Dominic Pitelli — OGILVIE

Dominic PitelliSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 182 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION218 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†14

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .215 / .202

PA145

HR1

SB6

K%39

BB%7

BABIP246

ISO52

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-11M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	76	11	1	1	1	4	31	0	4	1	145	188	224	411	79	227	39	5	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	74	15	2	1	1	6	22	0	4	1	203	263	297	560	95	275	28	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	460	415	89	12	4	3	35	160	3	43	11	214	280	284	565	70	339	35	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	460	403	102	18	5	4	47	120	3	43	11	253	336	352	688	99	349	26	10	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	322	52	7	3	1	23	147	3	19	4	161	224	211	435	50	290	42	7	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	306	57	10	3	1	39	116	3	19	4	186	284	248	533	62	293	33	11	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	CIN	—	218	195	32	9	0	4	15	91	0	8	4	164	224	272	496	108	275	42	7	213	21	-19	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.1
YTD	24	AA	CIN	—	218	188	36	11	0	4	22	73	0	8	4	191	276	314	590	122	283	33	10	261	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
ROS	24	AA	CIN	2%	145	133	20	4	0	1	10	56	1	6	2	150	215	202	417	52	251	39	7	203	14	-14	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						253	33	0	202	13	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	CIN	—	221	198	32	9	0	4	15	92	0	8	4	162	221	268	488	106	269	42	7	213	21	-20	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.1
TOT	24	AA	CIN	—	363	328	52	13	0	5	25	147	1	14	6	158	220	244	464	85	262	40	7	209	18	-34	+0	+0	+4	+10	-1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CIN	31%	367	336	56	11	1	5	26	136	2	14	4	167	231	250	481	83	257	37	7	220	27	-30	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.5
2028	26	MLB	CIN	45%	405	370	64	12	2	6	30	145	2	16	5	173	239	265	504	92	260	36	7	231	35	-30	+1	+0	+4	+11	-1.3
2029	27	MLB	CIN	49%	419	382	68	13	2	7	32	148	2	16	5	178	245	277	523	99	262	35	8	236	39	-29	+1	+0	+4	+12	-1.2
2030	28	MLB	CIN	55%	424	386	69	13	2	7	33	149	2	16	5	179	247	277	524	98	262	35	8	237	40	-29	+1	-1	+5	+12	-1.2
2031	29	MLB	CIN	58%	419	382	67	13	1	7	32	148	2	14	4	175	243	270	512	94	262	35	8	235	38	-29	+1	-1	+4	+12	-1.3
2027	25	MLB	CIN	31%	114	104	17	3	0	2	8	42	1	4	1	163	230	250	480	87	259	37	7	218	25	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	CIN	45%	181	165	30	6	1	3	13	65	1	7	2	182	246	285	531	103	263	36	7	229	34	-14	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2029	27	MLB	CIN	49%	206	187	33	6	1	3	16	73	1	8	2	176	245	267	512	91	264	35	8	234	37	-15	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
2030	28	MLB	CIN	55%	234	213	38	7	1	4	18	82	1	9	3	178	246	277	523	99	265	35	8	235	38	-16	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.7
2031	29	MLB	CIN	58%	244	222	40	8	1	4	19	86	1	8	2	180	248	279	527	99	264	35	8	234	37	-17	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	982	894	158	30	4	16	74	349	5	36	10	177	244	273	517	96	266	36	8	231	35	-72	+3	-1	+11	+28	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	105	20	3	11	49	231	3	24	7	177	244	277	521	100	266	36	8	231	35	-48	+2	-1	+7	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	3071	2802	496	86	16	38	225	1120	17	148	41	177	242	260	502	83	276	36	7	228	32	-234	+13	-2	+33	+87	-10.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	104	18	3	8	48	237	4	31	9	175	242	256	499	81	274	36	7	228	32	-50	+3	-0	+7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	74	15	2	1	1	6	22	0	4	1	203	263	297	560	95	275	28	8	255	53	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	319	279	66	8	2	1	32	82	1	33	5	237	317	290	608	54	328	26	10	277	70	-11	+5	—	—	+9	0.3
2024	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	141	124	36	10	3	3	15	38	2	10	6	290	376	492	868	202	398	27	11	383	151	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	306	57	10	3	1	39	116	3	19	4	186	284	248	533	62	293	33	11	250	50	-20	+2	—	—	+10	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	985	16	37	175	240	269	+11	+6	-3.1	-1.5
	/162	664	10	25	175	240	269	+7.1	+4.0	-2.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Pitelli (OGILVIE)	24	25	25	55	50	158/220/244	85	262	5	14	40%	7%	18	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Merrell 2021 · AA	25	40→35	37→40	53→55	36	194/231/266	72	275	4	16	30%	4%	30	-3.1	213/266/333	120	277	14	13	28%	6%	65	-0.7	203/260/324	121	252	18	13	27%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→37	37→30	52→55	41	188/256/253	65	298	5	19	36%	8%	39	-2.5	203/282/277	74	310	5	19	33%	10%	57	-1.2	200/289/268	68	300	5	21	32%	11%	55	-0.8
✕Alfredo Reyes 2018 · A	24	38	36→30	56→55	33	185/220/247	62	292	4	22	37%	4%	20	-3.8	202/269/273	71	343	5	24	39%	8%	50	-1.8	198/281/256	58	347	5	31	40%	9%	48	-0.8
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	37→39	36→40	53→55	34	182/220/242	60	276	4	19	35%	4%	20	-3.8	195/237/286	91	306	8	14	37%	5%	40	-2.4	188/231/286	97	298	10	14	39%	4%	36	-1.7
✕D.J. Davis 2018 · A	24	43	35→40	54→55	37	198/252/257	59	315	3	23	36%	6%	37	-2.6	209/263/289	80	337	5	16	37%	6%	51	-1.7	177/230/257	80	317	6	6	43%	5%	27	-0.7
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	37	39→45	61→55	35	181/228/275	94	281	5	18	36%	5%	32	-3.0	201/244/290	89	293	5	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	208/231/276	68	278	4	26	26%	2%	29	-0.8
✕Jarod Rine 2006 · A	24	40→37	37→40	51→55	39	192/244/259	67	273	4	17	30%	6%	35	-2.8	191/256/268	77	267	5	16	28%	7%	43	-2.2	169/243/240	72	234	4	19	27%	7%	28	-2.2
✕Jeff Roy 2016 · A	24	43→40	34→30	51→55	38	199/251/250	51	304	2	22	34%	6%	35	-2.8	214/285/279	65	320	4	18	31%	8%	59	-1.1	209/308/222	13	331	0	25	32%	10%	51	-0.4
✕Jake Skole 2016 · AA	24	38→43	38→40	51→50	42	187/248/267	80	273	6	13	32%	7%	40	-2.4	195/252/300	105	309	11	13	38%	7%	50	-1.7	153/211/265	111	252	15	10	44%	6%	21	-1.5
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	38	-2.6	200/280/300	100	309	7	12	35%	6%	63	-0.8	168/266/287	118	282	8	12	39%	7%	54	-0.3
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	40	181/252/250	68	281	4	11	35%	7%	37	-2.6	182/254/282	100	281	10	15	36%	7%	46	-2.0	154/232/257	103	234	12	19	37%	8%	28	-1.3
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕Brian Bocock 2009 · MLB	24	38→45	36→40	50	43	184/246/249	65	266	4	22	31%	7%	33	-2.9	192/248/262	70	267	5	12	28%	7%	37	-2.6	200/244/276	76	258	4	12	23%	5%	36	-1.4
✕Jordan Serena 2016 · A	23	39→45	35→30	55→50	38	184/253/245	61	284	2	18	34%	6%	37	-2.7	195/250/257	62	306	3	10	35%	5%	37	-2.6	188/242/244	56	297	3	9	35%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Aaron Whitefield 2021 · AA	24	37→47	36→40	53→60	32	174/222/241	68	303	4	24	42%	5%	21	-3.7	211/268/309	98	323	8	31	35%	7%	59	-1.1	209/268/310	101	317	9	38	35%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Champ Stuart 2017 · AA	24	37	38→30	59→60	33	170/231/242	71	319	6	26	46%	6%	26	-3.4	182/249/266	84	318	8	30	42%	8%	40	-2.4	162/236/237	75	276	7	41	41%	8%	25	-1.5
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	35→41	35→40	48→50	35	173/219/230	57	265	3	14	35%	4%	17	-4.0	199/249/278	79	265	7	10	26%	5%	43	-2.2	193/253/275	82	267	8	10	29%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	37	37→30	51→55	41	175/254/241	66	286	5	13	37%	8%	37	-2.7	209/287/298	89	367	7	11	41%	9%	64	-0.8	218/310/312	94	434	9	12	46%	11%	73	-0.0