Casey Saucke — OGILVIE

Casey SauckeOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .261 / .298

PA5

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	93	27	4	0	2	6	26	0	2	2	290	333	398	731	108	385	26	6	328	108	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	50	136	50	186		100	45	9	105	-43	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	95	23	3	0	2	4	37	0	2	2	242	273	337	610	95	371	37	4	260	62	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	48	91	48	139		92	64	5	63	-71	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.4
2024	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	95	23	3	0	2	4	37	0	2	2	242	273	337	610	95	375	37	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	93	27	4	0	2	6	26	0	2	2	290	333	398	731	108	385	26	6	328	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	48	91	48	139		143	64	5	63	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	50	136	50	186		100	45	9	105	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	95	23	3	0	2	4	37	0	2	2	242	273	337	610	95	371	37	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	48	91	48	139		92	64	5	63	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	99	95	23	3	0	2	4	37	0	2	2	242	273	337	610	95	371	37	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	48	91	48	139		92	64	5	63	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		291	40	0	255	59	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	149	137	30	5	1	3	10	45	1	3	1	219	277	336	613	117	292	30	7	264	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	45	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	190	244	286	530	95	293	31	7	260	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	45	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	190	244	286	530	95	259	31	7	260	53	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	115	14	0	14	43	202	0	14	0	189	243	282	525	92	258	31	7	260	53	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	275	258	55	8	1	5	15	98	1	6	3	213	259	310	569	97	321	36	5	246	53	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	130	19	2	12	35	232	2	14	7	213	258	310	568	97	321	36	5	246	53	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Saucke (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	204/261/298	94	291	1	1	32%	6%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→34	44→50	47→50	32	186/229/299	113	278	11	13	37%	4%	47	-2.6	195/241/315	120	305	12	12	38%	5%	55	-2.0	189/239/340	151	271	18	12	36%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	41→40	44→45	46→45	40	206/263/317	110	290	12	9	32%	6%	63	-1.3	210/277/333	123	295	14	9	32%	8%	73	-0.6	193/271/322	130	265	16	9	32%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	44→45	49→50	37	176/253/291	115	310	12	6	44%	8%	55	-1.9	195/273/319	124	308	13	9	38%	8%	69	-0.9	183/260/306	123	288	14	11	39%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A	23	43→35	41→40	47→45	43	206/286/301	95	302	9	8	32%	8%	70	-0.9	190/250/251	61	273	4	7	30%	6%	43	-2.8	166/220/202	35	237	1	6	28%	5%	18	-3.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→44	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	214/254/340	126	277	14	9	27%	4%	65	-1.2	216/256/349	133	280	14	7	28%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	38	42→45	48→50	37	190/242/294	104	278	10	10	34%	6%	51	-2.3	192/251/313	121	285	14	8	36%	6%	59	-1.7	164/228/291	128	232	18	7	37%	6%	44	-1.8
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	45	44→50	44	202/276/324	121	289	13	10	33%	8%	71	-0.8	193/283/319	126	292	14	9	36%	10%	73	-0.6	164/259/285	121	253	15	5	39%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	195/250/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	55	-1.9	178/230/283	105	303	12	3	43%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Jefrey Ramos 2022 · AA	23	37→39	44→45	49→40	36	191/234/305	114	264	12	6	32%	5%	49	-2.4	201/260/305	104	276	10	8	29%	6%	60	-1.6	150/227/197	46	195	5	0	24%	6%	21	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9