Bryson Hammer — OGILVIE

Bryson Hammer P Spokane Indians

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 186 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 130

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%18.2%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	0	5	25	6	2	0	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	5.06	2.09	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	0	5	25	6	2	0	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	5.06	2.09	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	5	0	5	25	6	2	0	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	5.06	1.98	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	17.0%	12.5%	4.5%	0.5%	1.54	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	17.0%	12.5%	4.5%	0.5%	1.54	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	22.8%	10.7%	12.1%	0.4%	1.54	2.73	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	16.6%	15.1%	1.4%	1.5%	3.77	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	16.6%	15.1%	1.4%	1.5%	3.77	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	24.5%	12.0%	12.5%	1.4%	3.77	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	20	110	487	114	52	8	77%	4.2	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.51	4.22	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	20	110	487	114	52	8	77%	4.2	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.51	4.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	COL	20	14	85	379	93	38	6	70%	4.2	24.5%	10.0%	14.5%	1.6%	4.34	3.17	—
2026	24	AA RAW	COL	6	6	25	108	21	14	2	100%	4.1	19.4%	13.0%	6.5%	1.9%	5.11	4.12	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	104	0	109	459	89	54	12	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.7%	4.88	4.81	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	104	0	109	459	92	53	12	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.5%	8.5%	2.7%	4.77	4.72	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	102	0	107	452	91	52	12	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	2.8%	4.74	4.74	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	99	0	104	439	88	50	13	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.5%	8.6%	2.9%	4.77	4.81	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	94	0	99	419	83	49	13	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.7%	8.1%	3.0%	4.87	4.94	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	89	0	93	394	77	47	13	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	3.2%	5.02	5.12	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	45	0	47	198	38	24	5	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.7%	4.88	4.81	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	69	0	72	304	61	35	8	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.5%	8.5%	2.7%	4.77	4.72	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	79	0	83	350	71	40	10	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	2.8%	4.74	4.74	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	83	0	87	367	74	42	11	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.5%	8.6%	2.9%	4.77	4.81	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	83	0	87	367	73	43	11	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.7%	8.1%	3.0%	4.87	4.94	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	80	0	84	355	69	42	11	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	3.2%	5.02	5.12	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		438	0	460	1941	385	226	56	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.84	4.48	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	98	24	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.84	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		113	20	225	992	175	127	14	18%	2.0	17.7%	12.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.53	4.02	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	18	200	883	156	113	13	18%	2.0	17.7%	12.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.53	4.02	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryson Hammer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	18.2%	13.3%	2.6%	—	4.76	19.9%	8.3%	324	-0.32	—	—	—
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	87
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	82
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	79
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	77
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	76
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	76
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	76
Jordan Harrison L 2015 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	15.6%	9.0%	2.0%	.263	4.14	16.3%	0.5%	152	+0.10	3.80	244	75
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	75
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.68	19.1%	5.7%	190	-0.27	1.91	302	75
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	75
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	75
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	75
Andre Wheeler L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	24	SU	5.25	17.5%	12.1%	3.8%	.347	5.01	14.4%	2.4%	29	-0.24	3.82	150	74
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	74
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	74
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	74
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	93	19.8%	11.7%	1.10	4.85
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58