Leonard Garcia
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
+0.2
WAR
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2029
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.6%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Angels | 12 | 5 | 40 | 190 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 17.2% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 21 | 6 | 58 | 281 | 71 | 34 | 5 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.7% | 7.02 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 20 | 102 | 458 | 98 | 50 | 8 | 15.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 5.38 | 4.74 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 28 | 1 | 53 | 231 | 54 | 28 | 4 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 3.71 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 41 | 0 | 60 | 257 | 84 | 30 | 8 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 3.77 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 5 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 44 | 21 | 6 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 53 | 229 | 51 | 24 | 6 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 23.2% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 50 | 20 | 6 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 51 | 19 | 7 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 52 | 19 | 7 | 24.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 52 | 19 | 6 | 24.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 24.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 47 | 18 | 6 | 24.0% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 45 | 18 | 6 | 23.7% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.51 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 4.70 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 35 | 16 | 6 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 129 | 32 | 319 | 1448 | 266 | 189 | 42 | 18.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.78 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 20 | 200 | 908 | 167 | 118 | 26 | 18.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.78 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Leonard Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.37 | 23.7% | 14.2% | 149 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.59 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.2% | .364 | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.58 | 4.01 | 101 | 87 |
| Brian Marconi L 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.91 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.03 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.12 | 3.91 | 101 | 87 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 5.04 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.57 | 3.47 | 212 | 86 |
| Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.02 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 491 | 84 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.03 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .341 | 3.57 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.46 | 3.46 | 265 | 84 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.82 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .235 | 3.70 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.12 | 3.15 | 442 | 84 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.10 | 4.04 | 158 | 84 |
| Josh Simpson L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.6% | .290 | 3.34 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.21 | 3.13 | 220 | 84 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.43 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .283 | 4.34 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.09 | 4.34 | 110 | 83 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.56 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .294 | 2.75 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.81 | 2.15 | 310 | 83 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 161 | 83 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.83 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | .358 | 4.63 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.80 | 3.83 | 197 | 83 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.42 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .208 | 4.74 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 331 | 83 |
| Houston Harding L 2028 · 5.42 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.42 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 4.9% | .307 | 4.91 | 17.3% | 4.7% | 158 | -0.51 | 3.41 | 195 | 82 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.28 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.49 | 4.09 | 219 | 82 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.86 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.86 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.86 | 176 | 82 |
| Shane McCain L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.31 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 4.65 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 201 | 82 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.7% | .251 | 5.64 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +0.73 | 4.91 | 224 | 82 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% | .298 | 4.50 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.05 | 3.50 | 300 | 82 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.58 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.35 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.77 | 4.26 | 230 | 82 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.0M |
| Totals | $6M | $10M | +$4M | ||