Emilio Castillo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Emilio Castillo P DSL Royals Gold

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 118

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%23.3%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	11	0	22	93	30	14	0	0%	2.0	21.9%	18.8%	3.1%	0.0%	2.91	3.63	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	11	0	22	93	30	14	0	0%	2.0	32.3%	15.1%	17.2%	0.0%	2.91	2.27	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	14	6	30	135	36	17	0	43%	2.2	18.1%	15.7%	2.4%	0.0%	2.67	3.56	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL KC Stewart	14	6	30	135	36	17	0	43%	2.2	26.7%	12.6%	14.1%	0.0%	2.67	2.41	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	13	0	22	96	30	10	0	0%	1.7	21.3%	13.0%	8.2%	0.0%	3.74	2.95	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	13	0	22	96	30	10	0	0%	1.7	21.3%	13.0%	8.2%	0.0%	3.74	2.95	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	13	0	22	96	30	10	0	0%	1.7	31.2%	10.4%	20.8%	0.0%	3.74	1.72	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	KC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.3%	10.2%	13.1%	3.0%	4.44	4.44	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	19	0	20	84	20	8	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.35	4.30	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.35	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	3	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.35	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	70	23	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.35	3.92	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		38	6	74	324	65	51	0	16%	1.9	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	0.0%	3.05	3.40	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	16	200	880	177	139	0	16%	1.9	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	0.0%	3.05	3.40	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Emilio Castillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	23.3%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.30	23.8%	14.3%	20	-0.14	—	—	—
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	83
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	81
Ryan Rowland-Smith L 2007 · 3.35 FIP	24	SU	3.35	25.0%	8.3%	2.4%	.324	4.89	12.7%	4.4%	324	+1.54	3.35	363	80
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	80
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	79
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	79
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	79
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	79
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	79
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	79
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	79
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	78
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	78
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	78
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.00	21.5%	11.9%	184	-0.29	3.38	311	78
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	3.98	232	78
Darien Núñez L 2018 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	26.4%	11.0%	1.8%	.377	2.59	34.2%	23.5%	78	-0.68	2.48	122	77
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	77
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	77