Casey Saucke — OGILVIE

Casey SauckeOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .260 / .300

PA53

HR1

K%32

BB%6

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	95	23	3	0	2	4	39	0	2	2	242	273	337	610	95	389	39	4	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	93	27	4	0	2	6	26	0	2	2	290	333	398	731	108	385	26	6	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	48	91	48	139		143	64	5	62	-94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	50	136	50	186		100	45	9	105	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	CWS	—	53	50	10	2	0	1	3	17	0	1	0	200	245	300	545	100	291	32	6	255	54	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	149	137	30	5	1	3	10	46	1	3	1	219	277	336	613	117	292	31	7	265	61	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	253	232	49	8	1	5	17	77	2	4	1	211	271	319	590	108	293	30	7	270	65	-10	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	45	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	190	244	286	530	95	293	31	7	260	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	112	102	23	4	1	2	8	34	1	2	1	225	288	343	631	118	293	30	7	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	157	144	31	5	1	3	11	48	1	3	1	215	276	326	602	111	298	31	7	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	128	21	4	12	46	199	4	12	4	215	276	324	599	109	298	31	7	264	60	-29	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	576	535	113	18	2	11	35	193	3	11	4	211	264	314	578	103	306	34	6	259	56	-29	+1	+0	-3	+16	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	127	20	2	12	39	218	3	12	5	210	261	310	571	99	306	34	6	259	56	-32	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	93	27	4	0	2	6	26	0	2	2	290	333	398	731	108	385	26	6	328	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	50	136	50	186		100	45	9	105	-62	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	209	4	4	212	268	320	-1	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	13	11	212	268	320	-4.0	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Saucke (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	204/260/300	96	291	1	1	32%	6%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	43→45	49→50	36	172/250/279	107	313	10	6	45%	8%	45	-2.1	200/277/324	124	319	13	9	38%	8%	68	-0.5	191/267/322	131	301	15	11	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Brandon Downes 2016 · A	23	39→36	44→55	49→50	34	197/240/316	119	292	11	12	36%	4%	49	-1.8	196/248/347	151	297	17	11	38%	5%	61	-1.0	183/239/344	161	276	20	10	40%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	37→38	43→45	48→50	37	190/241/302	112	274	11	10	34%	6%	46	-2.0	195/252/322	127	288	15	8	36%	6%	56	-1.3	171/232/305	134	240	19	7	37%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A	23	43→35	41→40	47→45	43	206/286/301	95	302	9	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	190/250/251	61	273	4	7	30%	6%	36	-2.7	166/220/202	35	237	1	6	28%	5%	7	-3.2
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	42→41	45	46→45	41	209/266/325	116	286	13	9	31%	6%	63	-0.9	215/286/351	136	293	16	9	30%	8%	78	+0.2	203/288/353	150	269	20	9	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	36	-2.7	206/255/295	89	301	5	5	31%	6%	49	-1.8	210/260/311	101	314	5	1	33%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jacob Schrader 2014 · A	23	37→35	45→50	50→30	36	187/243/307	120	283	12	5	37%	6%	48	-1.9	208/252/347	139	297	16	3	34%	4%	62	-0.9	200/242/338	138	283	16	2	35%	4%	52	-1.0
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	57	-1.2	195/249/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/229/283	104	304	12	3	43%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→60	46→40	30	169/215/263	94	298	10	6	45%	5%	24	-3.5	204/243/363	159	291	22	5	37%	4%	63	-0.8	195/229/385	190	243	31	2	35%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A	23	37→31	39→50	43→45	31	177/225/266	89	301	7	6	42%	5%	29	-3.2	182/234/262	80	334	6	12	45%	5%	32	-3.0	122/174/152	31	251	4	26	50%	4%	-24	-1.6
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2