Carlos Avila

C ACL Dodgers

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	AALAD	20	.111/.200/.111	0	0	-35	—	.105/.150/.105
2024	20	ROKLAD	77	.115/.280/.148	0	0	-14	—	.075/.173/.090
2025	21	ALAA	21	.444/.524/.500	0	0	137	—	.368/.429/.421
2025	21	ROKLAD	49	.282/.417/.333	0	0	53	—	.190/.292/.214
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBLAD	180	.202/.270/.279	2	2	57	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBLAD	76	.202/.271/.285	1	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBLAD	145	.205/.274/.296	2	1	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

wRC+62

K%55

wOBA54

BB%54

Chase%31

Whiff%28

CompsAndy Yerzy (age 23) · Randy Florentino (age 23) · Michael Pérez (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .268 / .277

PA122

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	71	63	13	1	1	0	6	16	2	2	1	206	296	254	550	48	277	23	8	261	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	141	120	37	5	1	2	15	18	6	4	3	308	411	417	828	108	350	13	11	378	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		200	40	10	160	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	77	61	7	2	0	0	13	16	1	0	1	115	280	148	428	33	149	21	17	219	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	18	8	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	444	524	500	1.024	56	571	19	14	462	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	49	39	11	2	0	0	7	10	2	0	0	282	417	333	750	51	367	20	14	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	71	65	10	1	1	0	4	19	2	2	1	154	225	200	425	46	198	27	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	141	124	25	3	1	1	11	21	6	4	3	202	298	266	564	65	238	15	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	20	19	2	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	105	150	105	255		185	50	5	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	77	67	5	1	0	0	7	23	1	0	1	75	173	90	263	15	119	30	9	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	21	19	7	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	368	429	421	850	53	514	29	10	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	49	42	8	1	0	0	4	15	2	0	0	190	292	214	506	24	283	31	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	71	65	10	1	1	0	4	19	2	2	1	154	225	200	425	46	217	27	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	71	63	13	1	1	0	6	16	2	2	1	206	296	254	550	48	277	23	8	261	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	141	124	25	3	1	1	11	21	6	4	3	202	298	266	564	65	235	15	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	141	120	37	5	1	2	15	18	6	4	3	308	411	417	828	108	350	13	11	378	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	85	7	1	0	0	9	34	1	0	1	82	179	94	273	12	132	35	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	97	79	9	2	0	0	15	24	1	0	1	114	263	139	402	25	158	25	15	207	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	70	61	15	2	0	0	6	20	2	0	0	246	333	279	612	33	357	29	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	70	57	19	3	0	0	10	14	2	0	0	333	449	386	835	53	432	20	14	383	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	71	65	10	1	1	0	4	19	2	2	1	154	225	200	425	46	198	27	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	141	123	25	3	1	1	11	21	6	4	3	203	298	268	566	65	238	15	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	87	7	1	0	0	9	34	1	0	1	80	179	92	271	11	133	35	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	70	62	15	2	0	0	6	20	2	0	0	242	333	274	608	32	352	29	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	87	7	1	0	0	9	34	1	0	1	80	179	92	271	11	133	35	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	70	62	15	2	0	0	6	20	2	0	0	242	333	274	608	32	352	29	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	180	163	34	6	1	2	13	54	2	2	1	202	270	279	550	77	287	30	7	252	57	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	254	230	47	8	1	3	19	75	3	3	1	206	275	292	566	86	288	30	7	259	61	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	329	298	62	11	2	4	25	96	3	3	1	209	278	301	579	93	289	29	8	264	65	-14	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	379	343	72	12	2	6	29	109	4	4	1	211	281	310	590	98	289	29	8	268	68	-15	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	400	362	76	13	2	6	31	115	4	3	1	212	281	312	593	100	288	29	8	270	69	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	412	373	80	14	2	7	32	118	4	2	1	212	281	312	593	100	287	29	8	270	69	-15	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	411	372	77	13	2	6	32	119	4	1	1	209	278	306	584	96	286	29	8	266	66	-17	-0	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	409	371	77	13	2	6	31	119	4	1	1	206	275	298	573	92	284	29	8	261	63	-18	-0	-2	+7	+9	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	76	69	13	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	202	271	285	557	83	282	29	8	255	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	145	132	27	4	1	2	11	42	1	1	1	205	274	296	570	91	282	29	8	260	65	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	192	173	36	6	1	3	15	55	2	2	1	207	277	304	581	97	282	29	8	265	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	210	190	40	7	1	3	16	60	2	2	1	208	278	306	585	98	282	29	8	266	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	220	199	42	7	1	4	17	63	2	1	1	208	278	307	585	99	281	29	8	266	69	-8	-0	-0	+4	+5	-0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	216	195	40	7	1	3	17	62	2	1	1	205	275	300	576	95	280	29	8	262	66	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	213	193	39	6	1	3	16	62	2	1	0	202	272	293	564	90	278	29	8	258	63	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1272	1151	237	39	6	19	98	366	12	9	5	206	275	300	575	94	282	29	8	262	62	-51	-0	-2	+23	+28	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	121	20	3	10	50	187	6	5	3	206	275	301	576	95	282	29	8	262	62	-26	-0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3095	2795	571	95	16	40	238	882	38	24	12	204	276	293	568	88	281	28	8	259	62	-111	+1	-4	+49	+59	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	119	20	3	8	50	185	8	5	3	203	274	288	562	85	279	28	8	259	62	-27	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,394	20	9	210	276	305	+25	+16	0.5	0.6
/162	664	10	5	+11.9	+7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Avila (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	200/268/277	77	287	1	1	30%	7%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	36	38→50	49→40	35	175/227/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	35	-3.4	188/273/334	146	262	18	6	34%	9%	73	-0.6	166/253/301	135	232	18	4	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	35	41→50	42→40	42	178/243/275	96	257	9	4	33%	7%	47	-2.6	210/262/308	98	279	8	3	26%	6%	61	-1.5	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Cole Armstrong 2007 · AA	23	39→36	40→50	42→30	43	194/241/283	89	246	8	3	24%	6%	47	-2.5	219/254/342	123	276	13	2	25%	4%	65	-1.2	225/276/353	128	269	16	1	22%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Logan Moore 2014 · A	23	34	38→40	43→30	40	170/228/242	73	244	5	4	32%	6%	33	-3.6	200/250/286	86	274	6	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	39→37	41→50	43→30	41	192/260/290	98	285	9	3	34%	7%	57	-1.8	212/282/340	128	259	14	2	23%	8%	76	-0.4	208/281/337	129	245	15	1	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Kevin Dubler 2010 · A	23	40	35→50	49→40	42	188/253/249	62	270	3	7	30%	7%	44	-2.8	195/260/288	93	243	8	5	22%	7%	55	-1.9	184/251/278	94	218	9	3	20%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Ryan Gold 2021 · A	23	41→36	40→45	48→40	37	200/246/298	98	278	7	5	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/266/325	131	289	12	3	35%	7%	68	-1.0	172/253/308	137	254	13	0	36%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Cody Morissette 2022 · A	22	41→31	39→45	43→55	44	196/265/283	87	287	6	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	189/245/312	123	251	14	7	30%	6%	56	-1.9	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→45	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/251/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	47	-2.6	105/203/174	69	168	5	2	38%	10%	9	-1.6
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	190/242/269	79	270	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Steven Lerud 2008 · A	23	37→42	42→45	43→40	37	185/249/288	103	277	9	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	208/273/311	103	282	10	4	28%	6%	66	-1.1	199/289/281	82	285	7	2	29%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Michael Trautwein 2023 · A	23	41	39→45	47→45	34	186/246/265	79	337	7	7	44%	6%	45	-2.7	194/267/297	103	308	9	6	37%	8%	61	-1.5	181/255/284	103	283	9	5	37%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9

Carlos Avila

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps