Joseph Yabbour
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.11
FIP5.11
K%22.1%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 0 | 20 | 89 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.4% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 0 | 20 | 89 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 31.5% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 1.95 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 206 | 63 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.6% | 17.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.44 | 5.35 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 206 | 63 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 30.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 1.9% | 5.44 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 41 | 201 | 54 | 42 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 24.2% | -4.0% | 3.9% | 5.75 | 6.58 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 41 | 201 | 54 | 42 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 20.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 5.75 | 5.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 96 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 105 | 496 | 104 | 99 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 19.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.47 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 0 | 200 | 942 | 198 | 187 | 28 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 19.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joseph Yabbour (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.83 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 24 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Kasey Ford R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.68 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .310 | 4.31 | 21.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 114 | 92 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 92 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 91 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 90 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.27 | 18.8% | 4.5% | 93 | -0.01 | 3.94 | 189 | 90 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 89 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 89 |
| Colin McKee R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 89 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.42 | 24.7% | 15.9% | 2.5% | .276 | 5.59 | 16.8% | -2.7% | 73 | +1.17 | 4.42 | 113 | 89 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.8% | 13.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 4.97 | 21.1% | 5.4% | 115 | +0.89 | 4.08 | 168 | 88 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.91 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 3.2% | .278 | 3.58 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 53 | -1.33 | 3.58 | 104 | 88 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 87 |
| Bailey Dees R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.23 | 21.3% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .248 | 4.32 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 278 | +0.09 | 3.40 | 330 | 87 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 87 |
| Max Alba R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 86 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 86 |
| Logan VanWey R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 86 |
| Vince Arobio R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.47 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .365 | 3.84 | 24.1% | 16.2% | 55 | -0.63 | 3.84 | 118 | 86 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 86 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.88 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 104 | -0.95 | 3.31 | 207 | 86 |