Cleiber Maldonado

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 23 LHP 6'1" / 200 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ROKMIN	11	2	26	4.21	3.22	17.4%	12.4%	—	K 11.8% · BB 15.5% · FIP 4.07
2024	20	MIX2 levels	24	1	31	2.32	2.04	24.4%	8.1%	—	K 17.3% · BB 9.9% · FIP 2.89
2026	22	MIX2 levels	14	1	15	12.60	4.97	27.1%	18.8%	—	K 24.9% · BB 22.0% · FIP 5.80
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIN	9	0	9	5.11	5.11	23.7%	15.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIN	9	0	9	4.89	4.79	24.2%	13.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Seth Clark (age 23) · Jeff Belge (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%23.7%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	10	1	19	89	31	7	0	10%	1.9	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	0.0%	3.26	2.35	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	10	1	19	89	31	7	0	10%	1.9	34.8%	7.9%	27.0%	0.0%	3.26	0.98	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	9	2	20	91	18	11	2	22%	2.3	13.5%	15.1%	-1.7%	2.4%	3.54	5.20	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	9	2	20	91	18	11	2	22%	2.3	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	2.2%	3.54	4.23	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	2	26	121	21	15	0	18%	2.3	11.8%	15.5%	-3.7%	0.0%	4.21	4.07	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	2	26	121	21	15	0	18%	2.3	17.4%	12.4%	5.0%	0.0%	4.21	3.22	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	31	135	33	11	0	4%	1.3	17.3%	9.9%	7.4%	0.0%	2.32	2.89	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	31	135	33	11	0	4%	1.3	17.3%	9.9%	7.4%	0.0%	2.32	2.89	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	1	31	135	33	11	0	4%	1.3	24.4%	8.1%	16.3%	0.0%	2.32	2.04	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	15	85	23	16	2	7%	1.1	24.9%	22.0%	2.9%	3.7%	12.60	5.80	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	15	85	23	16	2	7%	1.1	24.9%	22.0%	2.9%	3.7%	12.60	5.80	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	1	15	85	23	16	2	7%	1.1	27.1%	18.8%	8.2%	2.4%	12.60	4.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIN	9	0	9	38	9	6	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	15.6%	8.1%	3.0%	5.11	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.89	4.79	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	24.2%	13.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.89	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	5	1	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.89	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	116	23	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.89	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		68	7	111	521	92	73	5	10%	1.6	17.7%	14.1%	3.6%	1.0%	4.53	3.95	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	13	200	936	165	132	10	10%	1.6	17.7%	14.1%	3.6%	1.0%	4.53	3.95	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cleiber Maldonado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	23.7%	15.6%	3.0%	—	4.79	24.2%	10.6%	20	-0.32	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	91
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	83
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	82
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	81
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	81
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	81
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	80
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	79
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	79
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	79
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	78