Jackson Wentworth

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.7 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	A+TOR	26	26	124	4.35	3.73	21.7%	8.8%	—	K 16.7% · BB 10.1% · FIP 4.92
2026	23	AATOR	25	24	115	5.24	4.66	17.7%	8.2%	—	K 14.4% · BB 9.0% · FIP 5.39
2027PROJ	24	MLBTOR	15	15	83	5.55	5.55	14.1%	10.5%	-0.6
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBTOR	9	9	50	5.35	5.31	15.8%	10.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBTOR	13	13	76	5.22	5.18	16.8%	9.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsRiley Thompson (age 23) · Baron Stuart (age 24) · Derek Casey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%14.1%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%3.6%

Proj IP83

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	26	26	124	534	116	47	13	100%	4.8	16.7%	10.1%	6.6%	3.6%	4.35	4.92	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	26	26	124	534	116	47	13	100%	4.8	16.7%	10.1%	6.6%	3.6%	4.35	4.92	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	26	26	124	534	116	47	13	100%	4.8	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	2.4%	4.35	3.73	—
2026	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	25	24	115	502	89	41	18	96%	4.6	14.4%	9.0%	5.4%	4.3%	5.24	5.39	—
2026	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	25	24	115	502	89	41	18	96%	4.6	14.4%	9.0%	5.4%	4.3%	5.24	5.39	—
2026	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	25	24	115	502	89	41	18	96%	4.6	17.7%	8.2%	9.6%	3.6%	5.24	4.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TOR	15	15	83	350	49	37	12	100%	5.5	14.1%	10.5%	3.6%	3.5%	5.55	5.55	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	113	477	75	48	16	100%	5.9	15.8%	10.0%	5.8%	3.5%	5.35	5.31	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	113	477	80	47	16	100%	5.9	16.8%	9.8%	7.0%	3.4%	5.22	5.18	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	111	470	80	46	16	100%	5.9	17.0%	9.8%	7.2%	3.4%	5.17	5.17	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	108	456	78	45	16	100%	6.0	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	3.5%	5.20	5.23	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	17	17	103	435	73	44	16	100%	6.1	16.8%	10.1%	6.7%	3.7%	5.30	5.36	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	16	16	97	409	67	43	16	100%	6.1	16.4%	10.4%	6.0%	3.9%	5.45	5.54	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	9	9	50	211	33	21	7	100%	5.6	15.8%	10.0%	5.8%	3.5%	5.35	5.31	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	13	13	76	321	54	31	11	100%	5.8	16.8%	9.8%	7.0%	3.4%	5.22	5.18	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	86	363	62	36	13	100%	6.1	17.0%	9.8%	7.2%	3.4%	5.17	5.17	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	91	384	65	38	14	100%	6.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	3.5%	5.20	5.23	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	90	380	64	38	14	100%	6.0	16.8%	10.1%	6.7%	3.7%	5.30	5.36	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	87	367	60	38	14	100%	6.2	16.4%	10.4%	6.0%	3.9%	5.45	5.54	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		80	80	480	2027	339	203	73	100%	6.0	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	3.6%	5.28	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	141	85	30	100%	6.0	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	3.6%	5.28	4.92	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		51	50	239	1036	161	99	41	98%	4.7	15.6%	9.6%	6.0%	3.9%	4.78	5.15	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	42	200	867	135	83	34	98%	4.7	15.6%	9.6%	6.0%	3.9%	4.78	5.15	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Wentworth (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	14.1%	10.5%	3.5%	—	5.22	16.5%	6.7%	337	-0.33	—	—	—
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	88
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.22	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.02	3.57	306	88
Derek Casey R 2019 · 5.30 FIP	23	SP	5.30	13.6%	8.5%	4.2%	.311	2.96	22.3%	13.2%	58	-2.34	2.96	180	88
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	88
Charlie Morton R 2008 · 4.79 FIP	24	SP	4.79	13.9%	11.3%	2.6%	.285	3.97	14.7%	6.0%	348	-0.82	2.52	2,281	88
Blaine Knight R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP	4.58	14.1%	9.8%	2.6%	.263	4.63	16.2%	6.6%	159	+0.05	4.31	269	87
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	87
Linder Castro R 2015 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP	4.64	15.3%	11.5%	2.5%	.327	4.38	16.4%	6.5%	111	-0.26	4.23	279	86
Erich Uelmen R 2019 · 4.64 FIP	23	SP	4.64	15.3%	10.7%	2.7%	.299	4.57	19.8%	8.8%	159	-0.07	3.48	383	85
Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SP	5.42	16.7%	11.0%	4.3%	.256	5.72	11.7%	-3.6%	23	+0.30	4.31	315	84
Derek Gordon R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	24	SP	4.90	15.1%	7.7%	3.8%	.322	4.62	19.9%	10.6%	76	-0.28	4.62	146	84
Ricky Salinas R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	23	SP	4.77	15.8%	10.5%	3.0%	.297	5.42	17.7%	5.1%	146	+0.65	4.77	274	84
Thomas Farr R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	24	SP	5.31	12.9%	9.7%	3.8%	.278	5.47	11.8%	2.5%	209	+0.16	5.05	423	83
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	83
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	82
Enrique Gonzalez R 2006 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP-	4.49	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	132	82
Will Ethridge R 2022 · 5.84 FIP	24	SP	5.84	14.5%	11.5%	4.6%	.253	3.57	15.6%	1.5%	17	-2.27	3.57	227	82
Robinson Tejeda R 2006 · 4.94 FIP	24	SP	4.94	12.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.294	4.43	21.4%	7.8%	214	-0.51	3.40	435	82
Anthony Swarzak R 2009 · 5.43 FIP	23	SP	5.43	12.7%	7.5%	4.5%	.317	4.19	13.7%	8.1%	199	-1.24	2.35	700	82
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	104	16.3%	10.0%	1.38	5.31
Don Black ('43-'48, 0 WAR*)	4.0	133	17.4%*	10.4%*	1.28*	5.32*
Jim Parque ('03)	2.7	109	13.4%	9.7%	1.29	5.42
Jeff Robinson ('87-'92, 0 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.3%*	10.9%*	1.38*	5.14*
Bill Grahame ('08-'10, 0 WAR*)	1.7	116	17.7%*	9.3%*	1.52*	5.11*
Brandon Claussen ('06)	1.6	105	16.0%	8.5%	1.37	5.04
Armando Galarraga ('12)	2.7	108	14.6%	9.6%	1.56	4.78