Drew Christo — OGILVIE

Drew Christo P Rome Emperors

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%21.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.89	—
2025	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.89	—
2025	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	5	1	9	42	15	6	0	20%	1.7	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	3.12	1.72	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	33	0	47	204	42	24	5	0%	1.4	14.1%	14.3%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.34	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	33	0	47	204	42	24	5	0%	1.4	14.1%	14.3%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.34	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	ATL	7	0	9	35	11	3	1	0%	1.3	31.4%	8.6%	22.9%	2.9%	2.00	3.10	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	ATL	26	0	38	169	31	21	4	0%	1.5	18.3%	12.4%	5.9%	2.4%	6.16	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	47	199	43	20	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.56	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	48	201	45	20	6	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.7%	12.6%	3.0%	4.51	4.45	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	48	201	45	19	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.45	4.42	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	47	198	45	19	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.45	4.46	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	ATL	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.56	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	30	0	32	135	30	13	4	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.7%	12.6%	3.0%	4.51	4.45	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	ATL	36	0	38	160	36	16	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.45	4.42	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	ATL	38	0	40	169	38	16	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.45	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		124	0	130	548	123	54	16	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.8%	12.6%	3.0%	4.49	4.08	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	83	25	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.8%	12.6%	3.0%	4.49	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		38	1	56	246	44	35	6	3%	1.5	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	2.5%	5.01	4.75	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	4	200	884	157	126	22	3%	1.5	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	2.5%	5.01	4.75	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Christo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	21.1%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.3%	12.4%	142	-0.27	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	95
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	92
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	90
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	89
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	89
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	89
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	89
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	88
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	88
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	88
Vince Arobio R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	20.5%	12.0%	2.9%	.365	3.67	24.1%	16.2%	55	-0.80	3.67	118	88
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	88
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	87
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	87
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	43	22.2%	10.0%	1.15	4.54
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81