Rafael Ohashi

P Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ATOR	22	18	94	6.20	5.29	18.6%	12.3%	—	K 13.7% · BB 14.5% · FIP 5.93
2024	21	A+TOR	23	1	37	4.10	3.93	19.6%	14.1%	—	K 15.1% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.67
2027PROJ	24	MLBTOR	21	0	22	4.79	4.79	21.4%	11.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTOR	10	0	10	4.67	4.62	21.9%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Jeff Niemann (age 25) · Casey Legumina (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%21.4%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	37	168	50	31	2	47%	2.4	21.2%	23.2%	-2.0%	1.1%	5.40	4.83	—
2021	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	7	37	168	50	31	2	47%	2.4	29.8%	18.5%	11.3%	1.2%	5.40	3.62	—
2022	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	11	8	46	189	54	15	6	73%	4.2	21.1%	9.4%	11.8%	4.5%	2.96	4.97	—
2022	19	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	11	8	46	189	54	15	6	73%	4.2	28.6%	7.9%	20.6%	3.2%	2.96	3.43	—
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	22	18	94	415	77	51	16	82%	4.3	13.7%	14.5%	-0.8%	3.9%	6.20	5.93	—
2023	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	22	18	94	415	77	51	16	82%	4.3	18.6%	12.3%	6.3%	3.9%	6.20	5.29	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	23	1	37	163	32	23	2	4%	1.6	15.1%	16.2%	-1.1%	1.4%	4.10	4.67	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	23	1	37	163	32	23	2	4%	1.6	15.1%	16.2%	-1.1%	1.4%	4.10	4.67	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	23	1	37	163	32	23	2	4%	1.6	19.6%	14.1%	5.5%	1.2%	4.10	3.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TOR	21	0	22	93	20	11	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	11.8%	9.6%	3.0%	4.79	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	21	0	22	95	21	10	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.8%	11.1%	3.0%	4.67	4.62	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.8%	11.1%	3.0%	4.67	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	9	4	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.8%	11.1%	3.0%	4.67	4.24	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	83	21	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.8%	11.1%	3.0%	4.67	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		71	34	214	935	157	143	29	48%	3.0	16.8%	15.3%	1.5%	3.1%	5.00	5.32	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	32	200	874	147	134	27	48%	3.0	16.8%	15.3%	1.5%	3.1%	5.00	5.32	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rafael Ohashi (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	21.4%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.62	21.9%	11.1%	22	-0.17	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	87
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	86
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	83
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	82
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	78
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	78
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	77
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	77
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	77
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	76
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	76
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	76
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	76
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	76
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	75