Nicholas Judice — OGILVIE

Nicholas Judice P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 25 RHP 6'8" / 230 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%22.7%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	9	37	9	5	2	40%	1.7	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	5.4%	5.19	5.72	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	9	37	9	5	2	40%	1.7	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	5.4%	5.19	5.72	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	2	9	37	9	5	2	40%	1.7	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	5.4%	5.19	5.75	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	6	0	3	34	4	16	1	0%	0.6	11.8%	47.1%	-35.3%	2.9%	24.30	9.68	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	6	0	3	34	4	16	1	0%	0.6	11.8%	47.1%	-35.3%	2.9%	24.30	9.68	—
2025	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	6	0	3	34	4	16	1	0%	0.6	11.8%	47.1%	-35.3%	2.9%	24.30	19.00	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	8	0	12	64	13	15	0	0%	1.5	15.0%	27.7%	-12.6%	0.0%	9.49	5.33	—
YTD	25	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	8	0	12	64	13	15	0	0%	1.5	15.0%	27.7%	-12.6%	0.0%	9.49	5.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	BOS	8	0	12	64	13	15	0	0%	1.5	20.3%	23.4%	-3.1%	0.0%	9.49	4.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.73	4.72	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	BOS	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.73	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.73	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.73	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		19	2	24	135	23	39	3	11%	1.3	16.8%	28.7%	-11.9%	2.2%	9.99	6.54	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	16	200	1110	186	318	25	11%	1.3	16.8%	28.7%	-11.9%	2.2%	9.99	6.54	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nicholas Judice (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	22.7%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.72	23.0%	10.8%	20	-0.07	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	84
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	83
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	82
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	82
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	82
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	82
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	81
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	81
Trey Benton R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	23.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.366	2.92	18.1%	7.4%	31	-1.57	2.92	139	81
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	80
Cayne Ueckert R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SU	4.51	24.6%	12.9%	3.4%	.150	5.52	21.4%	5.1%	124	+1.01	3.95	205	80
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	80