Dylan Ross — OGILVIE

Dylan Ross P Syracuse Mets

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 251 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%27.3%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5550

CTRL—40

CMD3035

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0%	1.0	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.00	-5.34	—
2024	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0%	1.0	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.00	-5.34	—
2024	23	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0%	1.0	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	54	224	80	33	4	0%	1.1	28.0%	16.2%	11.8%	0.5%	2.17	3.08	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	54	224	80	33	4	0%	1.1	28.0%	16.2%	11.8%	0.5%	2.17	3.08	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	54	224	80	33	4	0%	1.1	35.7%	14.7%	21.0%	1.8%	2.17	2.93	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	New York Mets	47	2	45	214	53	36	8	4%	1.0	21.2%	16.1%	5.1%	4.5%	5.96	5.81	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	New York Mets	47	2	45	214	53	36	8	4%	1.0	21.2%	16.1%	5.1%	4.5%	5.96	5.81	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	NYM	2	0	2	9	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.63	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	NYM	2	2	2	6	1	0	0	100%	1.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	NYM	42	0	40	196	50	35	8	0%	1.0	25.5%	17.9%	7.7%	4.1%	6.69	5.45	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	NYM	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	NYM	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYM	5	0	5	23	6	4	1	0%	1.1	27.3%	16.8%	10.4%	2.5%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	NYM	5	0	5	21	6	4	1	0%	1.0	27.3%	16.8%	10.4%	2.5%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	51	237	59	40	9	—	—	25.0%	16.8%	8.2%	3.6%	5.82	5.69	-0.6
FULL	25	MLB A+C	NYM	—	—	6	27	59	40	9	—	—	219.1%	147.4%	71.7%	31.7%	46.11	20.65	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	57	0	60	251	68	40	6	0%	1.0	27.1%	16.0%	11.0%	2.5%	4.61	4.60	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	56	0	59	247	66	39	6	0%	1.0	26.8%	15.6%	11.2%	2.6%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54	0	57	241	65	39	6	0%	1.1	27.1%	16.0%	11.0%	2.5%	4.61	4.60	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	53	0	56	236	63	37	6	0%	1.1	26.8%	15.6%	11.2%	2.6%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	119	500	134	79	13	0%	1.0	26.8%	15.8%	11.0%	2.5%	4.57	4.23	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	842	226	133	22	0%	1.0	26.8%	15.8%	11.0%	2.5%	4.57	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		97	2	100	441	111	71	11	2%	1.0	25.2%	16.0%	9.1%	2.4%	3.86	4.35	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		193	4	200	879	221	141	22	2%	1.0	25.2%	16.0%	9.1%	2.4%	3.86	4.35	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Ross (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	27.3%	16.8%	2.5%	—	4.61	26.9%	11.1%	118	-0.05	—	—	—
Eduard Santos R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	28.1%	15.2%	1.6%	.265	3.49	24.0%	10.0%	79	-0.02	2.04	138	88
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	87
Matt Blackham R 2018 · 3.93 FIP	25	SU	3.93	24.9%	15.7%	1.7%	.236	4.81	25.9%	12.0%	80	+0.88	2.08	187	86
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	85
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	83
Conor Grammes R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	28.6%	16.8%	3.3%	.293	4.52	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.12	4.11	171	83
Craig Brooks R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	25	SU	3.95	23.4%	15.1%	1.7%	.260	5.58	31.1%	15.9%	59	+1.63	3.23	229	83
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	82
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	82
Zac Ryan R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	25	SU	3.85	25.4%	15.3%	1.8%	.266	5.82	22.4%	6.6%	31	+1.97	3.83	184	81
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	81
Justin Evans R 2022 · 3.63 FIP	25	SU	3.63	23.6%	14.3%	1.3%	.323	4.80	16.4%	-7.9%	14	+1.17	3.63	105	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	81
Trey Benton R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	23.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.366	2.92	18.1%	7.4%	31	-1.57	2.92	139	81
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	81
Justin Yeager R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	29.6%	15.8%	3.6%	.230	3.39	19.5%	9.1%	108	-1.19	3.32	262	81
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	27.0%	16.1%	0.98	4.63
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Leclerc ('24)	1.7	57	31.6%	12.8%	0.76	3.33