Braden MontgomeryOF Charlotte Knights
Age 23 S/R 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION374 act + 249 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†100
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .315 / .405
PA249
HR7
SB7
K%30
BB%9
BABIP323
ISO166
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +9.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+9BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +17.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: +2.20+2.2WAR
0.01.53.00.91.92.32.62.52.4+$70M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT42
xwOBA
460.304
POWER60
Barrel%
153.7
Avg EV
5789.6
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED50
Sprint
7628.5
DEFENSE52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+0.9$4M+$3M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.9$14M+$13M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.3$16M+$15M
2029Arb-1$6M+2.6$17M+$12M
2030Arb-2$10M+2.5$15M+$9M
2031Arb-3$14M+2.4$13M+$5M
Totals $31M $78M +$58M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 A+4 teams 572516 12331313 432009 177 238308386694 147358 358 306 92
202522 A+4 teams 572489 13640513 701429 177 278379460839 182364 2512 372 142
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAACWS 374326 8619312 371045 57 264348451799 187343 2810 345 122 +9 -2 +0 -2 +11 1.6
YTD23 AAACWS 374314 9021313 49885 57 287391497888 210352 2413 387 154 +23 -2 +0 -2 +11 3.0
ROS23 AAACWS 100% 249222 531227 22743 73 238315405720 166316 309 316 100 +0 +0 +0 -1 +7 0.6
ROS23 MLBCWS 100% 249222 531227 22743 73 239316405721 167317 309 309 94 -2 +0 +0 -1 +7 0.4
FULL23 AAACWS 623548 13931519 591788 1210 254335432767 179335 299 330 111 +8 -2 +0 -4 +18 2.1
TOT23 AAACWS 623548 13931519 591788 1210 253335432767 179335 299 334 113 +9 -2 +0 -4 +18 2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBCWS 65% 660589 13931419 581938 178 236313399712 163315 299 318 102 +1 +0 +1 -4 +19 1.7
202825 MLBCWS 65% 648577 13930421 581858 178 241319416735 175314 299 327 108 +6 +0 +1 -4 +18 2.2
202926 MLBCWS 65% 644573 14130423 581828 178 246324433757 187313 289 332 112 +9 +0 +1 -4 +18 2.4
203027 MLBCWS 65% 639568 13929423 581808 178 245323431755 187313 289 331 112 +9 +0 +1 -4 +18 2.4
203128 MLBCWS 65% 631560 13629322 581798 167 243323423746 180312 289 330 111 +8 +0 -0 -4 +18 2.3
203229 MLBCWS 65% 619550 13228321 571777 147 240319416736 176311 299 328 110 +7 +0 -1 -4 +18 2.0
203330 MLBCWS 65% 607539 12927321 561757 136 239319417736 178310 299 326 107 +5 +0 -1 -4 +17 1.8
203431 MLBCWS 65% 592525 12426320 551727 115 236317411728 175307 299 322 104 +3 +0 -2 -4 +17 1.4
203532 MLBCWS 65% 573508 11724318 531697 94 230312396707 165304 299 316 100 -0 +0 -3 -3 +16 1.0
203633 MLBCWS 65% 543482 10922317 501636 63 226307390697 164299 309 309 94 -4 +0 -4 -3 +15 0.5
203734 MLBCWS 60% 495442 9619215 451525 42 217297371668 154292 319 299 87 -7 +0 -4 -3 +14 -0.0
203835 MLBCWS 56% 439392 8115212 391385 31 207287347634 140285 319 289 79 -10 +0 -5 -3 +12 -0.6
202724 MLBCWS 65% 429383 9120313 381255 115 238315407722 170316 299 311 96 -2 +0 +0 -3 +12 0.9
202825 MLBCWS 65% 421375 9120214 381205 115 243321419739 176315 299 320 103 +1 +0 +0 -3 +12 1.2
202926 MLBCWS 65% 419373 9120215 381185 115 244322429751 185315 289 325 107 +3 +0 +0 -3 +12 1.3
203027 MLBCWS 65% 415369 9019215 381175 115 244323428751 184314 289 324 106 +3 +0 +0 -2 +12 1.3
203128 MLBCWS 65% 410364 8919215 381165 105 245324431756 187313 289 323 106 +3 +0 -0 -2 +12 1.2
203229 MLBCWS 65% 402357 8618214 371155 94 241321420741 179312 299 322 104 +2 +0 -0 -2 +11 1.1
203330 MLBCWS 65% 395350 8518214 371145 84 243324426750 183311 299 319 102 +1 +0 -1 -2 +11 0.9
203431 MLBCWS 65% 385342 8117213 361124 73 237317412729 175309 299 315 99 -0 +0 -1 -2 +11 0.7
203532 MLBCWS 65% 372331 7716212 341104 63 233312402713 169305 309 309 95 -2 +0 -2 -2 +11 0.4
203633 MLBCWS 65% 353314 7215211 321064 42 229309395703 166300 309 302 89 -4 +0 -2 -2 +10 0.1
203734 MLBCWS 60% 299267 581219 27923 21 217296371667 154293 319 293 82 -6 +0 -3 -2 +8 -0.2
203835 MLBCWS 56% 246219 46917 22773 11 210291356647 146286 319 282 74 -7 -0 -3 -1 +7 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 47954266 101021525159 437139656 9846 237316411727 174311 299 314 98 -10 +1 -11 -29 +136 8.9
/ 162G 650578 13729322 591898 136 237316412728 175311 299 314 98 -1 +0 -1 -4 +18 1.2
Career 79117043 165835343252 710233996 16877 235314405719 170313 309 319 102 +21 +3 -18 -47 +224 18.7
/ 162G 650579 13729421 581928 146 237315409724 173314 309 319 102 +2 +0 -1 -4 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 AABirmingham Barons 143125 341311 15413 33 272364416780 144398 2910 351 127 +4 -1 +4 0.8
202522 A+Winston-Salem Dash 290254 661738 32703 52 260349445794 185328 2411 353 128 +9 +0 +8 1.8
202522 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers 8469 21403 10192 62 304407493900 188360 2312 387 154 +5 +0 +2 0.8
202522 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 5541 15611 13121 30 3665276341.161 268500 2224 501 241 +9 +1 +2 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA
135,316191142235314428-0+321.320.7
/1626642418-0.0+0.42.7pk7: 20
#2Marwin Gonzalezlast yr '22
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,882 PA
113,88210744252310399-10+1710.910.9
/162664188-1.6+2.81.9pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
104,943159103235310406-30+1211.410.4
/1626642114-4.0+1.61.5pk7: 9
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#5José Hernándezlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA
72,9019517254316413-11+58.58.5
/162664224-2.4+1.01.9pk7: 8
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Braden Montgomery (OGILVIE) 23 36→42 55→60 50 52 253/335/432 179335 1912 29% 9% 113 +2.2
Josh Lowe
2021 · AA
23 41→51 49→55 52→60 42 209/275/352 144299 1720 35% 8% 73 -0.1 247/306/415 168344 1926 32% 8% 102 +1.9 256/314/436180349203131%7%108+1.9
Parker Meadows
2023 · AA
23 40→47 51→60 52→55 42 210/269/372 161268 1912 29% 7% 76 +0.1 228/295/407 179286 2020 27% 8% 95 +1.4 229/301/413184286212227%9%97+1.3
DJ Stewart
2018 · AA
24 46→47 49→60 52→50 47 230/301/375 145284 1616 25% 8% 91 +1.1 224/300/390 166270 2011 24% 8% 94 +1.3 212/319/41420225329228%11%105+1.0
Wenceel Pérez
2023 · AA
23 47→48 49→55 57→55 45 236/289/395 160287 1516 24% 7% 90 +1.0 235/296/383 148288 1417 23% 8% 90 +1.0 234/299/385150285151723%8%90+0.8
Wilyer Abreu
2023 · AA
24 41→51 49→60 51→50 48 203/295/344 141301 1719 36% 11% 81 +0.4 231/311/412 181294 2314 28% 10% 105 +2.1 236/315/436200281261125%10%108+1.7
Dominic Canzone
2022 · AA
24 45→53 48→60 54→50 42 225/283/362 137302 1519 30% 7% 79 +0.3 240/293/416 176285 2212 24% 6% 98 +1.6 249/304/42918028824522%7%104+1.4
Jaff Decker
2013 · AA
23 37→47 52→55 50→55 47 201/282/368 167258 2011 30% 9% 82 +0.5 216/289/343 127286 1211 27% 9% 77 +0.1 217/292/336119282111325%9%74-0.0
Lane Thomas
2019 · AAA
23 41→51 47→55 48→55 39 209/265/346 138299 1513 34% 7% 67 -0.5 221/287/380 159301 1714 31% 8% 85 +0.7 248/309/423176306202125%7%104+2.0
Brandon Boggs
2006 · A
23 41→48 48→55 48→50 48 211/283/351 140266 1612 26% 9% 77 +0.1 216/292/375 159285 1612 28% 9% 87 +0.8 214/299/385171286171129%10%90+0.7
Davis Schneider
2023 · AAA
24 40→43 51→60 53→50 46 206/288/365 158297 1913 35% 10% 82 +0.5 218/317/412 194287 2410 31% 12% 107 +2.2 212/321/41420227025930%13%108+1.7
Leody Taveras
2022 · MLB
23 42→52 49→50 55 44 215/274/366 151278 1622 29% 7% 76 +0.1 242/293/384 142305 1519 25% 7% 89 +0.9 247/297/378132305132023%7%87+0.7
Brian Goodwin
2014 · AA
23 47→53 45→60 50 48 227/302/360 133300 1115 27% 9% 87 +0.8 211/274/323 112292 1013 29% 8% 65 -0.7 245/312/443198315231128%8%108+1.4
Ronny Simon
2023 · AA
23 39→49 52→50 56→55 39 210/253/374 164262 2122 29% 5% 70 -0.3 234/287/359 125298 1324 25% 6% 79 +0.3 261/322/377116323102921%7%95+1.0
Daz Cameron
2020 · AAA
23 40→45 46→55 52→55 42 202/273/338 137283 1317 32% 7% 69 -0.4 210/275/344 134293 1318 31% 7% 72 -0.2 217/290/380163271192527%8%86+0.5
Cedric Mullins
2018 · AA
23 43→53 49→55 50→60 40 223/257/375 152266 1714 24% 4% 71 -0.3 220/268/348 128261 1219 20% 6% 69 -0.4 250/319/421170288192719%8%106+2.2
Dylan Carlson
2021 · MLB
22 44→54 51→55 49→50 45 226/289/389 163284 1812 27% 7% 89 +0.9 244/322/398 154303 156 23% 9% 105 +2.1 244/329/39315029814422%9%103+1.5
Aaron Hicks
2013 · AA
23 47→57 47→55 54→55 48 230/302/377 148312 1318 29% 9% 91 +1.1 234/303/370 136301 1215 25% 9% 89 +1.0 242/354/440197274251121%14%127+2.4
Ian Desmond
2009 · AA
23 43→53 46→60 47→55 41 217/268/341 125278 1416 27% 6% 68 -0.5 258/304/387 129319 1219 22% 6% 93 +1.3 273/325/459186331222124%6%119+3.2
Danny Espinosa
2010 · A
23 45→51 48→55 51→50 43 223/296/371 148309 1518 32% 8% 87 +0.8 233/299/396 163303 1817 28% 7% 95 +1.4 235/304/401166303191727%7%94+1.5
Adley Rutschman
2021 · A
23 41→51 47→50 50→40 44 213/269/347 134268 159 27% 7% 69 -0.4 243/329/396 153284 164 20% 11% 108 +2.3 250/345/40515628517318%12%112+2.5