Joseph Yabbour — OGILVIE

Joseph Yabbour P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 25 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%21.1%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%2.0%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	0	20	89	28	11	0	0%	1.7	21.4%	15.4%	5.9%	0.0%	3.60	3.25	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	0	20	89	28	11	0	0%	1.7	31.5%	12.4%	19.1%	0.0%	3.60	1.95	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	45	206	63	30	4	0%	1.9	21.6%	17.6%	4.0%	2.9%	5.44	5.11	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	45	206	63	30	4	0%	1.9	21.6%	17.6%	4.0%	2.9%	5.44	5.11	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	45	206	63	30	4	0%	1.9	30.6%	14.6%	16.0%	1.9%	5.44	3.46	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	41	201	54	42	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	24.2%	-4.0%	3.5%	5.75	6.36	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	41	201	54	42	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	24.2%	-4.0%	3.5%	5.75	6.36	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	41	201	54	42	5	0%	1.1	26.9%	20.9%	6.0%	2.5%	5.75	5.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	24	0	25	106	22	20	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	19.1%	2.0%	3.0%	5.79	5.79	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	35	0	37	157	34	25	5	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.48	5.37	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	15	0	16	68	15	11	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.48	5.37	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	15	11	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.48	4.99	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	138	25	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.48	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		72	0	105	496	104	99	13	0%	1.5	21.0%	19.9%	1.1%	2.6%	5.21	5.28	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	942	198	187	25	0%	1.5	21.0%	19.9%	1.1%	2.6%	5.21	5.28	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joseph Yabbour (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	21.1%	19.1%	3.0%	—	5.37	21.7%	5.4%	37	-0.42	—	—	—
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	89
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	88
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	88
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	88
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	85
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	83
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	83
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	83
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	83
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	83
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	82
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	82
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	21.4%	17.3%	1.18	5.60
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88