Andrws Cruz — OGILVIE

Andrws CruzIF DSL Cubs Red

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .274 / .280

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	166	148	45	9	1	1	11	17	3	14	3	304	364	399	763	95	333	10	7	337	114	+3	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	174	153	35	6	1	1	19	14	1	23	5	229	318	301	619	72	245	8	11	286	80	-4	+3	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	101	27	6	0	0	17	13	2	24	8	267	383	327	710	59	290	10	14	320	103	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	21	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	83	22	3	0	0	16	16	1	11	1	265	390	301	691	36	319	16	16	320	103	+0	+2	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	166	152	39	7	1	1	7	26	3	14	3	257	302	336	638	79	282	16	4	266	66	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	174	161	30	5	1	1	11	21	1	23	5	186	243	248	491	62	200	12	6	212	30	-15	+3	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	108	23	5	0	0	10	19	2	24	8	213	292	259	551	46	227	15	8	246	53	-7	+2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	90	18	2	0	0	9	24	1	11	1	200	280	222	502	22	257	23	9	237	47	-7	+2	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	166	152	39	7	1	1	7	26	3	14	3	257	302	336	638	79	299	16	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	166	148	45	9	1	1	11	17	3	14	3	304	364	399	763	95	333	10	7	337	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	174	161	30	5	1	1	11	21	1	23	5	186	243	248	491	62	207	12	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	174	153	35	6	1	1	19	14	1	23	5	229	318	301	619	72	245	8	11	286	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	108	23	5	0	0	10	19	2	24	8	213	292	259	551	46	245	15	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	101	27	6	0	0	17	13	2	24	8	267	383	327	710	59	290	10	14	320	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	90	18	2	0	0	9	24	1	11	1	200	280	222	502	22	265	23	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	83	22	3	0	0	16	16	1	11	1	265	390	301	691	36	319	16	16	320	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	166	155	39	7	1	1	7	26	3	14	3	252	302	329	632	77	282	16	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	174	160	30	5	1	1	11	21	1	23	5	188	243	250	493	62	200	12	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	112	23	5	0	0	10	19	2	24	8	205	292	250	542	45	227	15	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	92	18	2	0	0	9	24	1	11	1	196	280	217	497	22	257	23	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	112	23	5	0	0	10	19	2	24	8	205	292	250	542	45	227	15	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	103	92	18	2	0	0	9	24	1	11	1	196	280	217	497	22	257	23	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	—	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		283	20	0	256	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	—	30%	106	96	21	4	1	1	8	28	1	3	0	219	286	312	598	94	285	26	8	267	67	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	44%	223	202	44	8	1	3	17	58	2	7	1	218	285	312	597	94	286	26	8	275	72	-7	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	—	51%	307	277	62	11	2	5	24	79	3	9	1	224	293	332	625	108	286	26	8	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	—	52%	355	320	70	12	2	6	28	92	4	11	1	219	290	325	615	106	286	26	8	280	76	-10	+2	+0	+0	+8	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	—	53%	383	345	76	13	2	7	31	99	4	11	1	220	292	330	623	110	285	26	8	279	75	-11	+2	-1	+0	+8	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	393	354	77	13	2	7	32	103	4	11	1	218	290	325	615	107	285	26	8	277	74	-12	+2	-1	+0	+9	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	—	30%	32	30	6	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	200	250	233	483	33	285	25	6	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	44%	98	89	19	3	1	1	8	25	1	3	0	213	286	303	589	90	286	26	8	275	72	-3	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	—	51%	156	141	31	5	1	3	12	40	2	5	1	220	290	333	624	113	286	26	8	279	75	-5	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	—	52%	186	167	36	6	1	3	15	48	2	6	1	216	288	317	605	102	286	26	8	280	76	-5	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	—	53%	204	183	40	7	1	3	17	53	2	6	1	219	292	317	609	98	285	26	8	279	75	-6	+1	-0	+0	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	206	185	40	7	1	3	17	54	2	6	1	216	289	314	603	97	285	26	8	277	74	-6	+1	-1	+0	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	882	795	172	29	5	13	71	228	9	27	4	216	288	314	602	98	285	26	8	278	68	-27	+4	-1	+0	+19	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	127	21	4	10	52	168	7	20	3	217	288	317	606	101	285	26	8	278	68	-20	+3	-1	+0	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2340	2110	461	80	12	31	177	550	25	124	22	218	287	312	599	93	278	24	8	269	68	-55	+8	-2	+0	+38	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	128	22	3	9	49	153	7	34	6	218	287	312	599	94	277	24	8	269	68	-20	+3	-1	+0	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	943	15	28	219	287	322	+0	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	11	20	+0.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrws Cruz (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/274/280	74	283	1	2	27%	8%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cade Gotta 2015 · A	23	41→51	39→45	54→55	46	195/271/287	91	276	5	16	29%	8%	60	-1.6	219/269/319	100	288	7	21	25%	6%	65	-1.2	244/303/339	95	309	5	36	21%	8%	81	-0.0
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/276/305	90	284	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	211/272/308	97	279	7	16	25%	7%	65	-1.2	197/260/302	106	254	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	40→47	41→45	55	42	196/253/300	105	266	6	14	28%	6%	56	-1.9	207/263/315	108	278	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.3	224/284/303	79	284	5	24	22%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	41→51	37→45	55	49	197/274/273	77	262	4	13	25%	9%	58	-1.7	224/291/308	84	296	4	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	228/294/337	109	315	10	11	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2018 · A	23	43→49	38→45	52→60	39	203/281/282	80	296	5	18	31%	6%	63	-1.3	189/271/265	76	299	5	23	36%	7%	56	-1.9	198/283/305	107	280	11	28	31%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	242/303/317	75	307	4	31	21%	6%	78	-0.3	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	47	-2.6	214/268/322	108	306	8	14	31%	6%	66	-1.1	216/270/330	114	301	9	15	30%	5%	67	-0.7
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Kurtis Muller 2012 · A	23	46	36→40	55	45	216/288/285	69	272	3	19	20%	6%	66	-1.1	229/291/334	105	276	8	20	19%	6%	78	-0.3	247/304/376	129	283	10	28	16%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Tyler Tolbert 2021 · A	23	42→49	35→45	58→65	42	194/270/251	58	300	3	21	34%	8%	52	-2.2	192/263/286	94	294	6	38	34%	8%	57	-1.8	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Chad Hinshaw 2014 · A	23	47→43	35→45	53→55	44	215/305/273	59	305	3	13	28%	7%	71	-0.8	221/297/340	119	312	10	25	31%	6%	82	+0.0	214/292/335	121	307	11	30	31%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	206/260/294	87	286	6	20	29%	5%	57	-1.8	210/269/338	128	294	14	23	32%	7%	71	-0.8	201/266/326	124	278	13	27	31%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Kyle Gaedele 2013 · A	23	44→43	39→45	54→50	43	207/275/302	95	309	5	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	202/265/330	128	303	12	15	35%	7%	68	-1.0	196/263/337	141	300	14	16	37%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Hudson Haskin 2022 · A	23	48→45	40	52→50	41	224/300/321	97	314	7	18	29%	6%	79	-0.2	220/305/332	112	309	10	15	30%	7%	84	+0.1	208/303/313	105	301	9	17	31%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/282/291	84	275	5	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	202/286/330	128	273	14	8	29%	9%	76	-0.4	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Palmer 2015 · A	23	41	38→40	52→50	42	198/250/278	81	254	5	12	24%	5%	49	-2.4	213/277/297	84	293	6	13	27%	7%	64	-1.3	215/288/287	72	300	5	17	28%	9%	62	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	45→48	40→50	57→60	39	218/270/314	96	297	7	25	28%	5%	65	-1.2	203/261/303	100	293	7	30	31%	6%	59	-1.6	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Dom Duggan 2008 · A	23	45	39→40	54→55	47	213/288/305	92	287	5	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	207/263/285	78	289	3	16	28%	6%	55	-1.9	197/251/269	72	273	3	20	27%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→39	41→45	52→50	43	211/279/308	98	266	9	15	24%	6%	68	-1.0	203/255/282	79	275	6	10	27%	5%	52	-2.2	195/245/266	70	265	6	10	28%	4%	41	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps