Thomas Saggese

LF Memphis Redbirds

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.837 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	22	MLBSTL	52	.204/.250/.306	1	0	58	0.1
2025	23	MLBSTL	295	.258/.301/.342	2	3	80	0.2
2026	24	MLBSTL	180	.235/.299/.352	4	4	85	-0.3
2027PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBSTL	158	.235/.298/.353	3	3	85	-0.0
2028PROJ59% MLB	26	MLBSTL	304	.235/.298/.353	6	6	85	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSTL	324	.233/.296/.350	7	7	84	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.837First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Arb-2$0.4M2032Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%84

Whiff%83

Speed68

Avg EV62

Bat Spd53

Barrel%39

Form.244/.305/.372 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .234/.295/.357

CompsCorey Toups (age 25) · Bryan Lavastida (age 25) · Craig Stansberry (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 8785vR 77

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .298 / .353

PA158

HR3

K%27

BB%7

BABIP304

ISO104

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

837.6%

xAVG

300.235

POWER40

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

6289.9

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE40

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

6828.2

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%▲23% over 98 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%7%·7% over 98 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.128·.140 over 86 AB (60d) · proj .122

HR/BB3.9%·4.5% over 66 BBE (60d) · proj 3.5%

BABIP.304·.333 over 63 BIP (60d) · proj .302

SLASH.244/.305/.372▲proj .234/.295/.357

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 373 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

305

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

275

269

—

ISO

076

074

—

BABIP

370

338

◀L

29.4%

27.9%

▶R

BB%

1.5%

5.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	242	62	14	3	10	42	85	3	11	3	256	373	463	836	207	351	30	15	371	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	22	21	8	3	2	1	1	3	0	1	0	381	409	857	1.266	476	412	14	5	530	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	419	380	117	22	2	14	29	94	4	11	3	308	363	487	850	179	372	22	7	371	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	63	58	12	5	0	1	3	14	2	1	0	207	270	345	615	138	256	22	5	278	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	567	497	158	29	6	25	49	130	11	11	2	318	391	551	943	233	379	23	9	405	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	52	49	10	2	0	1	2	14	1	0	0	204	250	306	556	102	265	27	4	252	58	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2024	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	528	479	121	23	3	20	31	122	13	9	4	253	315	438	754	186	296	23	6	332	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	82	64	25	7	0	2	16	15	2	3	4	391	524	594	1.118	203	489	18	20	491	218	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	295	275	71	17	0	2	16	83	1	3	0	258	301	342	643	84	359	28	5	288	80	-7	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.2
2025	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	189	164	52	6	0	5	23	45	1	5	4	317	404	445	849	128	409	24	12	381	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	180	162	38	5	1	4	13	49	2	4	2	235	299	352	651	117	304	27	7	290	85	-3	+0	+1	-5	+4	-0.3
2026	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	249	213	55	10	0	10	26	56	3	9	1	258	347	446	793	188	296	22	10	344	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	527	486	119	24	1	7	31	146	4	7	2	245	296	342	637	97	331	28	6	285	79	-13	+1	+2	-1	+11	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	255	49	10	2	8	29	114	3	11	3	192	282	341	623	149	303	40	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	22	21	8	3	2	1	1	4	0	1	0	381	409	857	1.266	476	392	18	5	476	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	419	391	96	18	2	11	18	122	4	11	3	246	286	386	672	141	315	29	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	63	59	11	4	0	1	2	17	2	1	0	186	238	305	543	119	241	27	3	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	567	511	139	24	6	19	35	160	11	11	2	272	332	454	786	182	342	28	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	52	49	10	2	0	1	2	14	1	0	0	204	250	306	556	102	265	27	4	254	58	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2024	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	528	488	104	20	2	14	22	154	13	9	4	213	266	348	614	135	273	29	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	295	275	70	16	0	2	16	83	1	3	0	255	298	335	632	80	359	28	5	287	80	-7	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.2
2025	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	189	170	46	5	0	4	17	57	1	5	4	271	340	371	711	100	380	30	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	180	162	38	5	1	4	13	49	2	4	2	235	299	352	651	117	304	27	7	293	85	-3	+0	+1	-5	+4	-0.3
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	249	220	48	8	0	7	19	67	3	9	1	218	289	350	639	132	263	27	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	255	49	10	2	8	29	114	3	11	3	192	282	341	623	149	306	40	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	242	62	14	3	10	42	85	3	11	3	256	373	463	836	207	351	30	15	371	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	413	104	21	4	12	18	126	4	12	3	252	290	409	699	157	329	29	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	441	401	125	25	4	15	30	97	4	12	3	312	366	506	872	195	374	22	7	379	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	630	570	150	28	6	20	37	177	13	12	2	263	323	439	761	175	340	28	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	630	555	170	34	6	26	52	144	13	12	2	306	379	530	909	223	365	23	8	393	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	662	613	130	25	3	17	28	191	16	12	8	212	265	346	611	134	276	29	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	662	592	156	32	3	23	49	151	16	12	8	264	336	444	781	181	315	23	7	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	484	445	116	21	0	6	33	140	2	8	4	261	315	348	663	88	364	29	7	299	88	-7	+0	+1	+2	+10	0.6
2025	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	484	439	123	23	0	7	39	128	2	8	4	280	342	380	722	100	378	26	8	324	88	-7	+0	+1	+2	+10	0.6
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	429	382	87	13	1	12	32	116	5	13	3	228	296	361	657	134	286	27	7	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	429	375	93	15	1	14	39	105	5	13	3	248	327	405	732	157	299	24	9	321	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	254	49	10	2	8	29	114	3	11	3	193	282	343	625	150	303	40	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	416	104	21	4	12	18	126	4	12	3	250	290	406	696	156	319	29	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	630	575	150	28	6	20	37	177	13	12	2	261	323	435	757	174	332	28	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	662	613	130	25	3	17	28	191	16	12	8	212	265	346	611	134	272	29	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	116	21	0	6	33	140	2	8	4	260	315	348	662	87	367	29	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	429	389	87	13	1	12	32	116	5	13	3	224	296	355	651	131	280	27	7	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	662	613	130	25	3	17	28	191	16	12	8	212	265	346	611	134	272	29	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	116	21	0	6	33	140	2	8	4	260	315	348	662	87	367	29	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	429	389	87	13	1	12	32	116	5	13	3	224	296	355	651	131	280	27	7	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	45%	516	469	111	19	2	12	36	136	6	11	3	235	297	357	654	122	302	26	7	294	85	-9	+1	+1	-6	+11	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	45%	158	144	33	6	0	3	11	42	2	3	1	235	298	353	651	119	304	27	7	292	85	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	59%	518	471	110	19	1	12	36	137	6	11	2	234	297	356	654	122	302	26	7	293	85	-9	+1	+1	-6	+11	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	63%	513	466	109	19	1	12	36	136	6	10	2	233	296	354	650	120	301	27	7	292	84	-10	+1	+1	-5	+11	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	65%	505	459	106	18	1	11	36	135	5	9	2	231	294	349	643	118	300	27	7	289	82	-11	+1	+1	-5	+11	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	65%	493	451	102	17	1	10	34	134	5	7	2	229	291	343	634	114	299	27	7	285	79	-12	+1	-0	-5	+11	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	65%	481	440	100	17	1	10	33	132	5	4	1	226	288	334	622	109	297	27	7	280	76	-14	+0	-1	-5	+10	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	59%	304	277	65	12	1	6	21	80	3	6	1	235	298	353	650	118	304	26	7	292	85	-6	+1	+1	-3	+7	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	63%	324	294	69	12	1	7	23	86	4	7	2	233	296	350	647	117	303	27	7	291	84	-6	+1	+1	-3	+7	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	65%	330	300	70	12	1	7	23	88	4	6	1	232	294	346	640	114	302	27	7	288	82	-7	+1	+0	-4	+7	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	65%	320	292	67	12	1	6	22	87	3	4	1	229	292	340	631	110	301	27	7	284	79	-8	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	65%	311	283	64	11	1	6	22	85	3	3	1	226	288	332	619	106	298	27	7	279	76	-9	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2116	1932	454	83	6	39	142	572	21	33	8	235	295	345	639	110	311	27	7	286	83	-49	+3	+4	-18	+46	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	139	25	2	12	44	176	6	10	2	234	294	344	638	110	310	27	7	286	83	-15	+1	+1	-5	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5794	5284	1238	221	22	138	376	1631	74	117	34	234	294	363	657	129	309	28	6	291	83	-76	+6	+6	-31	+73	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	138	25	2	15	42	183	8	13	4	233	292	358	650	125	307	28	6	291	83	-15	+1	+1	-6	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.4	2,274	45	36	235	292	348	-2	+8	1.4	1.5
/162	664	13	11	-0.5	+2.3	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thomas Saggese (OGILVIE)	25	45	40	60	40	233/295/354	121	302	8	8	26%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA	25	45→50	43→45	55→50	41	217/278/335	118	306	10	16	31%	6%	74	-0.6	210/274/315	105	326	10	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	184/254/264	80	303	8	19	39%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2024 · MLB	25	44	44→45	50→55	47	218/287/332	114	274	12	14	24%	8%	76	-0.4	223/290/335	112	284	11	23	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/288/328	105	282	10	27	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Craig Stansberry 2007 · AAA	25	44→47	48→50	54→50	47	220/287/373	153	271	14	15	24%	8%	86	+0.3	222/293/347	125	275	11	11	22%	8%	82	-0.0	220/291/334	113	270	10	9	21%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	46→47	45→50	53→50	47	226/296/358	132	283	12	13	24%	8%	86	+0.3	243/306/387	144	311	15	16	25%	7%	96	+1.0	259/342/386	127	350	15	20	28%	10%	107	+0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Felix Escalona 2005 · MLB	26	47	43→45	53→45	43	227/288/343	117	286	10	15	24%	6%	79	-0.2	231/293/350	119	273	12	6	20%	5%	83	+0.1	223/283/333	110	264	11	4	20%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2017 · MLB	24	47→52	43→45	55	45	228/287/344	116	288	10	16	24%	7%	78	-0.3	211/275/304	93	279	7	12	25%	7%	65	-1.2	199/266/279	80	273	4	10	27%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	42→46	46→45	52→55	44	210/289/340	130	299	14	17	33%	8%	80	-0.2	189/271/308	119	275	13	20	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/264/299	117	260	11	19	32%	9%	59	-1.0
✕Hudson Haskin 2024 · AAA	25	49→47	44→45	51→50	41	230/312/352	122	324	11	13	30%	6%	91	+0.7	206/292/295	89	308	7	19	33%	8%	71	-0.8	183/279/250	68	280	5	23	33%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	44→48	48→50	54→55	43	220/290/366	146	298	15	19	30%	7%	86	+0.3	216/280/347	131	293	13	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	48→50	45	48→45	44	238/305/361	123	305	13	9	26%	7%	89	+0.5	229/291/350	121	290	11	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan McKenna 2022 · MLB	25	44→54	47→45	50→55	48	215/298/352	136	305	15	15	32%	10%	85	+0.2	221/289/354	133	315	15	15	32%	8%	82	+0.0	209/273/333	124	288	14	20	31%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	47→52	46→50	56→55	45	234/298/370	136	298	14	20	26%	7%	89	+0.5	231/287/369	138	287	13	16	23%	6%	84	+0.2	237/288/363	126	282	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Anthony Prato 2023 · AA	25	49	41→45	53→55	47	227/308/335	107	321	7	15	29%	9%	84	+0.2	216/314/324	108	294	8	17	27%	10%	85	+0.2	207/317/306	99	278	7	21	25%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	49→54	45	55	40	243/274/367	124	297	12	18	23%	4%	78	-0.3	229/282/336	107	278	10	17	21%	6%	75	-0.5	225/282/322	97	271	9	18	20%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Jason Donald 2010 · AAA	25	50→57	43→45	53→50	43	241/301/362	121	320	10	10	27%	6%	88	+0.4	247/306/357	110	322	7	14	24%	6%	88	+0.5	251/313/359	108	325	7	15	23%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Matt Vierling 2022 · MLB	25	47→55	44→50	53→50	44	232/289/345	113	297	11	15	25%	6%	80	-0.2	251/309/381	130	307	12	12	21%	7%	95	+1.0	254/314/393	139	307	13	10	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕José Barrero 2022 · MLB	24	48→49	47→50	52→55	41	239/298/379	141	313	15	16	28%	6%	91	+0.7	199/259/327	128	303	14	18	37%	6%	65	-1.2	186/255/329	143	270	17	24	36%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Dalton Shuffield 2024 · AAA	25	47	44→45	57→55	45	220/291/338	118	333	12	20	35%	9%	79	-0.2	205/264/318	113	310	11	17	35%	7%	64	-1.3	176/235/291	115	260	12	20	36%	6%	45	-1.2
✕TJ Hopkins 2022 · AA	25	49→55	44→50	57→45	43	234/292/364	130	319	9	7	28%	7%	85	+0.2	230/293/368	138	323	15	7	31%	7%	87	+0.4	230/297/370	139	323	16	6	32%	8%	86	+0.2

Thomas Saggese

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps