Keith Jones II
OF Frisco RoughRiders| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | ADown East Woo… | 23 | .174/.174/.174 | 0 | 0 | -37 | — | .130/.130/.130 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+TEX | 495 | .259/.378/.421 | 13 | 23 | 74 | — | .210/.289/.328 |
| 2026 | 24 | AATEX | 414 | .228/.342/.378 | 10 | 16 | 66 | — | .196/.283/.314 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBTEX | 4 | .204/.284/.327 | 0 | 0 | 73 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBTEX | 77 | .208/.289/.344 | 2 | 2 | 78 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBTEX | 116 | .209/.289/.345 | 3 | 2 | 78 | -0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 174 | 174 | 348 | 286 | 39 | 0 | 157 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 201 | 176 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 244 | 335 | 381 | 716 | 136 | 325 | 25 | 11 | 322 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 294 | 237 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 79 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 270 | 408 | 451 | 859 | 181 | 362 | 27 | 17 | 385 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 347 | 79 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 111 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 228 | 342 | 378 | 719 | 150 | 300 | 27 | 14 | 322 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 261 | 270 | 52 | 0 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 201 | 184 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 64 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 201 | 265 | 304 | 569 | 103 | 298 | 32 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 294 | 259 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 101 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 216 | 305 | 344 | 648 | 127 | 315 | 34 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 363 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 196 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 118 | 274 | 33 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 261 | 273 | 52 | 0 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 174 | 174 | 348 | 286 | 39 | 0 | 157 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 443 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 165 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 212 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 124 | 311 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 495 | 413 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 130 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 259 | 378 | 421 | 799 | 162 | 346 | 26 | 15 | 359 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 363 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 196 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 118 | 281 | 33 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 347 | 79 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 111 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 228 | 342 | 378 | 719 | 150 | 300 | 27 | 14 | 322 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 261 | 270 | 52 | 0 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 443 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 165 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 212 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 124 | 308 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 367 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 193 | 283 | 311 | 593 | 117 | 274 | 33 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 130 | 130 | 261 | 270 | 52 | 0 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 443 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 165 | 5 | 23 | 7 | 212 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 124 | 308 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 414 | 367 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 193 | 283 | 311 | 593 | 117 | 274 | 33 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 2% | 380 | 339 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 119 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 203 | 284 | 323 | 607 | 120 | 285 | 31 | 9 | 275 | 73 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 284 | 327 | 612 | 124 | 284 | 25 | 0 | 277 | 73 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 31% | 247 | 220 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 76 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 288 | 339 | 627 | 132 | 285 | 31 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 42% | 276 | 247 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 208 | 289 | 340 | 629 | 132 | 285 | 31 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 31% | 77 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 289 | 344 | 633 | 136 | 285 | 31 | 9 | 285 | 78 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 42% | 116 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 289 | 345 | 635 | 136 | 284 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 78 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 193 | 172 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 60 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 140 | 287 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 71 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 202 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 209 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 140 | 287 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1665 | 1483 | 301 | 61 | 8 | 34 | 151 | 539 | 15 | 54 | 18 | 203 | 283 | 324 | 607 | 121 | 291 | 32 | 9 | 274 | 71 | -21 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +16 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 117 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 210 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 202 | 283 | 321 | 604 | 119 | 289 | 32 | 9 | 274 | 71 | -18 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 414 PAwOBA .318 → .266 (−52)K% 26.8% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.012 | 19.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.012 | ×1.012 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.012 | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.43% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .318 → .266; ISO .150 → .125; BABIP .300 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 294 PAwOBA .376 → .288 (−87)K% 26.9% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.01% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 9.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.95% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 22.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.23% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.57% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .376 → .288; ISO .181 → .143; BABIP .362 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 201 PAwOBA .316 → .261 (−55)K% 25.4% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.37% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.44% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 20.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷0.968 | ×0.840 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 2.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 84, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .316 → .261; ISO .136 → .117; BABIP .325 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 23 PAwOBA .153 → .114 (−39)K% 39.1% → 52.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.13% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 52.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.690 | — | — | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | — | 27.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .153 → .114; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).