Wilmer Flores

P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	21	21	89	4.65	2.92	24.0%	8.8%	—	K 19.7% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.69
2024	23	MIX3 levels	20	2	31	7.84	5.33	19.0%	16.3%	—	K 15.5% · BB 16.9% · FIP 5.72
2025	24	ADET	5	2	4	2.25	6.10	29.4%	17.6%	—	K 29.4% · BB 17.6% · FIP 6.08
2027PROJ	26	MLBDET	2	2	15	4.87	4.87	20.4%	11.6%	0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBDET	1	1	7	4.84	4.86	20.7%	11.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Ricky Castro (age 24) · Jake Walters (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.4%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.9%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	66	281	90	24	1	93%	4.7	23.3%	10.1%	13.2%	0.5%	3.68	2.68	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	66	281	90	24	1	93%	4.7	32.0%	8.5%	23.5%	0.4%	3.68	1.66	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	103	422	130	23	10	96%	4.1	24.6%	6.0%	18.6%	3.2%	2.79	3.52	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	103	422	130	23	10	96%	4.1	30.8%	5.5%	25.4%	2.4%	2.79	2.51	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	89	375	90	33	5	100%	4.2	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	1.7%	4.65	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	89	375	90	33	5	100%	4.2	24.0%	8.8%	15.2%	1.3%	4.65	2.92	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	15.5%	16.9%	-1.4%	3.3%	7.84	5.72	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	15.5%	16.9%	-1.4%	3.3%	7.84	5.72	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	2	31	153	29	25	4	10%	1.6	19.0%	16.3%	2.6%	2.6%	7.84	5.33	—
2025	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.08	—
2025	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.08	—
2025	24	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	5	2	4	17	5	3	1	40%	0.8	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	2.25	6.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	DET	2	2	15	63	13	7	2	100%	7.5	20.4%	11.6%	8.9%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	3	3	20	84	17	10	3	100%	6.7	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.84	4.86	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	1	1	7	30	6	3	1	100%	7.0	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.84	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	31	6	4	1	100%	7.3	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.84	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	165	110	28	100%	6.0	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.84	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		85	62	293	1248	272	122	27	73%	3.5	21.8%	9.8%	12.0%	2.2%	4.08	3.68	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	42	200	851	185	83	18	73%	3.5	21.8%	9.8%	12.0%	2.2%	4.08	3.68	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.4%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.86	20.7%	9.3%	20	-0.01	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	84
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	77
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	76
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	74
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	74
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	73
Tony Dibrell R 2022 · 4.96 FIP	26	SP-	4.96	23.8%	17.4%	3.0%	.314	8.63	13.2%	-1.2%	29	+3.67	4.18	347	72
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	72
Jake Lee R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	26	SP	3.76	20.5%	9.7%	2.1%	.362	5.42	16.1%	9.6%	113	+1.66	2.78	181	72
Cole Percival R 2024 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	17.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.296	3.58	20.5%	9.5%	36	-1.02	3.58	327	71
Jimmy Endersby R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	17.3%	8.0%	3.4%	.257	2.86	17.2%	12.8%	36	-1.68	2.86	357	71
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	71
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	71
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	70
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	70
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	69
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	69
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	69
Grant Kipp R 2024 · 4.75 FIP	24	SP-	4.75	18.9%	14.1%	2.7%	.263	4.55	20.9%	9.0%	201	-0.20	4.32	355	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	69