Joey Loperfido

LF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 1.122 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBTOR	262	.214/.265/.350	4	4	70	-0.9
2025	26	MLBTOR	104	.333/.379/.500	4	1	147	0.1
2026	27	MLBHOU	121	.214/.311/.330	1	1	75	-0.6
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBHOU	158	.233/.302/.363	3	7	86	0.1
2028PROJ53% MLB	29	MLBHOU	235	.230/.299/.356	5	9	84	-0.0
2029PROJ58% MLB	30	MLBHOU	249	.226/.295/.347	5	8	80	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.122First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Ext$2M2031Ext$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Speed71

Chase%69

Bat Spd60

Avg EV39

Whiff%38

Barrel%26

CompsMitch Longo (age 27) · Conner Capel (age 27) · George Lombard (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7286vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .302 / .363

PA158

HR3

SB7

K%26

BB%7

BABIP300

ISO126

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3812.3%

xAVG

160.223

POWER40

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

3988.3

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE40

Chase%

6928.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 423 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

350

—

wRC+

101

▶▶R

wOBA

276

318

▶R

ISO

061

154

▶▶R

BABIP

315

386

▶▶R

28.8%

34.0%

◀◀L

BB%

8.2%

4.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.122 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	69	8	4	0	2	8	31	8	1	0	116	282	261	543	145	158	36	9	259	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	113	96	34	8	1	3	13	25	2	2	2	354	441	552	994	198	443	22	12	430	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	348	296	90	17	3	9	40	76	9	30	9	304	403	473	876	169	379	22	11	388	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	138	119	28	5	0	5	16	45	2	4	1	235	336	403	739	168	329	33	12	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	365	314	93	20	1	19	47	81	3	20	3	296	393	548	941	252	344	22	13	410	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	37	34	9	2	2	1	2	8	0	3	0	265	306	529	835	265	308	22	5	348	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	262	243	52	13	4	4	13	95	4	4	2	214	265	350	615	136	331	36	5	273	70	-9	+0	-0	-5	+6	-0.9
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	189	162	44	7	1	13	21	53	4	9	1	272	369	568	937	296	316	28	11	402	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	104	96	32	4	0	4	4	27	3	1	2	333	379	500	879	167	431	26	4	386	147	+6	-1	-1	-5	+2	0.1
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	373	329	87	22	1	7	29	80	10	11	1	264	342	401	744	137	329	21	8	331	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	121	103	22	7	1	1	14	32	1	1	1	214	311	330	641	117	296	26	12	289	75	-4	-0	-0	-4	+3	-0.6
2026	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	269	232	67	15	0	3	31	57	4	7	3	289	382	392	774	103	370	21	12	351	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	487	442	106	24	5	9	31	154	8	6	5	240	301	378	679	138	345	32	6	301	90	-6	-1	-1	-14	+11	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	71	6	3	0	1	6	42	8	1	0	85	235	169	404	85	129	48	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	113	101	27	5	1	3	8	35	2	2	2	267	333	426	759	158	368	31	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	348	309	79	15	2	7	27	106	9	30	9	256	333	385	718	129	349	30	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	138	124	27	5	0	4	11	54	2	4	1	218	292	355	647	137	335	39	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	365	330	82	18	1	12	31	94	3	20	3	248	319	418	737	170	310	26	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	37	35	7	1	2	1	1	11	0	3	0	200	222	429	651	229	253	30	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	262	243	52	13	4	4	13	95	4	4	2	214	265	350	615	136	331	36	5	272	70	-9	+0	-0	-5	+6	-0.9
2024	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	189	170	40	7	1	10	13	63	4	9	1	235	305	465	770	229	300	33	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	104	96	32	4	0	4	4	27	3	1	2	333	379	500	879	167	431	26	4	385	147	+6	-1	-1	-5	+2	0.1
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	373	338	77	17	1	6	20	97	10	11	1	228	291	337	628	109	294	26	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	121	105	22	7	1	1	13	32	1	1	1	210	303	324	626	114	296	26	11	279	75	-4	-0	-0	-4	+3	-0.6
2026	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	269	241	62	13	0	2	22	68	4	7	3	257	330	336	666	79	342	25	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	71	6	3	0	1	6	42	8	1	0	85	235	169	404	85	167	48	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	69	8	4	0	2	8	31	8	1	0	116	282	261	543	145	158	36	9	259	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	410	106	20	3	10	35	141	11	32	11	259	333	395	728	137	364	31	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	461	392	124	25	4	12	53	101	11	32	11	316	412	492	905	176	394	22	11	398	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	540	489	116	25	3	16	43	159	5	27	4	237	305	399	704	162	315	29	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	540	467	130	27	3	25	65	134	5	27	4	278	372	510	882	231	338	25	12	386	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	451	413	92	20	5	14	26	158	8	13	3	223	282	397	679	174	320	35	6	299	89	-6	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.0
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	451	405	96	20	5	17	34	148	8	13	3	237	309	437	746	200	325	33	8	327	89	-6	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.0
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	434	109	21	1	10	24	124	13	12	3	251	310	373	683	122	329	26	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	477	425	119	26	1	11	33	107	13	12	3	280	350	424	774	144	351	22	7	343	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	390	346	83	19	1	3	35	100	5	8	4	240	319	327	645	87	327	26	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	390	335	89	22	1	4	45	89	5	8	4	266	360	373	733	107	348	23	12	332	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	73	6	3	0	1	6	42	8	1	0	82	235	164	400	82	129	48	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	412	106	20	3	10	35	141	11	32	11	257	333	393	727	136	354	31	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	540	487	116	25	3	16	43	159	5	27	4	238	305	400	706	162	312	29	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	451	414	92	20	5	14	26	158	8	13	3	222	282	396	678	174	318	35	6	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	437	109	21	1	10	24	124	13	12	3	249	310	371	681	121	324	26	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	390	347	83	19	1	3	35	100	5	8	4	239	319	326	644	86	328	26	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	451	414	92	20	5	14	26	158	8	13	3	222	282	396	678	174	318	35	6	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	437	109	21	1	10	24	124	13	12	3	249	310	371	681	121	324	26	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	390	347	83	19	1	3	35	100	5	8	4	239	319	326	644	86	328	26	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	453	409	94	19	2	10	33	119	8	19	4	230	299	360	659	130	295	26	7	296	86	-7	+2	+3	-5	+10	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	158	143	33	7	1	3	11	41	3	7	1	233	302	363	665	130	300	26	7	298	86	-3	+1	+1	-2	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	442	400	91	18	2	10	32	117	7	16	3	227	296	353	649	126	293	26	7	292	84	-9	+2	+1	-5	+10	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	432	391	87	17	1	9	31	116	7	13	3	223	292	344	636	121	291	27	7	287	80	-10	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	235	212	49	10	1	5	17	62	4	9	2	230	299	356	655	126	298	26	7	294	84	-5	+1	+1	-3	+5	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	249	225	51	10	1	5	18	67	4	8	2	226	295	347	642	121	295	27	7	289	80	-6	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	971	879	206	44	7	19	66	283	16	23	9	234	299	365	665	131	322	29	7	296	86	-16	+1	-0	-19	+21	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	138	29	5	13	44	189	11	15	6	235	300	367	667	133	321	29	7	296	86	-11	+1	-0	-13	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3630	3270	762	157	17	81	257	1049	70	137	34	233	303	366	669	133	315	29	7	296	86	-30	+4	+3	-27	+37	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	137	28	3	15	46	188	13	25	6	234	304	369	673	135	315	29	7	296	86	-12	+2	+1	-10	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#3Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Roman Mejias'55-'64 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,905 PA	2.9	1,905	54	22	248*	290*	401*	-14	-3	0.9	1.6
/162	664	19	8	-4.8	-1.2	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.7	1,129	23	29	233	295	363	-12	-4	0.1	0.2
/162	664	13	17	-7.1	-2.1	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Loperfido (OGILVIE)	28	40	40	60	40	228/297/356	129	295	8	15	26%	7%	86	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→44	47→45	59→50	41	232/281/369	137	296	14	22	26%	6%	82	+0.0	222/269/357	135	291	15	14	28%	5%	75	-0.5	181/219/302	120	230	16	3	29%	4%	40	-0.7
✕Conner Capel 2024 · MLB	27	47→48	44→45	53→55	49	230/300/350	120	289	11	21	24%	9%	85	+0.2	209/275/330	121	261	13	19	24%	8%	71	-0.8	194/256/316	121	233	14	16	23%	7%	58	-1.1
✕George Lombard 2003 · MLB	27	47→43	45→50	58→55	44	231/289/361	130	309	12	23	28%	7%	83	+0.1	231/291/376	145	304	15	19	28%	7%	88	+0.4	213/285/362	149	294	17	27	32%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2024 · AAA	28	47→48	47→45	57→55	49	232/309/370	138	287	14	24	24%	9%	93	+0.8	222/285/331	109	273	11	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	211/271/300	89	255	10	25	21%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2007 · MLB	28	49→45	42→45	54→60	46	237/300/338	101	302	9	22	24%	7%	82	-0.0	226/292/309	83	295	7	18	24%	8%	72	-0.7	195/268/201	6	264	0	18	24%	8%	36	-0.9
✕Brian Bogusevic 2012 · MLB	28	50→54	42→45	57→55	46	241/302/353	112	314	9	22	25%	8%	86	+0.3	236/308/361	125	300	12	20	24%	8%	91	+0.6	252/309/379	126	316	13	19	23%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2024 · AAA	28	43	47→50	57→55	45	216/296/351	134	292	16	24	30%	8%	84	+0.2	204/280/322	118	289	13	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	173/254/274	102	244	13	16	33%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	48	202/300/324	122	284	13	26	31%	10%	80	-0.1	219/310/324	105	288	8	16	25%	10%	84	+0.1	218/323/308	90	279	5	13	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→51	45→50	53→55	42	233/280/362	129	302	13	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/274/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	67	-1.1	183/246/232	49	259	2	16	28%	5%	35	-1.2
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Clete Thomas 2012 · MLB	28	45→54	46→50	58→55	40	218/279/348	131	323	14	24	36%	7%	77	-0.3	209/261/340	131	289	14	16	31%	6%	68	-1.0	203/258/328	125	272	12	14	29%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	224/281/335	111	303	8	29	28%	6%	74	-0.5	210/272/317	107	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	148/218/218	71	242	7	18	39%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Drew Avans 2024 · AAA	28	49→55	42→45	58→60	48	231/304/339	109	316	8	26	28%	9%	84	+0.1	229/296/321	92	318	7	30	28%	8%	76	-0.4	225/293/305	80	312	5	35	28%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jared Oliva 2024 · MLB	28	44→49	43→45	57→65	41	217/273/337	120	286	9	24	27%	6%	72	-0.7	227/288/352	125	287	12	49	24%	6%	81	-0.1	225/290/349	124	279	13	71	23%	6%	77	-0.2
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	46→50	63→65	44	212/291/347	134	316	13	31	34%	9%	81	-0.1	216/295/343	127	314	11	37	32%	9%	82	-0.0	210/293/330	120	304	10	45	32%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Daz Cameron 2024 · MLB	27	43→48	46→50	54→55	43	215/279/343	128	286	13	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4	226/293/381	155	291	17	23	27%	8%	90	+0.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Matt Long 2015 · AAA	28	44→53	43→50	56→55	45	217/274/332	115	285	11	21	27%	7%	71	-0.8	204/257/309	105	270	9	14	27%	7%	59	-1.6	186/236/282	96	242	7	11	26%	6%	44	-2.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	47→52	44→45	53→55	46	227/305/348	121	290	11	19	25%	7%	87	+0.4	214/307/325	111	287	10	22	27%	9%	83	+0.1	208/298/312	104	282	9	26	27%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2024 · MLB	28	46→52	43→45	55	50	222/304/331	109	298	11	18	28%	10%	82	+0.0	226/308/337	111	306	10	17	27%	10%	85	+0.2	219/309/321	102	296	9	18	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Jason Repko 2009 · MLB	28	47	44→50	54→55	44	226/300/347	120	295	11	19	26%	7%	84	+0.2	224/283/348	124	283	13	21	25%	6%	78	-0.3	220/276/337	117	274	14	24	24%	6%	72	-0.4

Joey Loperfido

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps