Leonard Garcia — OGILVIE

Leonard Garcia P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%21.9%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	12	5	40	190	48	18	5	42%	3.4	17.2%	11.8%	5.3%	3.1%	4.24	4.86	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	12	5	40	190	48	18	5	42%	3.4	25.3%	9.5%	15.8%	2.6%	4.24	3.67	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	6	58	281	71	34	5	29%	2.7	18.0%	14.5%	3.5%	2.6%	7.02	4.86	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	6	58	281	71	34	5	29%	2.7	25.3%	12.1%	13.2%	1.8%	7.02	3.53	—
2023	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	20	102	458	98	50	8	91%	4.6	15.8%	12.9%	3.0%	2.5%	5.38	4.78	—
2023	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	20	102	458	98	50	8	91%	4.6	15.8%	12.9%	3.0%	2.5%	5.38	4.78	—
2023	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	22	20	102	458	98	50	8	91%	4.6	21.4%	10.9%	10.5%	1.7%	5.38	3.67	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	18.0%	13.9%	4.1%	2.4%	3.71	4.64	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	18.0%	13.9%	4.1%	2.4%	3.71	4.64	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	1.7%	3.71	3.62	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	4.8%	3.77	5.25	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	4.8%	3.77	5.25	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	32.7%	11.7%	21.0%	3.1%	3.77	3.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	49	0	58	253	84	32	7	0%	1.2	27.1%	12.6%	14.4%	3.3%	4.84	4.24	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	49	0	58	253	84	32	7	0%	1.2	27.1%	12.6%	14.4%	3.3%	4.84	4.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	AA RAW	LAA	35	0	41	171	61	16	7	0%	1.2	35.7%	9.4%	26.3%	4.1%	4.39	3.52	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	LAA	14	0	17	82	23	16	0	0%	1.2	28.0%	19.5%	8.5%	0.0%	5.94	3.20	—
ROS	22	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	27	6	3	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.5%	9.4%	3.2%	4.96	4.96	-0.0
2026 TOT	22	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	64	280	90	35	8	—	—	32.1%	12.6%	19.5%	2.8%	4.85	4.31	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAA	89	0	93	394	91	43	12	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.9%	12.0%	3.1%	4.74	4.64	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	91	0	96	404	95	40	12	0%	1.1	23.5%	9.9%	13.6%	3.1%	4.55	4.44	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	92	0	97	409	97	38	13	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	3.1%	4.41	4.33	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAA	92	0	97	409	98	38	13	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.2%	14.8%	3.1%	4.34	4.30	+0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAA	91	0	95	403	97	37	13	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.3%	14.7%	3.1%	4.34	4.34	+0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAA	88	0	92	391	93	37	13	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.4%	14.4%	3.2%	4.39	4.42	+0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAA	84	0	88	373	88	36	13	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.7%	13.9%	3.4%	4.49	4.55	0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAA	79	0	83	350	82	35	12	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.0%	13.3%	3.6%	4.64	4.73	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	LAA	45	0	47	198	46	22	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.9%	12.0%	3.1%	4.74	4.64	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	64	0	67	283	67	28	9	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.9%	13.6%	3.1%	4.55	4.44	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	75	0	79	334	79	31	10	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	3.1%	4.41	4.33	+0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAA	81	0	85	359	86	33	11	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.2%	14.8%	3.1%	4.34	4.30	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAA	82	0	86	363	87	34	11	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.3%	14.7%	3.1%	4.34	4.34	+0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAA	81	0	85	359	86	34	12	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.4%	14.4%	3.2%	4.39	4.42	+0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAA	78	0	82	346	82	34	12	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.7%	13.9%	3.4%	4.49	4.55	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAA	74	0	78	329	77	33	12	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.0%	13.3%	3.6%	4.64	4.73	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		580	0	609	2573	609	248	82	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.6%	14.0%	3.2%	4.47	4.08	+3.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	81	27	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.6%	14.0%	3.2%	4.47	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		173	32	371	1670	328	218	51	18%	2.1	19.6%	13.0%	6.6%	3.1%	4.93	4.78	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	17	200	901	177	117	28	18%	2.1	19.6%	13.0%	6.6%	3.1%	4.93	4.78	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leonard Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	21.9%	12.5%	3.2%	—	4.47	23.4%	13.4%	286	-0.49	—	—	—
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	86
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	85
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	85
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	84
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	83
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	83
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	83
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
Ryne Slack L 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	18.8%	9.0%	2.6%	.293	5.00	15.4%	2.5%	142	+0.93	4.07	212	82
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	81
Felix Carvallo L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	22	SU	4.60	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	132	81
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	81
Quintin Torres-Costa L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	25.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.340	2.51	24.8%	12.9%	55	-1.45	2.51	248	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	79
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	79
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	79
Luis Ysla L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	23	SW	4.88	19.6%	12.5%	3.4%	.412	4.47	18.3%	4.3%	208	-0.41	3.75	378	78
Daniel Brown L 2017 · 3.80 FIP	22	SU	3.80	17.9%	12.7%	1.1%	.327	4.22	16.9%	3.2%	112	+0.42	3.80	184	77
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	92	23.5%	10.0%	1.23	4.54
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32