Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 230 | 79 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 2.3% | 1.35 | 3.83 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 230 | 79 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.3% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 1.3% | 1.35 | 2.33 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.0% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 3.21 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 38 | 178 | 36 | 25 | 2 | 3% | 1.2 | 15.0% | 15.7% | -0.8% | 0.8% | 5.45 | 4.28 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 38 | 178 | 36 | 25 | 2 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 5.45 | 3.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 20 | 86 | 18 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 21.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 4.75 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.15 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.16 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 101 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 1 | 120 | 532 | 113 | 71 | 10 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 3.38 | 4.04 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 2 | 200 | 887 | 189 | 119 | 17 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 3.38 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wesley Moore (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.54 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 84 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 83 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 82 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.41 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .260 | 3.76 | 27.7% | 17.1% | 129 | +0.35 | 3.41 | 160 | 82 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 82 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 82 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 81 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 81 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 159 | 81 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 80 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .269 | 4.43 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 330 | 80 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 80 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 80 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 80 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 79 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 79 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 79 |