Yilber Díaz
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 102 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145135vR 126
ERA5.23
FIP5.60
K%23.3%
BB%19.2%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP102
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 171 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB (57%)
CU (8%)
SL-1.1 (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 19 | 1 | 26 | 121 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 5% | 1.4 | 9.6% | 18.6% | -9.0% | 1.3% | 5.13 | 5.38 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 19 | 1 | 26 | 121 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 5% | 1.4 | 14.0% | 14.9% | -0.8% | 0.8% | 5.13 | 4.35 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 78 | 329 | 99 | 38 | 5 | 89% | 4.1 | 22.5% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 4.06 | 3.98 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 78 | 329 | 99 | 38 | 5 | 89% | 4.1 | 30.1% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 1.5% | 4.06 | 2.86 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 103 | 440 | 140 | 58 | 14 | 100% | 4.1 | 24.6% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 4.82 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 103 | 440 | 140 | 58 | 14 | 100% | 4.1 | 31.8% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 3.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 133 | 555 | 159 | 59 | 12 | 82% | 4.7 | 24.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 3.80 | 3.49 | +3.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 133 | 555 | 159 | 59 | 12 | 82% | 4.7 | 28.6% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 2.2% | 3.80 | 3.21 | +3.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 36 | 8 | 60 | 315 | 71 | 76 | 10 | 22% | 1.7 | 19.2% | 26.4% | -7.2% | 4.2% | 10.20 | 7.12 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 36 | 8 | 60 | 315 | 71 | 76 | 10 | 22% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 24.1% | -1.6% | 3.2% | 10.20 | 6.70 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58 | 0 | 69 | 332 | 92 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 5.45 | 3.96 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 97 | 0 | 102 | 430 | 100 | 83 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 19.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.60 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 97 | 0 | 102 | 431 | 100 | 83 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 19.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.60 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 171 | 762 | 192 | 129 | 20 | — | — | 25.2% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 5.32 | 4.94 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 103 | 433 | 192 | 129 | 20 | — | — | 44.4% | 29.7% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 8.88 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 145 | 0 | 153 | 645 | 154 | 116 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 18.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.40 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 143 | 0 | 150 | 635 | 150 | 110 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 17.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 139 | 0 | 146 | 616 | 145 | 105 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.32 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 138 | 0 | 145 | 612 | 146 | 110 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 18.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.40 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 136 | 0 | 143 | 604 | 143 | 105 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 17.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 132 | 0 | 139 | 587 | 138 | 100 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.32 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 512 | 4 | 560 | 2375 | 546 | 413 | 72 | 1% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.03 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 1 | 200 | 848 | 195 | 147 | 26 | 1% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 185 | 74 | 469 | 2092 | 475 | 328 | 57 | 40% | 2.5 | 22.7% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.67 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 32 | 200 | 893 | 203 | 140 | 24 | 40% | 2.5 | 22.7% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yilber Díaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.60 | 23.3% | 19.2% | 3.0% | — | 5.38 | 23.7% | 6.2% | 449 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Brink R 2024 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 77 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 76 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 75 |
| Tyler Davis R 2026 · 6.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.67 | 21.0% | 18.8% | 5.4% | .317 | 3.54 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 80 | -3.13 | 3.34 | 106 | 74 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 73 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 73 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 73 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .403 | 4.00 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.12 | 2.72 | 153 | 72 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 71 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 71 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 71 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 71 |
| Drake Fellows R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.70 | 17.1% | 20.4% | 2.7% | .367 | 4.86 | 16.3% | 5.6% | 215 | -0.84 | 4.58 | 226 | 70 |
| Aaron Holiday R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 2.4% | .188 | 8.48 | 13.8% | -8.8% | 10 | +3.71 | 4.77 | 126 | 70 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.87 | 17.6% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 118 | 69 |
| Evan Johnson R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 23.6% | 17.6% | 2.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.32 | 103 | 69 |
| Conor Grammes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.03 | 28.6% | 16.8% | 4.0% | .293 | 4.37 | 20.8% | 1.1% | 128 | -0.66 | 3.89 | 171 | 69 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 69 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 69 |
| Luke Albright R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 2.3% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 329 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 138 | 23.6% | 17.8% | 1.18 | 5.28 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |