Anthony Nunez

P Baltimore Orioles

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MANFG #152Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	9	1	10	2.70	2.20	28.6%	11.9%	—	K 28.6% · BB 11.9% · FIP 2.20
2025	24	MIX3 levels	49	0	57	2.06	1.79	37.7%	10.0%	—	K 30.6% · BB 10.5% · FIP 2.43
2026	25	MIX2 levels	63	0	73	4.21	3.20	27.9%	9.6%	1.2	K 26.9% · BB 9.4% · FIP 3.25
2027PROJ	26	MLBBAL	72	0	76	3.81	3.66	29.5%	10.0%	0.8
2028PROJ95% MLB	27	MLBBAL	69	0	72	3.88	3.84	28.9%	10.0%	0.7
2029PROJ95% MLB	28	MLBBAL	66	0	69	3.95	3.96	28.4%	10.1%	0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%90

FB Velo72

K%70

xwOBA vs57

CompsMychal Givens (age 26) · Tyler Kinley (age 26) · Spencer Patton (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10294vR 86

ERA3.81

FIP3.66

K%29.5%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%19.6%

Proj IP76

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6060

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7296.1

Whiff%

p9032.8%

p7025.9%

xwOBA vs

p570.305

SL+2.5 (31%)

CH+2.2 (22%)

SI (11%)

FB-0.8 (41%)

CT-1.4 (6%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	10	42	12	5	0	11%	1.1	28.6%	11.9%	16.7%	0.0%	2.70	2.20	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	10	42	12	5	0	11%	1.1	28.6%	11.9%	16.7%	0.0%	2.70	2.20	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	1	10	42	12	5	0	11%	1.1	28.6%	11.9%	16.7%	0.0%	2.70	2.20	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	57	220	83	22	2	0%	1.2	30.6%	10.5%	20.1%	1.1%	2.06	2.43	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	57	220	83	22	2	0%	1.2	30.6%	10.5%	20.1%	1.1%	2.06	2.43	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	57	220	83	22	2	0%	1.2	37.7%	10.0%	27.7%	0.9%	2.06	1.79	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	73	312	87	30	7	0%	1.2	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.2%	4.21	3.25	+1.1
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	73	312	87	30	7	0%	1.2	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.2%	4.21	3.25	+1.1
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	73	312	87	30	7	0%	1.2	27.9%	9.6%	18.3%	2.2%	4.21	3.20	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			52	0	60	255	66	24	5	0%	1.1	25.9%	9.4%	16.5%	2.0%	4.07	3.18	+1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BAL	72	0	76	321	95	32	8	0%	1.1	29.5%	10.0%	19.6%	2.6%	3.81	3.66	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	72	0	75	318	92	32	8	0%	1.0	28.9%	10.0%	18.9%	2.7%	3.81	3.77	+0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	70	0	73	308	87	31	9	0%	1.0	28.4%	10.1%	18.3%	2.8%	3.88	3.89	+0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	66	0	70	294	81	30	9	0%	1.1	27.5%	10.2%	17.3%	3.0%	4.01	4.07	+0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	BAL	62	0	66	277	74	29	9	0%	1.1	26.7%	10.5%	16.2%	3.2%	4.18	4.29	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	69	0	72	304	88	30	8	0%	1.0	28.9%	10.0%	18.9%	2.8%	3.88	3.84	+0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	66	0	69	291	83	29	9	0%	1.0	28.4%	10.1%	18.3%	2.9%	3.95	3.96	+0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	63	0	66	279	77	29	9	0%	1.0	27.5%	10.2%	17.3%	3.1%	4.08	4.14	+0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	BAL	59	0	62	262	70	27	9	0%	1.1	26.7%	10.5%	16.2%	3.3%	4.26	4.37	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		308	0	329	1392	383	140	39	0%	1.1	27.5%	10.0%	17.5%	2.8%	4.04	3.59	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	846	233	85	24	0%	1.1	27.5%	10.0%	17.5%	2.8%	4.04	3.59	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		121	1	139	574	163	58	9	1%	1.2	28.5%	10.0%	18.4%	1.6%	3.23	2.86	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		174	1	200	824	235	83	13	1%	1.2	28.5%	10.0%	18.4%	1.6%	3.23	2.86	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Nunez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.66	29.5%	10.0%	2.6%	—	3.91	28.3%	18.2%	218	+0.25	—	—	—
Mychal Givens R 2016 · 2.84 FIP	26	SU	2.84	30.7%	10.9%	1.7%	.299	3.27	28.3%	20.0%	218	+0.43	1.77	526	82
Tyler Kinley R 2017 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	25.0%	10.3%	2.6%	.295	3.82	25.0%	11.7%	140	+0.08	1.58	602	81
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	81
Raynel Espinal R 2018 · 2.60 FIP	26	SU	2.60	29.1%	9.1%	1.5%	.313	3.75	21.4%	13.0%	193	+1.15	2.48	507	80
Juan Minaya R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	26	SU	3.69	24.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.291	3.63	25.1%	14.5%	132	-0.06	3.20	446	79
Luke Bard R 2017 · 2.87 FIP	26	SU	2.87	28.7%	8.0%	2.1%	.362	4.57	21.8%	13.9%	128	+1.70	2.87	388	79
Gerardo Reyes R 2019 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	29.8%	10.1%	4.0%	.310	4.50	24.7%	9.0%	46	+0.47	3.15	371	79
Trevor Gott R 2019 · 2.97 FIP	26	SU	2.97	26.6%	7.9%	2.0%	.272	4.64	24.1%	15.6%	99	+1.67	2.71	455	78
Daniel Bard R 2011 · 2.83 FIP	26	SU	2.83	25.7%	7.3%	1.8%	.218	5.69	13.7%	-1.5%	59	+2.86	2.56	456	77
Tucker Healy R 2016 · 2.82 FIP	26	SU	2.82	30.4%	10.5%	1.8%	.294	4.64	16.9%	5.8%	67	+1.82	2.82	174	77
Luke Jackson R 2018 · 2.67 FIP	26	SU	2.67	28.5%	10.7%	1.1%	.316	3.26	28.0%	19.3%	163	+0.59	2.67	580	77
Jaden Hill R 2024 · 3.02 FIP	24	SU	3.02	26.7%	7.1%	2.3%	.360	2.95	25.4%	16.0%	87	-0.07	2.48	169	76
Brad Lidge R 2003 · 2.97 FIP	26	SU	2.97	27.8%	10.0%	1.7%	.256	2.24	36.7%	28.9%	240	-0.73	1.56	595	75
Chad Sobotka R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	29.5%	10.4%	4.3%	.344	4.42	15.2%	0.8%	39	+0.13	2.87	278	75
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	75
Alex Lange R 2022 · 3.00 FIP	26	SU	3.00	30.3%	11.1%	1.9%	.273	3.86	26.3%	10.9%	108	+0.86	3.00	511	75
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	75
Rowan Wick R 2019 · 2.50 FIP	26	SU	2.50	26.5%	8.0%	1.1%	.253	3.54	25.3%	15.4%	104	+1.04	2.44	361	75
Brad Brach R 2012 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	26.8%	9.3%	3.8%	.232	3.54	24.3%	13.5%	173	-0.58	2.69	570	75
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	70	27.9%	10.1%	1.04	3.95
Danny Farquhar ('18)	1.4	54	26.9%	9.2%	0.99	3.93
Mychal Givens ('23)	2.3	58	28.2%	10.0%	1.05	3.47
Antonio Bastardo ('17)	2.0	56	28.0%	11.4%	1.01	4.01
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*
Jeff Parrett ('86-'96, 6 WAR*)	3.6	72	24.8%*	11.0%*	1.02*	4.07*