Jack Crowder — OGILVIE

Jack Crowder P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%18.7%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	1.7%	5.40	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	1.7%	5.40	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	75	320	83	27	4	20%	3.8	25.9%	8.4%	17.5%	1.2%	5.40	2.66	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	19	0	29	127	38	14	3	0%	1.5	21.7%	15.4%	6.3%	4.2%	5.28	5.54	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	19	0	29	127	38	14	3	0%	1.5	21.7%	15.4%	6.3%	4.2%	5.28	5.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	BAL	3	0	4	17	2	1	0	0%	1.3	11.8%	5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	2.25	2.85	—
2026	24	A RAW	BAL	13	0	20	92	27	12	3	0%	1.5	29.3%	13.0%	16.3%	3.3%	7.20	4.06	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	BAL	3	0	5	18	9	1	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	5.6%	44.4%	0.0%	0.00	-0.42	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	BAL	5	0	6	24	4	3	1	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.5%	8.2%	2.8%	4.74	4.74	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	35	151	42	17	4	—	—	28.1%	10.9%	17.2%	2.4%	5.19	5.41	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	65	0	68	288	56	29	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.0%	9.5%	2.8%	4.65	4.62	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	65	0	68	288	58	29	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.9%	10.1%	2.8%	4.60	4.57	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	64	0	67	284	57	28	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.0%	10.2%	2.8%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	62	0	65	276	56	28	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.1%	10.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.68	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	BAL	59	0	62	263	53	27	8	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	28	0	29	122	24	12	3	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.0%	9.5%	2.8%	4.65	4.62	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	43	0	45	190	38	19	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.9%	10.1%	2.8%	4.60	4.57	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	50	0	52	220	44	22	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.0%	10.2%	2.8%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	52	0	55	232	47	23	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.1%	10.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.68	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	BAL	52	0	55	232	46	24	7	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		225	0	236	996	200	101	29	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.1%	9.9%	2.9%	4.65	4.28	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	86	25	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.1%	9.9%	2.9%	4.65	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		39	4	104	447	90	51	11	10%	2.7	20.1%	11.4%	8.6%	2.4%	5.37	4.17	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	8	200	860	172	98	21	10%	2.7	20.1%	11.4%	8.6%	2.4%	5.37	4.17	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Crowder (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	18.7%	10.5%	2.8%	—	4.60	20.0%	10.0%	204	-0.14	—	—	—
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	91
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.44	15.6%	-0.3%	133	+1.42	3.59	281	87
Tyler Joyner R 2019 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	20.7%	9.9%	2.0%	.250	6.38	16.1%	5.2%	37	+2.69	3.69	114	86
Tyler Wehrle R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	15.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.300	5.42	15.1%	3.4%	60	+1.36	4.06	141	86
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	85
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	85
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	85
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	85
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	84
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	84
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	84
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	84
Chase Costello R 2023 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	15.3%	9.2%	1.4%	.271	3.48	21.5%	10.9%	58	-0.27	3.34	122	84
Joe Kuzia R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	16.9%	9.0%	1.6%	.358	2.87	19.5%	13.1%	48	-0.84	2.87	108	83
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	83
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	66	19.8%	10.1%	1.11	4.66
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38