Tyler Wehrle — OGILVIE

Tyler Wehrle P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%17.9%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%7.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	2	1	3	14	2	1	1	50%	1.5	14.3%	7.1%	7.1%	7.1%	6.00	6.72	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	2	1	3	14	2	1	1	50%	1.5	14.3%	7.1%	7.1%	7.1%	6.00	7.10	—
2023	23	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	28	1	81	347	74	31	5	4%	2.9	15.8%	10.5%	5.2%	1.7%	4.11	4.06	—
2023	23	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	28	1	81	347	74	31	5	4%	2.9	15.8%	10.5%	5.2%	1.7%	4.11	4.06	—
2023	23	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	28	1	81	347	74	31	5	4%	2.9	21.3%	8.9%	12.4%	1.4%	4.11	3.22	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	2	60	265	52	27	8	7%	2.1	15.1%	11.7%	3.4%	3.9%	4.07	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	2	60	265	52	27	8	7%	2.1	15.1%	11.7%	3.4%	3.9%	4.07	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	2	60	265	52	27	8	7%	2.1	19.6%	10.2%	9.4%	3.0%	4.07	4.46	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	MIL	4	0	4	17	3	2	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.9%	7.0%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	50	0	53	223	41	24	7	0%	1.1	18.5%	10.8%	7.6%	3.1%	4.98	4.99	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	49	0	51	217	41	24	7	0%	1.0	18.7%	10.9%	7.8%	3.2%	4.99	5.03	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	18	0	19	80	15	9	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	10.8%	7.6%	3.1%	4.98	4.99	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	29	0	30	127	24	14	4	0%	1.0	18.7%	10.9%	7.8%	3.2%	4.99	5.03	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	0	50	210	39	23	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	10.8%	7.8%	3.2%	4.99	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	93	28	0%	1.1	18.6%	10.8%	7.8%	3.2%	4.99	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		58	4	144	626	97	69	17	7%	2.5	15.5%	11.0%	4.5%	2.8%	4.13	4.70	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	6	200	871	135	96	24	7%	2.5	15.5%	11.0%	4.5%	2.8%	4.13	4.70	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Wehrle (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	17.9%	10.9%	3.0%	—	5.01	18.6%	7.7%	104	-0.01	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82
Roman Mendez R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	19.5%	10.3%	2.5%	.246	4.68	20.9%	10.7%	116	+0.56	4.12	230	82
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.46	18.7%	6.2%	63	+1.28	1.93	233	82
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	81
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	81
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	81
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	81
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	81
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	81
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	80
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	198	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	80
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	18.4%	10.9%	1.20	5.00
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43