Jakob Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jakob Hernandez P FCL Orioles

Age 30 LHP 6'4" / 260 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%23.0%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%13.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	9	0	11	42	15	0	0	0%	1.2	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	1.64	0.08	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	9	0	11	42	15	0	0	0%	1.2	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	1.64	0.37	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	43	0	71	296	92	31	2	0%	1.6	23.9%	12.0%	11.9%	0.7%	2.80	2.99	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	43	0	71	296	92	31	2	0%	1.6	31.1%	10.5%	20.6%	0.7%	2.80	2.18	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	47	1	70	272	73	27	4	2%	1.5	21.7%	10.9%	10.8%	1.5%	1.68	3.47	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	47	1	70	272	73	27	4	2%	1.5	26.8%	9.9%	16.9%	1.5%	1.68	2.91	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	53	230	69	20	5	0%	1.3	25.4%	9.2%	16.2%	2.2%	4.72	3.31	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	53	230	69	20	5	0%	1.3	30.0%	8.7%	21.3%	2.2%	4.72	2.86	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	0	49	198	69	18	10	0%	1.1	30.7%	9.5%	21.1%	5.3%	4.22	4.66	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	0	49	198	69	18	10	0%	1.1	34.8%	9.1%	25.8%	5.1%	4.22	4.04	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	19	0	23	94	25	13	4	0%	1.2	22.1%	12.4%	9.6%	4.6%	3.52	5.31	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	19	0	23	94	25	13	4	0%	1.2	22.1%	12.4%	9.6%	4.6%	3.52	5.31	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	19	0	23	94	25	13	4	0%	1.2	26.6%	13.8%	12.8%	4.3%	3.52	4.88	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	15	58	20	5	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	8.6%	25.9%	0.0%	1.17	1.28	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	15	58	20	5	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	8.6%	25.9%	0.0%	1.17	1.28	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	15	58	20	5	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	8.6%	25.9%	0.0%	1.17	1.47	—
2025	29	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	1	0	1	5	2	1	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2025	29	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	1	0	1	5	2	1	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2025	29	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	1	0	1	5	2	1	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	BAL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.3%	4.58	4.66	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	BAL	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.3%	4.58	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.3%	4.58	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	100	33	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.3%	4.58	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		219	1	293	1195	307	123	26	0%	1.3	25.7%	10.3%	15.4%	2.2%	3.04	3.43	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	1	200	816	209	84	18	0%	1.3	25.7%	10.3%	15.4%	2.2%	3.04	3.43	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jakob Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	23.0%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.66	22.6%	12.4%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	81
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	81
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	78
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	77
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	76
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	75
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	75
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	74
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	74
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	74
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	73
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	73
Josh Edgin L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SU	4.02	16.3%	10.2%	1.8%	.303	3.63	29.2%	20.0%	43	-0.39	3.63	113	72
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	72
Luis Avilán L 2019 · 4.51 FIP	30	SU	4.51	21.3%	9.9%	3.5%	.304	5.40	22.2%	12.2%	26	+0.89	2.62	256	72
Dan Jennings L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	30	SU	4.32	19.1%	9.0%	3.1%	.245	3.88	16.6%	8.5%	64	-0.44	3.11	244	72
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	72
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	71
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	71
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	71