Leonard Garcia
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 130
ERA4.92
FIP4.92
K%21.9%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Angels | 12 | 5 | 40 | 190 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 42% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.64 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Angels | 12 | 5 | 40 | 190 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 42% | 3.4 | 25.3% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 4.24 | 3.67 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 6 | 58 | 281 | 71 | 34 | 5 | 29% | 2.7 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 7.02 | 4.98 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 6 | 58 | 281 | 71 | 34 | 5 | 29% | 2.7 | 25.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 1.8% | 7.02 | 3.53 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 20 | 102 | 458 | 98 | 50 | 8 | 91% | 4.6 | 15.8% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.38 | 4.96 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 20 | 102 | 458 | 98 | 50 | 8 | 91% | 4.6 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 5.38 | 3.67 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 28 | 1 | 53 | 231 | 54 | 28 | 4 | 4% | 1.9 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 4.77 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 28 | 1 | 53 | 231 | 54 | 28 | 4 | 4% | 1.9 | 23.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 3.62 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 60 | 257 | 84 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 3.77 | 5.25 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 60 | 257 | 84 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 32.7% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 3.1% | 3.77 | 3.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 30 | 0 | 37 | 151 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 20.0% | 4.0% | 4.17 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 83 | 46 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 127 | 531 | 138 | 59 | 17 | — | — | 26.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.65 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 89 | 0 | 93 | 394 | 91 | 42 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.61 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 91 | 0 | 96 | 404 | 95 | 39 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.42 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 92 | 0 | 97 | 409 | 97 | 37 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 92 | 0 | 97 | 409 | 98 | 37 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 91 | 0 | 95 | 403 | 97 | 37 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 88 | 0 | 92 | 391 | 93 | 36 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 46 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 67 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 75 | 0 | 79 | 334 | 79 | 30 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 86 | 32 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 82 | 0 | 86 | 363 | 87 | 33 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 86 | 33 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 430 | 0 | 451 | 1905 | 452 | 179 | 60 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 79 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 154 | 32 | 350 | 1568 | 304 | 200 | 51 | 21% | 2.3 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.85 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 18 | 200 | 897 | 174 | 114 | 29 | 21% | 2.3 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Leonard Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 21.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.44 | 23.4% | 13.6% | 286 | -0.48 | — | — | — |
| Shane McCain L 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 87 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2028 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 85 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 85 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 85 |
| Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.38 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.28 | 19.0% | -0.3% | 51 | -0.10 | 3.73 | 152 | 83 |
| Kade Bragg L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 83 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 82 |
| Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 82 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 82 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 82 |
| Ryne Slack L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.89 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.81 | 4.08 | 212 | 82 |
| Michael Johnson L 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 81 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 81 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 80 |
| Quintin Torres-Costa L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .340 | 2.51 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 55 | -1.47 | 2.51 | 248 | 80 |
| Will Mabrey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.11 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .256 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 46 | +0.01 | 4.11 | 112 | 80 |
| Rio Britton L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.19 | 19.2% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .354 | 4.77 | 22.0% | 6.2% | 60 | +0.58 | 4.19 | 128 | 80 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 79 |
| Andrew Walling L 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 94 | 23.5% | 9.8% | 1.21 | 4.51 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Danny Duffy ('21) | 7 | 124 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.04 |
| Tyler Skaggs ('19) | 4 | 85 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 1.09 | 4.24 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |