Braden Montgomery

OF Chicago White Sox
Age 24 S/R 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.645 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs572.278/.379/.4601317101—.236/.304/.384
202623AAA/AACWS258.314/.431/.548105134—.285/.376/.477
202623MLBCWS365.226/.313/.3506189-0.1
2027PROJ24MLBCWS272.238/.324/.37763980.5
2028PROJ82% MLB25MLBCWS494.243/.329/.3991461051.3
2029PROJ82% MLB26MLBCWS476.246/.332/.4131551091.5
Last 2 seasons WAR -0.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 3.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.645First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$5M2031Arb-2$7M2032Arb-3$9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Speed73
xwOBA64
Avg EV47
Barrel%20
Form.245/.323/.364 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .237/.321/.374
CompsDylan Carlson (age 24) · Miguel Vargas (age 24) · Aaron Luna (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†98
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .324 / .377
PA272
HR6
K%22
BB%10
BABIP292
ISO138
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +5.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.01.02.00.71.31.51.41.20.927282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT
xAVG
550.255
POWER
Barrel%
204.4
Avg EV
4788.9
SPEED
Sprint
7328.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%18%▲▲16% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 22%
BB%10%·9% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.119▼.085 over 82 AB (60d) · proj .137
HR/BB2.6%▼1.5% over 68 BBE (60d) · proj 3.3%
BABIP.287·.239 over 67 BIP (60d) · proj .291
SLASH.245/.323/.364·proj .237/.321/.374
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.645 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$3M+$2M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$10M+$9M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.5$10M+$10M
2030Arb-1$5M+1.4$9M+$5M
2031Arb-2$7M+1.2$7M+$2M
2032Arb-3$9M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $14M $41M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 AABirmingham Barons — 143125 341311 15413 33 272364416780 144398 2910 351 101 — — — — — —
202522 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 290254 661738 32703 52 260349445794 185328 2411 353 74 — — — — — —
202522 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8469 21403 10192 62 304407493900 188360 2312 387 116 — — — — — —
202522 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5541 15611 13121 30 3665276341.161 268500 2224 501 225 — — — — — —
202623 MLBChicago White Sox — 365323 731636 38723 13 226313350663 124272 2010 301 89 -5 -1 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
202623 AAACharlotte Knights — 132111 35804 18322 34 315420495915 180408 2414 405 124 — — — — — —
202623 AABirmingham Barons — 12699 31536 21322 22 3134436061.049 293385 2517 439 145 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 365323 731636 38723 13 226313350663 124272 2010 301 90 -4 -1 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 143130 341311 10493 33 262329400729 138410 347 317 101 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 290265 561327 21963 52 211277355632 143302 337 278 74 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8472 20403 7262 62 278358458816 181335 318 340 116 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 365323 731636 38723 13 226313350663 124272 2010 300 89 -5 -1 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
202623 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 132116 33703 13382 34 284366422789 138401 2910 351 124 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 126105 30535 15392 22 286385533919 248349 3112 383 145 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE4 teams — 572518 12333412 411899 177 237305386691 149346 337 299 88 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW4 teams — 572489 13640513 701429 177 278379460839 182364 2512 372 88 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLE3 teams — 623544 13628614 661497 69 250339401739 151315 2411 328 108 +6 -2 +0 -4 +13 1.4
202623 MLB RAW3 teams — 623533 13929616 771367 69 261361428789 167318 2212 351 108 +6 -2 +0 -4 +13 1.4
202522 A+ MLE4 teams — 572517 12333412 411899 177 238305387691 149337 337 299 88 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLE3 teams — 623545 13628614 661497 69 250339400739 150315 2411 328 108 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A+ MLE4 teams — 572517 12333412 411899 177 238305387691 149337 337 299 88 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLE3 teams — 623545 13628614 661497 69 250339400739 150315 2411 328 108 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECWS 100% 380335 791538 38854 51 237323374697 137291 2210 313 98 -1 +1 +1 -2 +8 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCWS 100% 272240 571126 27613 31 238324377701 138292 2210 315 98 -1 +0 +1 -2 +6 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECWS 82% 603530 12924516 611347 72 242328395723 153292 2210 323 105 +4 +1 +2 -4 +13 1.6
202926 MLB MLECWS 82% 580510 12623418 591296 61 245331410741 165292 2210 330 109 +6 +1 +2 -3 +13 1.8
203027 MLB MLECWS 82% 560492 12122417 571266 61 244330407737 163292 2210 328 108 +6 +1 +2 -3 +12 1.7
203128 MLB MLECWS 82% 545479 11621416 551236 41 242328402730 160291 2310 326 106 +4 +0 +1 -3 +12 1.4
203229 MLB MLECWS 82% 530466 11220415 541215 21 240325396721 156289 2310 322 104 +2 +0 +0 -3 +11 1.1
203330 MLB MLECWS 82% 515453 10719314 521205 11 236321388709 151287 2310 317 101 +0 -0 -1 -3 +11 0.8
203431 MLB MLECWS 82% 501441 10218313 501185 00 232316377694 145284 2410 311 97 -2 +0 -1 -3 +11 0.5
203532 MLB MLECWS 82% 487432 9717312 481174 00 227310364674 138280 2410 303 91 -5 +0 -2 -3 +11 0.1
202825 MLB CTXCWS 82% 494436 10720414 501105 61 243329399727 155293 2210 325 105 +3 +1 +1 -3 +11 1.3
202926 MLB CTXCWS 82% 476420 10419415 481065 51 246332413745 167293 2210 331 109 +5 +1 +1 -3 +10 1.5
203027 MLB CTXCWS 82% 459404 9918314 471035 51 245331411741 165293 2210 330 108 +5 +1 +1 -3 +10 1.4
203128 MLB CTXCWS 82% 447394 9517313 451015 31 243329406734 162292 2310 327 106 +3 +0 +1 -3 +10 1.2
203229 MLB CTXCWS 82% 435384 9317313 441004 21 241326399725 158290 2310 323 104 +2 +0 +0 -3 +9 0.9
203330 MLB CTXCWS 82% 422373 8916312 42984 00 237322391713 153288 2310 319 101 +0 +0 -1 -3 +9 0.7
203431 MLB CTXCWS 82% 411363 8515311 41974 00 233317380697 147285 2410 313 97 -2 +0 -1 -2 +9 0.4
203532 MLB CTXCWS 82% 399354 8014210 39963 00 227311367678 140281 2410 305 91 -4 +0 -2 -2 +9 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 39083451 82515228108 39488338 228 239324393717 154289 2310 320 102 +9 +1 +1 -25 +85 7.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 13725518 661476 41 239324394717 155289 2310 320 102 +1 +0 +0 -4 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 57885105 122623642153 570138763 5224 240324393717 153298 2410 319 102 +11 +2 +2 -31 +107 9.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 13827517 641567 63 241325394719 154300 2410 319 102 +1 +0 +0 -4 +14 1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 132 PAwOBA .398 → .351 (−46)K% 24.2% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷1.000×1.200——29.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0509.88%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.940—×1.0501.50%
Singles /BIP29.11%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.05029.85%
Doubles /BIP10.13%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0509.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.06%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0503.72%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .398 → .351; ISO .180 → .145; BABIP .408 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AABirmingham Barons · 126 PAwOBA .441 → .383 (−58)K% 25.4% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.40%÷1.000×1.220——30.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.000×0.680—×1.02711.64%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.840—×1.0271.37%
Singles /BIP25.37%÷1.000×0.920×0.980×1.02723.49%
Doubles /BIP7.46%÷1.000×0.910×0.980×1.0276.83%
Triples /BIP4.48%÷1.000×0.880×0.980×1.0273.96%
Home runs /BIP8.96%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0277.36%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .441 → .383; ISO .293 → .263; BABIP .385 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 290 PAwOBA .345 → .278 (−66)K% 24.1% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.14%÷0.955×1.310——33.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.03%÷0.949×0.600—×1.0127.06%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.770—×1.0120.81%
Singles /BIP20.65%÷0.942×0.870×1.038×1.01220.02%
Doubles /BIP9.24%÷0.984×0.780×1.038×1.0127.69%
Triples /BIP1.63%÷1.045×0.850×1.038×1.0121.39%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷0.923×0.880—×1.0124.20%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .345 → .278; ISO .185 → .155; BABIP .328 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABirmingham Barons · 143 PAwOBA .340 → .317 (−23)K% 28.7% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.67%÷1.020×1.220——34.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.79%÷1.020×0.680—×1.0426.80%
HBP% /PA2.10%—×0.840—×1.0421.84%
Singles /BIP22.62%÷0.954×0.920×1.050×1.04223.87%
Doubles /BIP15.48%÷0.984×0.910×1.050×1.04215.67%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷1.150×0.880×1.050×1.0421.00%
Home runs /BIP1.19%÷0.784×0.800—×1.0421.27%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .340 → .317; ISO .144 → .140; BABIP .398 → .410. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 84 PAwOBA .391 → .340 (−51)K% 22.6% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.62%÷1.009×1.360——30.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.90%÷1.030×0.690——7.98%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.780——1.86%
Singles /BIP28.00%÷1.018×0.920×1.050—26.58%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷0.992×0.830×1.050—7.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.091×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP6.00%÷0.853×0.800——5.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .391 → .340; ISO .188 → .174; BABIP .360 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .