Angel Arevalo — OGILVIE

Angel ArevaloCF ACL Athletics

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 114 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .268 / .298

PA114

HR2

K%33

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	96	81	18	4	3	0	11	27	2	1	3	222	330	346	675	123	321	28	11	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	96	74	22	5	4	0	18	19	2	1	3	297	447	473	920	176	386	20	19	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	87	76	12	3	0	0	8	36	0	1	2	158	238	197	435	39	293	41	9	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	87	70	16	4	0	0	14	25	0	1	2	229	357	286	643	57	348	29	16	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	224	194	27	4	2	2	23	99	5	11	4	139	248	211	459	72	263	44	10	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	224	180	34	6	3	2	37	72	5	11	4	189	342	289	631	100	296	32	17	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	190	164	21	3	4	4	19	96	5	12	0	128	239	268	508	140	258	51	10	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	190	153	32	7	5	4	30	67	5	12	0	209	356	399	755	190	333	35	16	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	OAK	—	114	103	21	4	1	2	9	38	1	2	0	204	274	320	595	117	287	33	8	260	57	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	OAK	34%	158	142	29	5	1	3	13	50	2	3	1	204	280	317	597	113	289	32	8	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	OAK	46%	277	250	52	9	2	6	22	86	3	5	1	208	280	332	612	124	290	31	8	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2029	25	MLB	OAK	52%	354	318	68	12	3	8	29	108	4	6	2	214	288	346	634	132	291	31	8	285	76	-9	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.2
2030	26	MLB	OAK	54%	403	362	78	14	3	10	33	122	5	7	2	215	290	354	644	138	291	30	8	288	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.4
2031	27	MLB	OAK	54%	429	385	83	15	3	11	36	130	5	8	2	216	291	356	647	140	291	30	8	288	79	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2032	28	MLB	OAK	54%	441	396	85	15	3	11	37	134	5	8	2	215	290	351	641	136	290	30	8	287	78	-11	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.3
2027	23	MLB	OAK	34%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	287	31	7	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	OAK	46%	128	115	24	4	1	3	10	40	2	2	1	209	283	339	623	130	288	31	8	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	OAK	52%	183	164	34	6	1	4	15	56	2	3	1	207	282	329	611	122	288	31	8	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	OAK	54%	219	196	42	7	2	5	18	66	3	4	1	214	290	347	637	133	288	30	8	277	70	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2031	27	MLB	OAK	54%	233	209	45	8	2	6	19	71	3	4	1	215	290	359	649	144	288	30	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2032	28	MLB	OAK	54%	239	214	46	8	2	6	20	73	3	4	1	215	291	355	646	140	288	31	8	276	69	-8	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1056	947	201	35	8	25	86	323	14	18	5	212	287	345	633	133	291	31	8	274	68	-38	+2	-0	+4	+30	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	124	22	5	15	53	199	9	11	3	213	288	345	633	132	293	31	8	274	68	-23	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2773	2471	494	88	25	57	240	926	37	64	19	200	281	325	606	125	290	33	9	271	65	-109	+5	-1	+10	+79	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	116	21	6	13	56	217	9	15	4	200	281	325	606	124	292	33	9	271	65	-25	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	96	74	22	5	4	0	18	19	2	1	3	297	447	473	920	176	386	20	19	403	166	+7	-1	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	87	70	16	4	0	0	14	25	0	1	2	229	357	286	643	57	348	29	16	296	85	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	19	A	Stockton Ports	—	79	70	13	1	1	0	8	29	1	3	2	186	278	229	507	43	317	37	10	243	44	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	145	110	21	5	2	2	29	43	4	8	2	191	378	327	705	136	284	30	20	330	111	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	21	17	3	0	0	0	4	8	0	1	0	176	333	176	510		333	38	19	262	59	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	169	136	29	7	5	4	26	59	5	11	0	213	359	426	786	213	333	35	15	349	125	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,169	27	21	212	284	343	+4	+10	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	15	12	212	284	343	+2.4	+5.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Arevalo (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	195/268/298	103	287	2	2	33%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	41→51	43→45	52→55	39	203/257/321	118	288	10	15	32%	6%	57	-1.2	221/268/333	112	293	9	14	27%	5%	65	-0.7	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Kyler Fedko 2022 · A	22	45→42	38→50	51→55	44	210/281/290	80	314	5	10	33%	8%	59	-1.1	205/288/317	112	276	10	10	27%	10%	70	-0.3	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kevin Smith 2018 · A	22	39→43	44→55	53→50	34	197/234/315	118	286	11	8	35%	4%	45	-2.1	204/248/358	154	288	19	13	35%	5%	63	-0.8	197/249/369	171	265	21	17	34%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Lane Adams 2012 · A	22	43→46	40→50	54→60	39	206/259/299	93	302	7	12	33%	6%	52	-1.6	219/267/333	114	294	11	19	28%	6%	65	-0.7	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Ben Malgeri 2022 · A	22	46→45	40→50	51→50	39	216/275/313	96	317	7	11	33%	6%	63	-0.9	198/272/313	115	319	10	13	38%	7%	63	-0.9	234/294/381	147	332	14	14	32%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Travis Demeritte 2017 · A	22	38→44	46→60	53→50	37	180/251/315	136	320	14	11	45%	8%	54	-1.4	196/259/355	159	295	18	7	38%	7%	68	-0.5	205/271/397	192	291	25	7	37%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2013 · A	22	43→53	39→45	52→60	42	206/267/294	87	298	6	10	31%	7%	54	-1.4	238/288/332	94	320	6	19	26%	6%	72	-0.2	258/303/352	93	322	6	28	21%	5%	79	+0.3
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A	22	36→45	44→55	49→45	33	184/225/298	114	272	11	8	36%	4%	37	-2.6	214/256/361	147	284	15	9	30%	5%	67	-0.5	215/259/359	144	281	15	8	29%	5%	65	-0.5