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	52%	309	282	56	11	1	10	22	99	2	8	3	199	261	351	613	152	267	32	7	273	79	-8	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.6
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	54%	330	301	61	12	1	11	24	105	2	8	3	203	266	359	625	156	268	32	7	275	80	-8	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1088	993	199	40	4	36	78	354	7	28	10	200	263	358	621	157	268	33	7	271	64	-30	+2	+0	-19	+24	-2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	119	24	2	22	47	211	4	17	6	201	264	359	623	159	266	32	7	271	64	-18	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3786	3444	668	128	14	108	274	1211	26	112	42	194	259	333	592	139	260	32	7	263	64	-65	+3	+0	-41	+50	-5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	115	22	2	19	47	208	4	19	7	195	258	335	593	140	260	32	7	263	64	-18	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	2.7	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
/162	664	24	1	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.6	1,089	38	27	205	264	371	-19	-3	-1.7	-0.9
/162	664	23	16	-11.9	-1.8	-1.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derlin Figueroa (OGILVIE)	22	50	35	50	45	187/243/336	149	262	10	10	36%	6%	62	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Montgomery 2017 · A	22	46→55	43→40	50	44	225/286/341	115	295	10	12	26%	7%	78	-0.3	230/296/326	96	310	7	13	26%	8%	77	-0.3	238/308/327	90	320	6	14	25%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	42→45	44→45	47→55	43	209/267/331	122	277	11	11	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/262/326	114	280	12	10	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/285/332	119	269	12	19	24%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Drew Vettleson 2013 · A	22	45→50	43→45	49→50	42	223/273/335	113	301	11	13	29%	6%	71	-0.8	216/259/321	105	298	8	8	29%	5%	62	-1.4	205/246/307	101	284	7	7	29%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	46→56	38→40	51→55	44	218/277/303	85	299	5	16	28%	7%	65	-1.2	249/302/325	76	299	4	15	17%	7%	78	-0.3	250/303/320	70	288	5	18	14%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→53	42→45	52→50	39	217/265/326	109	278	9	9	25%	4%	66	-1.1	234/285/342	108	286	11	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	228/281/329	100	277	11	12	21%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	41→45	48→50	43	192/259/288	96	277	9	11	33%	8%	55	-1.9	233/284/344	111	314	10	14	28%	6%	77	-0.3	237/287/345	108	313	10	15	26%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Kyle Waldrop 2014 · A	22	43→53	46→50	49→50	37	217/251/349	132	280	13	11	28%	4%	66	-1.1	233/266/345	112	306	10	8	26%	4%	70	-0.8	236/268/336	100	306	8	6	25%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Luis Barrera 2018 · A	22	44→54	40→45	52→50	38	214/249/308	94	286	7	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	240/281/346	106	316	5	16	24%	5%	76	-0.4	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Casey Craig 2007 · A	22	46→51	45	46→50	43	231/281/354	123	292	13	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	238/293/347	109	300	10	15	23%	7%	81	-0.1	241/300/346	104	301	9	18	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Silva 2013 · A	22	45→46	42→45	48→55	46	215/287/319	103	310	9	13	32%	9%	73	-0.6	226/303/327	101	304	8	24	26%	10%	80	-0.1	224/305/318	94	292	6	29	23%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2018 · A	22	45→53	43→40	49→40	43	218/280/340	122	279	9	6	24%	6%	75	-0.5	226/292/317	91	286	8	4	23%	7%	74	-0.5	224/291/311	88	289	9	4	24%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Samir Dueñez 2018 · AA	22	45→50	43→45	51→50	41	224/260/331	106	272	10	11	22%	4%	65	-1.2	206/249/314	108	266	11	6	26%	5%	57	-1.8	187/234/292	105	245	12	3	29%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→47	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	199/278/306	107	280	9	5	30%	9%	67	-1.1	208/291/327	119	275	12	4	27%	10%	76	-0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2009 · AA	22	48→55	42→45	52→50	44	231/296/338	107	305	9	16	26%	7%	81	-0.1	230/294/329	99	302	8	12	25%	7%	78	-0.3	222/289/314	92	291	7	10	25%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Forrest Wall 2018 · A	22	45→55	40→45	50→70	43	220/271/313	93	286	8	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	216/276/323	107	300	9	19	29%	7%	70	-0.9	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2013 · A	22	43→53	44→40	48→55	41	216/253/331	115	261	12	12	22%	4%	62	-1.4	231/302/324	93	271	7	19	16%	9%	80	-0.2	238/316/322	84	280	6	23	16%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2023 · A	22	44→52	42→45	46→50	40	209/266/317	108	310	9	7	34%	7%	65	-1.2	219/270/331	112	313	9	9	31%	6%	70	-0.9	215/269/320	106	306	9	7	31%	6%	64	-0.8
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2012 · A	22	47→53	39→45	52→55	44	223/282/309	86	298	6	16	26%	6%	68	-1.0	241/288/334	93	322	6	18	26%	5%	76	-0.4	250/289/355	105	331	8	26	26%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→42	46→50	46→50	45	217/283/344	127	282	13	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	214/280/320	106	310	10	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	175/252/223	48	291	3	15	38%	9%	35	-0.7
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	45→51	42→45	52→50	41	221/259/324	103	273	10	9	23%	5%	63	-1.4	208/263/312	104	263	10	10	24%	7%	62	-1.4	213/280/338	125	272	13	7	26%	8%	73	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps