Antoni Cuello — OGILVIE

Antoni Cuello P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 186 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.86

FIP5.86

K%18.1%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%0.8%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	9	2	11	50	8	7	0	22%	1.2	10.9%	17.5%	-6.6%	0.0%	6.75	4.40	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	9	2	11	50	8	7	0	22%	1.2	16.0%	14.0%	2.0%	0.0%	6.75	3.57	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	21	0	24	120	17	18	1	0%	1.1	9.6%	18.8%	-9.1%	1.2%	5.62	5.30	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	21	0	24	120	17	18	1	0%	1.1	14.2%	15.0%	-0.8%	0.8%	5.62	4.47	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	19	0	29	133	24	18	3	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.9%	-4.6%	3.2%	4.97	5.98	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	19	0	29	133	24	18	3	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.9%	-4.6%	3.2%	4.97	5.98	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	19	0	29	133	24	18	3	0%	1.5	18.0%	13.5%	4.5%	2.3%	4.97	4.65	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	22	96	28	12	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	16.2%	4.6%	5.7%	4.91	6.54	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	22	96	28	12	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	16.2%	4.6%	5.7%	4.91	6.54	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	22	96	28	12	4	0%	1.4	29.2%	12.5%	16.7%	4.2%	4.91	4.55	—
2026	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	29	0	33	158	30	27	5	0%	1.1	14.1%	20.2%	-6.1%	4.1%	4.91	6.73	—
2026	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	29	0	33	158	30	27	5	0%	1.1	14.1%	20.2%	-6.1%	4.1%	4.91	6.73	—
2026	23	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	29	0	33	158	30	27	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	17.1%	1.9%	3.2%	4.91	5.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	STL	16	0	17	72	13	12	2	0%	1.1	18.1%	17.3%	0.8%	3.1%	5.86	5.86	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	29	0	30	127	25	19	4	0%	1.0	19.5%	14.9%	4.5%	3.1%	5.54	5.43	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	12	0	13	55	11	8	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.9%	4.5%	3.1%	5.54	5.43	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	11	8	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.9%	4.5%	3.1%	5.54	5.05	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	124	31	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.9%	4.5%	3.1%	5.54	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		94	2	119	557	75	101	18	2%	1.3	13.6%	18.2%	-4.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.00	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	3	200	939	127	170	30	2%	1.3	13.6%	18.2%	-4.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.00	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antoni Cuello (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.86	18.1%	17.3%	3.1%	—	5.43	19.5%	4.5%	30	-0.43	—	—	—
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	89
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	87
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	86
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	84
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	84
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	83
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	83
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	83
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	83
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	82