Casey Saucke

OF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+CWS99.290/.333/.3982263—.242/.273/.337
202522ACWS22.050/.136/.05001-68—.048/.091/.048
2027PROJMLE24MLBCWS200.206/.263/.3033359-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBCWS24.209/.267/.3120062-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Ismael Alcantara (age 24) · Taylor Snyder (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .261 / .300
PA47
HR1
K%32
BB%6
ISO96
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 9993 27402 6260 22 290333398731 108385 266 328 63 — — — — — —
202522 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2220 1000 2100 10 5013650186 100 459 105 -68 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 9995 23302 4360 22 242273337610 95361 364 261 63 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2221 1000 1130 10 489148139 90 595 68 -68 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 9995 23302 4360 22 242273337610 95368 364 261 63 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWWinston-Salem Dash — 9993 27402 6260 22 290333398731 108385 266 328 63 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2221 1000 1130 10 489148139 125 595 68 -68 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2220 1000 2100 10 5013650186 100 459 105 -68 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 9995 23302 4360 22 242273337610 95361 364 261 63 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2221 1000 1130 10 489148139 90 595 68 -68 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 9995 23302 4360 22 242273337610 95361 364 261 63 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 2221 1000 1130 10 489148139 90 595 68 -68 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECWS 0% 200184 38613 13631 31 206263303566 96291 326 256 59 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECWS 30% 8175 15301 5251 10 209267310577 102291 316 261 62 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXCWS 30% 2422 4100 270 00 209267312580 103292 298 262 62 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 270 00 182250227477 45267 298 262 50 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 541900 00 181249227476 45266 298 262 50 -29 +0 +0 -4 +14 -1.9
Career— MLE — 249235 47704 13891 52 200245281526 81303 365 243 50 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650613 12218010 342323 135 199245277522 78302 365 243 50 -30 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 22 PAwOBA .103 → .068 (−35)K% 45.5% → 61.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA45.45%÷1.009×1.360——61.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.030×0.690——6.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.018×0.920——9.04%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.992×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.091×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.853×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .103 → .068; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .090. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 99 PAwOBA .319 → .261 (−59)K% 26.3% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.26%÷0.952×1.310——36.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷1.006×0.600—×1.0273.71%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP31.34%÷0.972×0.870×1.050×1.02730.25%
Doubles /BIP5.97%÷1.070×0.780×1.050×1.0274.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.929×0.850×1.050×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷0.817×0.880—×1.0273.30%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .261; ISO .108 → .093; BABIP .385 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).