Jeremy Rivas

SS Springfield Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AASTL	487	.204/.298/.319	10	21	45	—	.177/.253/.263
2025	22	INTLBravos de Mar…	31	.214/.267/.286	0	0	53	—
2026	23	AAASTL	104	.233/.359/.291	1	3	60	—	.211/.311/.267
2026	23	AASTL	143	.246/.348/.410	5	11	79	—	.213/.291/.339
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBSTL	5	.195/.273/.277	0	0	58	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBSTL	101	.199/.277/.289	2	4	63	-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBSTL	168	.202/.279/.296	3	6	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%87

Speed58

Max EV41

Chase%24

K%23

Whiff%12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24) · Jason Lopez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .273 / .277

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP271

ISO91

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	200	177	48	7	1	0	15	32	6	6	5	271	348	322	671	51	327	16	8	308	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	425	104	16	1	2	37	104	4	8	6	245	311	301	612	56	316	22	8	280	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	453	397	83	18	0	3	45	101	4	22	5	209	296	277	573	68	268	22	10	264	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	84	74	17	1	1	1	7	22	1	3	1	230	305	311	616	81	308	26	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	459	395	104	8	1	3	46	85	8	27	10	263	352	311	663	48	325	19	10	304	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	67	19	3	0	2	7	17	0	4	0	284	351	418	769	134	347	23	9	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	487	427	87	17	1	10	48	135	10	21	8	204	298	319	617	115	272	28	10	284	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	31	28	6	2	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	214	267	286	552	71	261	19	3	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	104	86	20	2	0	1	16	28	1	3	0	233	359	291	650	58	328	27	15	307	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	143	122	30	5	0	5	16	31	3	11	1	246	348	410	757	164	284	22	11	338	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	276	23	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	436	91	12	1	2	26	146	4	8	6	209	260	255	514	46	299	31	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	453	411	70	14	0	2	31	134	4	22	5	170	235	219	454	49	239	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	459	407	98	7	1	2	34	110	8	27	10	241	312	278	589	37	312	24	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	487	441	78	15	1	7	35	166	10	21	8	177	253	263	516	86	263	34	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	104	90	19	2	0	1	12	34	1	3	0	211	311	267	577	56	306	33	12	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	143	127	27	4	0	4	11	38	3	11	1	213	291	339	629	126	262	27	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	281	23	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	200	177	48	7	1	0	15	32	6	6	5	271	348	322	671	51	327	16	8	308	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	436	91	12	1	2	26	146	4	8	6	209	260	255	514	46	305	31	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	425	104	16	1	2	37	104	4	8	6	245	311	301	612	56	316	22	8	280	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	486	84	17	0	3	37	158	5	25	6	173	239	226	465	53	245	29	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	537	471	100	19	1	4	52	123	5	25	6	212	297	282	580	70	274	23	10	266	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	475	115	9	1	2	40	128	8	31	10	242	312	278	590	36	323	24	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	534	462	123	11	1	5	53	102	8	31	10	266	352	327	679	61	328	19	10	309	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	468	84	16	1	8	37	177	11	21	9	179	256	269	525	90	267	34	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	518	455	93	19	1	10	49	141	11	21	9	204	297	316	613	112	271	27	9	282	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	247	217	46	6	0	5	23	71	4	14	1	212	299	309	608	97	285	29	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	247	208	50	7	0	6	32	59	4	14	1	240	352	361	713	120	301	24	13	325	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	276	23	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	438	91	12	1	2	26	146	4	8	6	208	260	253	513	46	299	31	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	490	84	17	0	3	37	158	5	25	6	171	239	224	463	53	239	29	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	481	115	9	1	2	40	128	8	31	10	239	312	274	586	35	312	24	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	465	84	16	1	8	37	177	11	21	9	181	256	271	527	90	263	34	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	247	218	46	6	0	5	23	71	4	14	1	211	299	307	607	96	281	29	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	481	115	9	1	2	40	128	8	31	10	239	312	274	586	35	312	24	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	465	84	16	1	8	37	177	11	21	9	181	256	271	527	90	263	34	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	247	218	46	6	0	5	23	71	4	14	1	211	299	307	607	96	281	29	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	2%	297	267	52	8	1	4	23	88	5	10	3	195	272	279	551	83	270	30	8	254	58	-15	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	195	273	277	550	81	271	20	0	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	31%	326	292	58	9	1	5	26	95	5	11	3	199	277	291	568	92	271	29	8	261	63	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	45%	376	337	69	11	1	7	30	108	6	13	3	202	279	299	578	97	272	29	8	265	65	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	49%	394	353	72	12	1	7	32	113	6	13	4	203	280	302	582	99	273	29	8	266	66	-16	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	52%	405	363	73	12	1	7	33	115	6	12	3	204	281	303	583	99	273	28	8	267	67	-16	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	52%	402	360	73	12	1	7	33	114	6	10	3	203	280	302	582	99	273	28	8	266	66	-16	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	STL	52%	400	359	73	12	1	7	32	115	6	8	3	201	276	295	571	94	271	29	8	262	63	-17	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	31%	101	90	18	3	0	2	8	29	2	4	1	199	277	289	565	89	273	29	8	260	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	45%	168	149	30	5	0	3	14	48	3	6	2	202	279	296	575	94	274	29	8	264	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	49%	194	173	35	6	0	3	16	55	3	6	2	203	280	299	580	96	275	28	8	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	52%	209	187	39	7	0	4	17	59	3	6	2	204	281	300	581	96	275	28	8	266	67	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	52%	207	185	37	7	0	3	17	59	3	5	2	204	280	300	579	96	275	29	8	265	66	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	STL	52%	206	184	36	6	0	3	17	59	3	4	1	201	277	292	569	92	273	29	8	261	63	-9	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1085	968	195	34	0	18	89	309	17	31	10	201	280	292	573	91	274	28	8	264	56	-45	+2	-2	+12	+24	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	117	20	0	11	53	185	10	19	6	202	280	293	573	91	273	28	8	264	56	-27	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5067	4560	923	140	11	64	378	1462	77	181	58	202	275	280	555	78	280	29	7	251	56	-108	+7	-4	+27	+55	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	118	18	1	8	48	188	10	23	7	202	273	277	550	75	280	29	7	251	56	-27	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,090	19	31	203	277	300	+12	+9	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	12	19	+7.1	+5.5	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Rivas (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	55	45	193/270/276	83	270	4	9	30%	8%	58	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Rowdey Jordan 2024 · AA	25	42	43→45	54→55	46	205/281/318	113	276	10	20	28%	8%	71	-0.8	207/267/318	111	293	11	18	31%	7%	65	-1.2	196/251/297	102	279	11	20	33%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jose Torres 2024 · AA	24	36→34	42→45	53→55	37	183/238/282	98	269	11	17	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/284	100	283	11	14	37%	6%	47	-2.6	172/225/269	98	261	12	14	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Shawn Goosenberg 2024 · A	24	40→38	42→45	56→55	41	196/265/296	100	285	10	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	197/250/309	112	295	11	18	35%	6%	57	-1.8	184/234/312	127	273	14	18	37%	5%	49	-1.7
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/250/279	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	189/266/297	108	285	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/287	114	273	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA	24	41→44	41→40	52→50	48	197/277/294	96	279	9	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	209/289/307	98	301	8	14	30%	10%	72	-0.7	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	186/267/286	100	308	9	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	201/292/301	100	281	10	12	30%	9%	72	-0.7	195/293/283	88	266	8	10	27%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jake Rucker 2024 · AAA	24	43→42	41→45	45→50	42	206/272/311	105	288	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	209/270/321	112	256	11	9	22%	7%	67	-1.1	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Brett Auerbach 2024 · AA	25	36→34	44→45	50→55	37	186/243/297	111	279	13	19	37%	6%	52	-2.2	214/278/321	107	308	9	14	31%	7%	70	-0.8	228/299/342	114	318	8	12	29%	8%	79	-0.1

Jeremy Rivas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps