Derwin Laya — OGILVIE

Derwin Laya3B ACL Giants

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .296

PA78

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	153	137	25	6	0	2	11	42	5	1	2	182	268	270	538	88	247	27	7	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	153	130	34	10	0	3	18	26	5	1	2	262	373	408	780	146	307	17	12	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	157	141	19	1	0	2	13	68	1	0	0	135	213	184	397	50	233	43	8	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	157	135	25	1	0	3	19	49	1	0	0	185	290	259	550	74	259	31	12	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	185	170	31	3	0	2	10	58	5	7	3	182	249	235	484	53	264	31	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	185	163	42	5	0	5	17	43	5	7	3	258	346	380	726	123	322	23	9	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	168	148	33	4	1	1	12	48	4	0	0	223	299	284	583	61	311	29	7	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	168	138	40	5	1	2	22	33	4	0	0	290	402	384	786	94	355	20	13	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	SF	—	78	72	14	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	194	256	264	520	69	284	28	6	261	58	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SF	34%	114	104	23	4	1	2	8	31	1	1	0	221	283	337	620	115	286	27	7	272	67	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	SF	46%	244	221	48	8	1	5	18	66	3	3	1	217	285	330	615	113	288	27	7	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	25	MLB	SF	52%	331	299	67	11	2	7	25	88	4	4	1	224	293	344	637	120	288	27	8	286	77	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2030	26	MLB	SF	54%	387	350	79	13	2	9	29	103	5	5	2	226	294	351	646	126	288	27	7	288	79	-9	+0	+0	+1	+11	0.3
2027	23	MLB	SF	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	281	28	8	259	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	SF	46%	113	103	23	4	1	2	8	31	1	1	0	223	286	340	626	117	283	27	7	267	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	SF	52%	171	154	35	6	1	4	13	46	2	2	1	227	296	357	653	130	283	27	8	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	SF	54%	210	189	42	7	1	5	16	56	3	3	1	222	293	349	642	127	283	27	8	275	68	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	533	482	107	18	3	12	40	144	6	7	2	222	290	346	636	124	289	27	8	271	66	-21	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	131	22	4	15	49	176	7	9	2	223	290	350	641	128	289	27	8	271	66	-25	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1817	1642	339	52	7	31	131	526	29	22	9	206	277	303	580	97	281	29	7	262	58	-85	+1	+0	+6	+51	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	19	3	11	47	188	10	8	3	208	278	307	584	99	283	29	7	262	58	-30	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	153	130	34	10	0	3	18	26	5	1	2	262	373	408	780	146	307	17	12	355	130	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	18	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	157	135	25	1	0	3	19	49	1	0	0	185	290	259	550	74	259	31	12	258	56	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	185	163	42	5	0	5	17	43	5	7	3	258	346	380	726	123	322	23	9	331	112	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	168	138	40	5	1	2	22	33	4	0	0	290	402	384	786	94	355	20	13	354	129	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	611	12	8	222	286	338	+2	+2	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	14	9	222	286	338	+2.4	+1.6	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derwin Laya (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/272/296	89	284	1	1	28%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43→42	40→55	46→50	41	208/257/305	97	279	7	8	28%	6%	53	-1.5	216/264/385	169	290	23	8	33%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/383	175	256	23	10	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Kyler Fedko 2022 · A	22	45→42	38→50	51→55	44	210/281/290	80	314	5	10	33%	8%	59	-1.1	205/288/317	112	276	10	10	27%	10%	70	-0.3	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Raul Beracierta 2021 · A	22	46	40→50	50	45	218/288/314	95	304	7	8	29%	8%	69	-0.4	214/263/346	132	326	14	6	37%	5%	66	-0.6	208/254/349	141	310	17	3	37%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Edgardo Baez 2007 · A	22	43→45	42→50	47→50	39	210/259/313	104	298	9	5	32%	6%	56	-1.3	223/274/347	124	310	13	9	31%	6%	71	-0.3	223/275/356	132	303	15	9	30%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9