Kelvin Diaz

2B Salem Red Sox

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 148 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	ASalem Red Sox	109	.214/.257/.340	1	8	-1	—	.143/.174/.238
2024	21	ROKBOS	135	.298/.389/.439	2	20	51	—	.202/.275/.303
2025	22	A+BOS	36	.062/.167/.094	0	1	-60	—	.059/.111/.088
2025	22	ASalem Red Sox	121	.176/.250/.324	4	9	17	—	.134/.192/.241
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBBOS	207	.205/.264/.312	4	5	62	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBBOS	39	.214/.275/.333	1	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBBOS	104	.217/.278/.341	2	3	70	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

ISO84

Speed67

Z-Con%46

Whiff%40

K%35

BB%22

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24) · Jason Lopez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .262 / .310

PA79

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	163	141	33	5	2	2	13	39	7	13	6	234	329	340	670	106	304	24	8	305	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	178	43	12	4	6	16	55	10	20	3	242	338	455	793	213	308	27	8	347	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	178	137	29	4	2	2	34	49	5	21	4	212	386	314	700	102	310	28	19	331	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	109	103	22	8	1	1	6	41	0	8	2	214	257	340	597	126	344	38	6	266	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	135	114	34	10	0	2	13	39	4	20	2	298	389	439	828	140	416	29	10	362	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	36	32	2	1	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	62	167	94	260	31	118	42	11	138	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	121	108	19	4	0	4	10	32	1	9	4	176	250	324	574	148	205	26	8	257	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	145	22	3	1	1	9	47	7	13	6	152	236	207	443	55	209	29	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	182	25	6	3	3	12	66	10	20	3	137	230	253	483	115	181	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	20	2	1	1	21	71	5	21	4	133	261	180	441	47	244	40	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	109	105	15	5	1	1	4	59	0	8	2	143	174	238	412	95	298	54	4	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	135	119	24	6	0	2	8	55	4	20	2	202	275	303	577	101	300	41	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	36	34	2	1	0	0	2	21	0	1	0	59	111	88	199	29	95	58	6	79	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	121	112	15	3	0	3	7	45	1	9	4	134	192	241	433	107	178	37	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	145	22	3	1	1	9	47	7	13	6	152	236	207	443	55	212	29	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	163	141	33	5	2	2	13	39	7	13	6	234	329	340	670	106	304	24	8	305	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	182	25	6	3	3	12	66	10	20	3	137	230	253	483	115	190	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	178	43	12	4	6	16	55	10	20	3	242	338	455	793	213	308	27	8	347	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	20	2	1	1	21	71	5	21	4	133	261	180	441	47	241	40	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	178	137	29	4	2	2	34	49	5	21	4	212	386	314	700	102	310	28	19	331	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	224	38	11	1	2	12	114	4	28	4	170	225	254	479	85	321	47	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	244	217	56	18	1	3	19	80	4	28	4	258	329	392	721	134	384	33	8	319	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	16	4	0	3	9	66	1	10	4	110	167	199	365	89	167	42	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	157	140	21	5	0	4	14	47	1	10	4	150	231	271	502	121	189	30	9	230	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	146	22	3	1	1	9	47	7	13	6	151	236	205	442	55	209	29	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	183	25	6	3	3	12	66	10	20	3	137	230	251	482	115	181	32	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	20	2	1	1	21	71	5	21	4	133	261	180	441	47	244	40	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	226	38	11	1	2	12	114	4	28	4	168	225	252	477	84	299	47	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	16	4	0	3	9	66	1	10	4	110	167	199	365	89	159	42	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	226	38	11	1	2	12	114	4	28	4	168	225	252	477	84	299	47	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	16	4	0	3	9	66	1	10	4	110	167	199	365	89	159	42	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	207	189	40	8	1	4	14	63	2	5	1	205	264	312	577	108	282	30	7	260	62	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	131	120	26	5	1	3	9	39	1	3	1	208	269	324	593	116	283	30	7	267	67	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	236	216	45	9	1	5	16	70	2	6	1	211	272	333	605	122	283	30	7	272	70	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	300	273	58	11	2	6	21	88	3	7	2	212	274	334	607	122	283	29	7	273	71	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	39	36	8	2	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	214	275	333	607	118	293	31	8	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	104	95	21	4	1	2	7	31	1	3	1	217	278	341	619	124	293	30	7	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	147	135	29	6	1	3	10	43	1	4	1	218	279	342	622	125	293	29	7	279	71	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	290	266	58	12	2	6	20	86	2	8	2	218	278	346	624	128	295	30	7	277	43	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	129	27	4	13	45	193	4	18	4	216	276	341	616	124	294	30	7	277	43	-23	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1695	1529	264	54	10	25	114	585	34	110	25	173	246	270	516	97	256	35	7	232	43	-28	+2	+0	+3	+16	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	102	21	4	10	44	224	13	42	10	174	247	275	522	101	257	34	7	232	43	-24	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	369	7	9	210	269	329	+1	+2	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	13	16	+2.4	+3.6	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kelvin Diaz (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	203/262/310	107	282	1	2	30%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Ben Cowles 2024 · A	24	41→40	43→45	52→50	39	198/267/307	109	311	11	16	37%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/322	112	295	9	16	30%	6%	68	-1.0	206/265/314	109	283	9	17	29%	6%	61	-1.1
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→36	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/280/359	148	299	17	9	34%	7%	80	-0.1	199/274/363	164	277	21	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ben Gobbel 2024 · A	24	44→41	41→45	52→50	42	208/277/307	100	306	8	14	33%	7%	67	-1.1	216/267/338	122	283	14	12	28%	5%	70	-0.8	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	186/267/286	100	308	9	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	201/292/301	100	281	10	12	30%	9%	72	-0.7	195/293/283	88	266	8	10	27%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	39	42→50	50→40	39	193/251/299	106	278	10	5	33%	6%	55	-1.9	211/268/337	126	277	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA	24	40→41	46→50	53→50	41	201/266/333	131	287	13	13	33%	7%	69	-0.9	200/261/337	137	293	16	12	36%	7%	68	-1.0	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Jose Acosta 2024 · A	24	37	45	48→55	36	189/243/315	125	281	13	14	36%	6%	56	-1.9	201/256/297	96	281	8	18	30%	6%	56	-1.9	174/228/216	41	236	4	37	27%	6%	24	-0.9
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43→41	43→45	50	42	210/270/318	108	286	10	16	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/262/347	137	276	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	190/240/333	143	236	20	1	29%	6%	56	-1.1

Kelvin Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps