Jakob Hernandez
P
FCL Orioles
Age 30
LHP
6'4" / 260 lbs
ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100110vR 119
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%23.4%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 9 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.64 | 0.08 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 9 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.64 | 0.37 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 43 | 0 | 71 | 296 | 92 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 2.80 | 2.94 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 43 | 0 | 71 | 296 | 92 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.1% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 0.7% | 2.80 | 2.18 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 47 | 1 | 70 | 272 | 73 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 1.3% | 1.68 | 3.36 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 47 | 1 | 70 | 272 | 73 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 26.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 1.5% | 1.68 | 2.91 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 230 | 69 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 2.0% | 4.72 | 3.21 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 230 | 69 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.0% | 8.7% | 21.3% | 2.2% | 4.72 | 2.86 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 0 | 49 | 198 | 69 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 5.2% | 4.22 | 4.55 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 0 | 49 | 198 | 69 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.8% | 9.1% | 25.8% | 5.1% | 4.22 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 19 | 0 | 23 | 94 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.52 | 5.40 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 19 | 0 | 23 | 94 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 3.52 | 4.88 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 15 | 58 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.5% | 8.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 1.17 | 1.28 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 15 | 58 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.5% | 8.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 1.17 | 1.47 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.26 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.20 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 100 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 219 | 1 | 293 | 1195 | 308 | 125 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.36 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 1 | 200 | 816 | 210 | 85 | 17 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.36 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jakob Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.58 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 80 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 80 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 78 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 77 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 77 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 76 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 76 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 75 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 74 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 74 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 74 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 73 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 73 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 73 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 72 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 72 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .364 | 2.51 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.69 | 2.07 | 363 | 72 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 72 |