Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
5
5
19
72
32
2
2
100%
3.9
31.9%
2.0%
29.9%
2.7%
2.33
2.16
—
2024
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
5
5
19
72
32
2
2
100%
3.9
31.9%
2.0%
29.9%
2.7%
2.33
2.16
—
2024
22
MIXRAW
2 levels
5
5
19
72
32
2
2
100%
3.9
44.4%
2.8%
41.7%
2.8%
2.33
1.44
—
2025
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
51
8
63
258
91
25
0
16%
1.2
32.5%
10.1%
22.4%
0.0%
3.27
1.63
+2.2
2025
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
51
8
63
258
91
25
0
16%
1.2
32.5%
10.1%
22.4%
0.0%
3.27
1.63
+2.2
2025
23
MIXRAW
2 levels
51
8
63
258
91
25
0
16%
1.2
35.3%
9.7%
25.6%
0.0%
3.27
1.41
+2.4
2026
24
MLBMLE
Chicago White Sox
60
4
84
336
106
30
7
7%
1.4
31.5%
8.9%
22.6%
2.0%
2.25
2.69
+1.9
2026
24
MLBMLE
Chicago White Sox
60
4
84
336
106
30
7
7%
1.4
31.5%
8.9%
22.6%
2.0%
2.25
2.69
+1.9
2026
24
MLBRAW
Chicago White Sox
60
4
84
336
106
30
7
7%
1.4
31.5%
8.9%
22.6%
2.1%
2.25
2.73
+1.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career
—
96
6
121
493
160
44
7
6%
1.3
32.5%
8.9%
23.5%
1.4%
3.06
2.30
+3.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
25
MLB
CWS
67
0
70
296
99
24
7
0%
1.0
33.3%
8.0%
25.3%
2.4%
2.99
2.97
+1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
26
MLBMLE
CWS
72
0
76
319
107
25
8
0%
1.0
33.6%
8.0%
25.6%
2.4%
2.97
2.95
+1.5
2029
27
MLBMLE
CWS
71
0
74
315
106
25
8
0%
1.0
33.5%
8.1%
25.5%
2.4%
2.98
2.99
+1.5
2030
28
MLBMLE
CWS
69
0
72
305
102
25
8
0%
1.0
33.4%
8.2%
25.2%
2.5%
3.04
3.07
+1.3
2031
29
MLBMLE
CWS
66
0
69
291
96
25
8
0%
1.0
32.8%
8.4%
24.4%
2.7%
3.16
3.23
+1.1
2032
30
MLBMLE
CWS
62
0
65
274
88
24
8
0%
1.0
32.1%
8.7%
23.4%
2.9%
3.33
3.44
+0.9
2028
26
MLBCTX
CWS
69
0
72
304
102
24
7
0%
1.0
33.6%
8.0%
25.6%
2.4%
2.99
2.97
+1.5
2029
27
MLBCTX
CWS
68
0
71
300
101
24
7
0%
1.0
33.5%
8.1%
25.5%
2.4%
3.00
3.01
+1.4
2030
28
MLBCTX
CWS
66
0
69
291
97
24
7
0%
1.0
33.4%
8.2%
25.2%
2.5%
3.06
3.09
+1.3
2031
29
MLBCTX
CWS
63
0
66
279
91
23
8
0%
1.0
32.8%
8.4%
24.4%
2.7%
3.19
3.26
+1.1
2032
30
MLBCTX
CWS
59
0
62
262
84
23
8
0%
1.1
32.1%
8.7%
23.4%
2.9%
3.36
3.47
+0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
418
6
459
1922
633
162
44
1%
1.1
33.0%
8.4%
24.5%
2.3%
3.10
2.64
+10.5
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
182
3
200
837
276
71
19
1%
1.1
33.0%
8.4%
24.5%
2.3%
3.10
2.64
+4.6
Career
—
MLE
116
17
167
666
213
58
9
15%
1.4
32.0%
8.6%
23.3%
1.3%
2.65
2.22
+9.4
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
139
20
200
799
256
69
11
15%
1.4
32.0%
8.6%
23.3%
1.3%
2.65
2.22
+3.9
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.