Caeden TrenkleOF
Midland RockHounds
Age 25
L/L
5'9" / 179 lbs
AA
HR -6%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .238 / .263
PA191
HR3
K%39
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
44↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-17M | $-46M | -$28M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$28M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$28M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 130 | 118 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 3 | .263 | .315 | .339 | .654 | .076 | .380 | 31 | 6 | .286 | 77 | -3 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | 3 teams | 340 | 305 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 117 | 10 | 10 | 3 | .207 | .278 | .298 | .576 | .092 | .305 | 34 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 267 | 245 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 109 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .139 | .198 | .212 | .410 | .073 | .228 | 41 | 7 | .186 | 1 | -30 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 199 | 182 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 1 | 3 | 3 | .159 | .215 | .198 | .413 | .038 | .292 | 44 | 6 | .187 | 1 | -22 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 191 | 175 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .183 | .243 | .274 | .518 | .091 | .285 | 39 | 7 | .231 | 35 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | OAK | 271 | 248 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 101 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .185 | .249 | .282 | .531 | .097 | .287 | 37 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | OAK | 320 | 291 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .189 | .256 | .289 | .544 | .100 | .288 | 36 | 7 | .249 | 49 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | OAK | 352 | 320 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 125 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .194 | .261 | .303 | .564 | .109 | .288 | 36 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -19 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | OAK | 363 | 330 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 129 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .194 | .261 | .303 | .564 | .109 | .287 | 36 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -20 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +10 | -1.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | OAK | 371 | 337 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 133 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .190 | .258 | .291 | .549 | .101 | .285 | 36 | 8 | .249 | 48 | -22 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -1.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | OAK | 362 | 329 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .185 | .253 | .277 | .530 | .091 | .284 | 36 | 7 | .245 | 46 | -22 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -1.7 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | OAK | 347 | 315 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 128 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .181 | .250 | .273 | .523 | .092 | .282 | 37 | 7 | .240 | 42 | -23 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.9 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 319 | 290 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 120 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .179 | .247 | .266 | .512 | .086 | .280 | 38 | 8 | .235 | 38 | -22 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.9 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 277 | 253 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 106 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .174 | .240 | .257 | .497 | .083 | .279 | 38 | 7 | .229 | 33 | -21 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -2.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4109 | 3738 | 694 | 106 | 17 | 67 | 291 | 1517 | 37 | 59 | 20 | .186 | .251 | .277 | .528 | .091 | .287 | 37 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -272 | +4 | -20 | -25 | +116 | -20.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 111 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 240 | 6 | 9 | 3 | .188 | .253 | .283 | .536 | .095 | .290 | 37 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -43 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -3.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 130 | 115 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 3 | .304 | .370 | .409 | .779 | .104 | .400 | 24 | 8 | .343 | 120 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 186 | 166 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .247 | .308 | .331 | .639 | .084 | .348 | 28 | 7 | .289 | 79 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 135 | 113 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .292 | .379 | .504 | .883 | .212 | .342 | 23 | 10 | .379 | 148 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .182 | .500 | .182 | .682 | .000 | .250 | 21 | 16 | .360 | 134 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 267 | 236 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 82 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .195 | .270 | .301 | .571 | .106 | .275 | 31 | 9 | .257 | 55 | -14 | +1 | — | — | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 199 | 176 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 66 | 1 | 3 | 3 | .199 | .277 | .256 | .533 | .057 | .306 | 33 | 9 | .245 | 45 | -12 | -1 | — | — | +6 | -0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Caeden Trenkle (OGILVIE) | 25 | 25 | 25 | 45 | 40 | .177/.238/.263 | .085 | .285 | 3 | 3 | 39% | 7% | 35 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→31 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 39 | .185/.242/.267 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 37 | -2.7 | .221/.294/.329 | .108 | .299 | 11 | 19 | 28% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .239/.321/.353 | .114 | .297 | 13 | 25 | 23% | 9% | 89 | +0.6 |
|
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 38→40 | 43→45 | 39 | .187/.251/.262 | .075 | .298 | 5 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .178/.264/.258 | .080 | .387 | 6 | 11 | 50% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .048/.185/.080 | .032 | .161 | 3 | 14 | 63% | 11% | -29 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→36 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 41 | .194/.264/.293 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.261/.298 | .102 | .295 | 10 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.262/.311 | .111 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→36 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .191/.255/.290 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .203/.269/.317 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.313 | .134 | .265 | 12 | 20 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A |
25 | 36 | 39→40 | 46→40 | 41 | .178/.244/.257 | .079 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 36 | -2.7 | .197/.261/.302 | .105 | .337 | 11 | 6 | 41% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .162/.239/.276 | .114 | .269 | 14 | 0 | 42% | 7% | 37 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A |
25 | 36→37 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .180/.250/.300 | .120 | .295 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .191/.245/.294 | .103 | .301 | 10 | 12 | 38% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .184/.232/.281 | .097 | .278 | 11 | 16 | 37% | 5% | 33 | -1.8 |
|
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A |
24 | 40→36 | 39→40 | 50 | 34 | .190/.239/.277 | .088 | .307 | 6 | 10 | 39% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .202/.251/.294 | .092 | .326 | 8 | 6 | 38% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .218/.269/.313 | .095 | .333 | 8 | 3 | 35% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Drew Mendoza 2022 · AA |
24 | 38→31 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 41 | .186/.265/.281 | .095 | .297 | 10 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .180/.240/.268 | .088 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 37 | -2.7 | .152/.203/.224 | .072 | .246 | 8 | 2 | 40% | 6% | 7 | -3.1 |
|
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA |
25 | 35→29 | 39→45 | 46→40 | 35 | .177/.223/.265 | .088 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .194/.242/.308 | .114 | .294 | 12 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .190/.238/.309 | .119 | .280 | 15 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA |
25 | 39 | 44→45 | 45→50 | 44 | .194/.280/.302 | .108 | .290 | 12 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .186/.282/.297 | .111 | .284 | 12 | 10 | 36% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .157/.270/.260 | .103 | .237 | 12 | 12 | 35% | 11% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕J.D. Roberts 2007 · A |
25 | 38 | 43→45 | 49→40 | 35 | .184/.240/.289 | .105 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.232/.256 | .072 | .302 | 6 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | .162/.204/.205 | .043 | .261 | 4 | 3 | 38% | 4% | 1 | -2.3 |
|
✕Brady Lindsly 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 42→40 | 49→40 | 37 | .189/.248/.288 | .099 | .300 | 11 | 5 | 39% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .195/.255/.290 | .095 | .302 | 10 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.251/.272 | .083 | .287 | 9 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -1.0 |
|
✕Steve Bumbry 2013 · AA |
25 | 41→43 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 39 | .194/.261/.306 | .112 | .314 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.267/.326 | .126 | .325 | 13 | 9 | 39% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .172/.245/.314 | .142 | .269 | 20 | 4 | 42% | 8% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA |
25 | 38 | 37→40 | 50 | 35 | .177/.235/.246 | .069 | .305 | 4 | 12 | 41% | 6% | 28 | -3.2 | .198/.252/.287 | .089 | .299 | 8 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .187/.242/.269 | .082 | .278 | 9 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 35 | -1.1 |
|
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA |
25 | 39 | 41→40 | 45 | 36 | .193/.251/.293 | .100 | .287 | 9 | 5 | 35% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .216/.266/.305 | .089 | .313 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .221/.270/.295 | .074 | .319 | 5 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Parker Chavers 2023 · A |
25 | 43 | 41→40 | 51→55 | 34 | .206/.245/.307 | .101 | .303 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .204/.267/.305 | .101 | .291 | 10 | 20 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .194/.270/.280 | .086 | .271 | 8 | 25 | 29% | 9% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |