Luis Tejeda — OGILVIE

Luis Tejeda P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 170 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%21.3%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	17	0	25	121	21	9	0	0%	1.5	11.8%	9.3%	2.5%	0.0%	4.26	3.28	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	17	0	25	121	21	9	0	0%	1.5	17.4%	7.4%	9.9%	0.0%	4.26	2.51	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	37	178	28	20	4	0%	1.5	10.7%	13.5%	-2.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.53	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	37	178	28	20	4	0%	1.5	15.7%	11.2%	4.5%	2.2%	5.59	4.61	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	67	313	69	42	9	0%	1.9	16.3%	15.8%	0.5%	3.7%	6.07	5.77	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	67	313	69	42	9	0%	1.9	16.3%	15.8%	0.5%	3.7%	6.07	5.77	—
2023	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	67	313	69	42	9	0%	1.9	22.0%	13.4%	8.6%	2.9%	6.07	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ARI	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.7%	8.6%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	44	0	47	197	43	24	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.87	4.86	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	44	0	46	194	42	24	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.1%	9.7%	3.1%	4.84	4.86	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	42	0	45	188	41	23	6	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.1%	9.7%	3.2%	4.87	4.91	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.87	4.86	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	28	0	29	122	27	15	4	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.1%	9.7%	3.1%	4.84	4.86	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	31	0	33	139	30	17	4	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.1%	9.7%	3.2%	4.87	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	0	82	348	76	42	11	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.86	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	102	27	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.86	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		77	0	129	612	84	85	17	0%	1.7	13.8%	13.9%	-0.1%	2.8%	5.58	5.21	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	0	200	949	131	132	26	0%	1.7	13.8%	13.9%	-0.1%	2.8%	5.58	5.21	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Tejeda (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	21.3%	12.7%	3.0%	—	4.88	21.8%	9.6%	137	-0.06	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	93
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	90
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	89
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	89
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	88
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	86
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	86
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	46	21.7%	12.3%	1.19	4.88
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22