Dominic Pitelli

SS Louisville Bats
Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 182 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AA/ACIN460.253/.336/.35244359—.221/.283/.297
202523AACIN352.186/.284/.24811924—.166/.233/.219
202624AAA/AACIN343.216/.299/.32851147—.199/.260/.294
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBCIN21.170/.234/.2380133-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBCIN87.176/.241/.2561340-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%43
Speed43
Chase%23
Max EV22
Z-Con%22
Whiff%21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsKevin Merrell (age 26) · Jacob Pearson (age 25) · Branden Fryman (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†33
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .234 / .238
PA21
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP264
ISO50
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -16.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.8-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ADaytona Tortugas — 8074 15211 6220 41 203263297560 95275 288 255 10 — — — — — —
202422 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 319279 66821 32821 335 237317290608 54328 2610 277 49 — — — — — —
202422 ADaytona Tortugas — 141124 361033 15382 106 290376492868 202398 2711 383 80 — — — — — —
202523 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 352306 571031 391163 194 186284248533 62293 3311 250 24 — — — — — —
202624 AAALouisville Bats — 213184 421201 21692 55 228314310624 82353 3210 281 52 — — — — — —
202624 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 130112 22604 12420 62 196274357631 161269 329 271 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 8076 12111 4300 41 158200237437 79235 385 183 10 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 319288 63621 231001 335 219279264543 45314 317 240 49 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 141129 29732 10522 106 225291372663 147358 377 286 80 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 352320 53831 251403 194 166233219452 53279 407 203 24 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 213190 411101 15832 55 216280289570 74343 397 245 52 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 130116 20603 8510 62 172226302528 129249 396 227 40 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 8076 12111 4300 41 158200237437 79244 385 183 10 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 8074 15211 6220 41 203263297560 95275 288 255 10 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 460416 911343 341523 4311 219283291573 72335 337 254 58 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 460403 1021854 471203 4311 253336352688 99349 2610 310 58 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 352320 53831 251403 194 166233219452 53287 407 203 24 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWChattanooga Lookouts — 352306 571031 391163 194 186284248533 62293 3311 250 24 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 343306 601604 231342 117 196257288544 92327 397 238 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 343296 641805 331112 117 216299328627 111322 3210 277 47 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 8076 12111 4300 41 158200237437 79235 385 183 10 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 460420 911343 341523 4311 217283288571 71327 337 254 58 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 352321 53831 251403 194 165233218451 53279 407 203 24 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 343315 601604 231342 117 190257279536 89307 397 238 47 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 460420 911343 341523 4311 217283288571 71327 337 254 58 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 352321 53831 251403 194 165233218451 53279 407 203 24 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 343315 601604 231342 117 190257279536 89307 397 238 47 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECIN 10% 380348 591213 271352 134 169234236470 67264 367 217 33 -30 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCIN 10% 2120 3100 170 10 170234238472 68264 335 218 33 -2 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECIN 35% 251229 40813 18882 93 175240253493 78266 357 227 40 -18 +1 +0 +3 +5 -1.0
202826 MLB CTXCIN 35% 8780 14301 6301 31 176241256497 80266 347 228 40 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8780 14301 6301 31 175241250491 75265 347 228 41 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 1042207 452247 227 174240246486 72264 347 228 41 -47 +1 +0 +7 +14 -2.5
Career— MLE — 16961539 290531014 11961911 9328 188252263515 75302 367 228 41 -35 +1 +0 +5 +10 -1.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 1112045 462374 3611 188252261513 73302 367 228 41 -49 +2 +0 +7 +14 -2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALouisville Bats · 213 PAwOBA .277 → .245 (−32)K% 32.4% → 38.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.39%÷1.000×1.200——38.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.86%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0487.13%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.940—×1.0480.92%
Singles /BIP25.22%÷1.000×0.930×1.030×1.04825.31%
Doubles /BIP10.43%÷1.000×0.830×1.030×1.0489.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.030×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP0.87%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0480.64%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .277 → .245; ISO .082 → .069; BABIP .353 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 130 PAwOBA .266 → .227 (−39)K% 32.3% → 39.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.31%÷1.000×1.220——39.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0126.35%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP17.14%÷1.000×0.920×1.010×1.01216.12%
Doubles /BIP8.57%÷1.000×0.910×1.010×1.0127.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×1.010×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.63%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .266 → .227; ISO .161 → .138; BABIP .269 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 352 PAwOBA .246 → .203 (−43)K% 33.0% → 39.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.95%÷1.010×1.220——39.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.08%÷1.087×0.680—×1.0277.12%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.840—×1.0270.74%
Singles /BIP22.63%÷0.963×0.920×1.000×1.02722.20%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.092×0.910×1.000×1.0274.51%
Triples /BIP1.58%÷1.001×0.880×1.000×1.0271.43%
Home runs /BIP0.53%÷1.021×0.800—×1.0270.42%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .246 → .203; ISO .062 → .052; BABIP .293 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 319 PAwOBA .272 → .240 (−33)K% 25.7% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.71%÷1.005×1.220——31.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.03%÷0.970×0.680—×1.0427.33%
HBP% /PA0.31%—×0.840—×1.0420.27%
Singles /BIP27.92%÷0.964×0.920×0.992×1.04227.55%
Doubles /BIP4.06%÷1.236×0.910×0.992×1.0423.09%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.001×0.880×0.992×1.0420.92%
Home runs /BIP0.51%÷1.089×0.800—×1.0420.39%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 93, 2B 147, 3B 100, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .272 → .240; ISO .054 → .043; BABIP .328 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 141 PAwOBA .373 → .286 (−87)K% 27.0% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.95%÷0.990×1.360——37.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷0.991×0.690——7.41%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.780——1.11%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷0.960×0.920×0.993—22.12%
Doubles /BIP11.63%÷1.032×0.830×0.993—9.28%
Triples /BIP3.49%÷0.918×0.910×0.993—3.43%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷1.078×0.800——2.59%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .373 → .286; ISO .202 → .148; BABIP .398 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 80 PAwOBA .249 → .183 (−66)K% 27.5% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.50%÷1.006×1.360——37.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.50%÷1.006×0.690—×1.0155.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP21.15%÷1.032×0.920×0.975×1.01518.65%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷1.100×0.830×0.975×1.0152.87%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.083×0.910×0.975×1.0151.60%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.060×0.800—×1.0151.47%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 117, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .249 → .183; ISO .095 → .065; BABIP .275 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).