Caeden Trenkle — OGILVIE

Caeden TrenkleOF Midland RockHounds

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 179 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .251 / .269

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP281

ISO71

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	130	115	35	3	3	1	11	31	1	5	3	304	370	409	779	104	400	24	8	343	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	186	166	41	6	1	2	13	53	3	2	0	247	308	331	639	84	348	28	7	289	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	135	113	33	4	1	6	14	31	3	6	2	292	379	504	883	212	342	23	10	379	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	11	2	0	0	0	3	4	4	2	1	182	500	182	682		250	21	16	360	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	267	236	46	11	1	4	25	82	0	3	0	195	270	301	571	106	275	31	9	257	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	199	176	35	3	2	1	18	66	1	3	3	199	277	256	533	57	306	33	9	245	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	130	118	33	2	3	1	8	40	1	5	3	280	331	373	704	93	383	31	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	186	173	37	5	1	2	9	66	3	2	0	214	265	289	554	75	319	35	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	135	119	28	3	1	4	10	42	3	6	2	235	311	378	689	143	302	31	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	12	2	0	0	0	2	6	4	2	1	167	444	167	611		210	32	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	267	245	35	7	1	3	18	104	0	3	0	143	202	216	418	73	221	39	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	199	182	31	2	2	1	12	82	1	3	3	170	226	220	445	49	282	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	130	118	33	2	3	1	8	40	1	5	3	280	331	373	704	93	405	31	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	130	115	35	3	3	1	11	31	1	5	3	304	370	409	779	104	400	24	8	343	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	340	304	67	8	2	6	21	113	10	10	3	220	293	319	612	99	321	33	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	340	290	76	10	2	8	30	88	10	10	3	262	346	393	739	131	342	26	9	328	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	267	245	35	7	1	3	18	104	0	3	0	143	202	216	418	73	227	39	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	267	236	46	11	1	4	25	82	0	3	0	195	270	301	571	106	275	31	9	257	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	199	182	31	2	2	1	12	82	1	3	3	170	226	220	445	49	297	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	199	176	35	3	2	1	18	66	1	3	3	199	277	256	533	57	306	33	9	245	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	130	120	33	2	3	1	8	40	1	5	3	275	331	367	697	92	383	31	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	340	306	67	8	2	6	21	113	10	10	3	219	293	317	610	98	306	33	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	267	247	35	7	1	3	18	104	0	3	0	142	202	215	416	73	221	39	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	199	184	31	2	2	1	12	82	1	3	3	168	226	217	443	49	282	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	267	247	35	7	1	3	18	104	0	3	0	142	202	215	416	73	221	39	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	199	184	31	2	2	1	12	82	1	3	3	168	226	217	443	49	282	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	OAK	2%	249	229	43	8	1	2	16	78	2	4	1	187	245	259	504	72	272	31	6	231	42	-17	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	OAK	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	193	251	269	520	76	281	33	0	237	42	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	27%	220	203	38	7	1	2	14	68	1	3	1	189	248	264	512	75	272	31	6	234	45	-15	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	27%	59	55	10	2	0	0	4	18	0	1	0	195	253	274	528	79	281	31	7	240	45	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	59	55	10	2	0	0	4	18	0	1	0	182	237	218	455	36	270	31	7	240	44	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	110	22	0	0	44	198	0	11	0	182	237	218	455	36	270	30	7	240	44	-43	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1325	1207	233	32	10	14	84	460	14	27	11	193	254	271	525	78	293	35	6	233	44	-26	+0	+0	-2	+8	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	115	16	5	7	41	226	7	13	5	194	255	274	528	79	295	35	6	233	44	-44	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caeden Trenkle (OGILVIE)	26	25	25	45	40	186/243/257	71	272	1	3	31%	6%	42	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40	38→40	44→45	39	188/252/264	76	300	5	7	37%	7%	47	-2.5	180/265/262	82	384	6	11	50%	8%	53	-2.1	48/181/78	30	157	3	14	62%	10%	-16	-1.3
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Jordan Procyshen 2019 · AA	26	39	38→40	38→40	40	190/250/268	78	279	6	4	33%	6%	47	-2.5	197/253/328	131	249	15	5	27%	6%	63	-1.4	166/233/306	140	198	19	4	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Daniel Lockhart 2019 · AA	26	39→40	40	52→50	42	193/243/287	94	251	7	10	26%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/306	102	266	9	9	26%	6%	59	-1.7	186/236/274	88	233	9	5	24%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Drew Hedman 2012 · A	26	41	39→40	45	38	198/254/283	85	289	7	7	32%	6%	52	-2.2	196/264/311	115	285	11	10	33%	7%	63	-1.4	156/236/285	129	221	14	12	35%	8%	47	-1.3
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	179/267/255	76	302	6	11	39%	7%	53	-2.1	178/274/281	103	290	9	15	38%	8%	61	-1.5	153/258/253	100	252	9	18	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Galli Cribbs Jr. 2019 · AA	26	38	36→40	48→50	35	176/245/247	71	301	3	9	40%	6%	41	-3.0	178/238/259	81	309	5	8	41%	6%	41	-3.0	149/200/218	68	271	3	6	43%	5%	14	-1.9
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	46	195/259/252	57	270	3	8	28%	8%	47	-2.6	196/260/265	69	300	4	16	33%	8%	50	-2.3	173/240/217	44	272	2	24	34%	8%	30	-1.9
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	41→40	49→45	46	203/262/297	94	259	8	10	25%	7%	58	-1.7	205/253/295	90	286	8	7	29%	6%	54	-2.0	167/207/218	52	233	5	0	30%	5%	17	-1.3
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	41	190/249/248	58	270	3	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	210/277/282	72	282	5	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→37	38→40	45→50	44	193/265/267	75	277	6	14	31%	8%	53	-2.1	192/252/281	89	266	10	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	51→50	46	204/264/258	53	274	3	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	231/273/296	65	327	3	15	28%	5%	61	-1.5	244/278/304	60	346	2	17	29%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	41→37	39→40	47→50	44	198/259/282	84	263	6	10	26%	7%	54	-2.0	205/267/295	90	271	8	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	169/239/225	56	218	6	12	24%	6%	32	-1.0