Troy Johnston

RF Colorado Rockies

Age 30 L/L 5'11" / 206 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.360 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	27	AAAMIA	528	.276/.340/.424	11	17	78	—	.240/.291/.358
2025	28	MLBMIA	121	.277/.331/.420	4	2	119	-0.5
2026	29	MLBCOL	449	.277/.352/.393	4	4	105	0.6
2027PROJ	30	MLBCOL	474	.268/.338/.417	10	8	103	0.9
2028PROJ92% MLB	31	MLBCOL	422	.262/.333/.405	9	4	99	0.2
2029PROJ92% MLB	32	MLBCOL	405	.255/.325/.389	8	1	93	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.360First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$3M2031Ext$4M2032Ext$7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

xwOBA66

Avg EV58

Bat Spd43

Speed23

Form.241/.308/.377 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .255/.324/.390

CompsZach McKinstry (age 29) · Shane Peterson (age 30) · Mike Tauchman (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.268 / .338 / .417

PA474

HR10

SB8

K%20

BB%8

BABIP319

ISO146

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

903.0%

xAVG

800.276

POWER55

Barrel%

153.7

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE40

Chase%

907.9%

SPEED60

Sprint

2326.2

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼▼28% over 64 PA (60d) · proj 20%

BB%7%▼6% over 64 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.136·.140 over 57 AB (60d) · proj .135

HR/BB2.7%·2.6% over 39 BBE (60d) · proj 2.8%

BABIP.307·.342 over 38 BIP (60d) · proj .305

SLASH.241/.308/.377▼proj .255/.324/.390

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.360 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$10M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	A+	Beloit Snappers	—	420	357	103	22	1	14	57	91	5	6	1	289	394	473	867	185	352	22	14	386	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	96	83	29	5	0	1	11	12	1	0	0	349	432	446	877	96	394	12	11	393	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	81	71	21	3	0	0	9	21	1	2	1	296	383	338	721	42	420	26	11	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	116	97	15	5	0	4	18	24	1	1	0	155	293	330	623	175	159	21	16	289	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	376	329	96	20	1	10	32	71	7	3	0	292	367	450	817	158	337	19	9	357	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	226	198	64	13	1	8	20	44	7	8	1	323	404	520	925	197	381	19	9	407	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	374	314	93	23	4	18	42	64	12	16	1	296	397	567	964	271	319	17	11	414	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	479	132	30	4	11	37	100	10	17	3	276	340	424	764	148	327	19	7	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	186	163	41	9	0	1	19	29	3	4	0	252	341	325	666	74	299	16	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	335	119	+3	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	354	314	79	15	4	12	28	68	11	31	5	252	334	439	774	188	285	19	8	344	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	449	397	110	32	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	277	352	393	745	116	337	18	8	333	105	+3	-1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	570	509	141	34	2	8	45	109	10	6	7	277	348	399	746	122	335	19	8	333	112	+8	-2	-2	-13	+12	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	420	377	84	18	1	10	37	120	5	6	1	223	301	355	656	133	298	29	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	96	87	24	3	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	276	337	345	682	69	323	17	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	116	102	13	5	0	3	13	30	1	1	0	127	233	265	497	137	147	26	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	376	340	86	17	1	8	21	90	7	3	0	253	310	379	689	126	300	24	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	226	204	56	11	1	6	14	51	7	8	1	275	342	426	769	152	334	23	6	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	374	333	80	22	3	14	25	79	12	16	1	240	316	450	767	210	265	21	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	491	118	26	4	8	25	120	10	17	3	240	291	358	649	118	298	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	344	119	+3	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	354	324	63	11	3	9	18	84	11	31	5	194	261	330	591	136	232	24	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	449	397	107	31	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	270	345	383	728	113	337	18	8	323	105	+3	-1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	597	537	126	25	1	13	51	157	7	8	2	235	309	358	667	123	306	26	9	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	597	511	153	30	1	15	77	124	7	8	2	299	398	450	848	151	369	21	13	380	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	442	99	22	1	10	34	120	8	4	0	224	291	346	637	122	279	24	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	492	426	111	25	1	14	50	95	8	4	0	261	349	423	772	162	299	19	10	341	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	537	135	33	4	19	39	130	19	24	2	251	324	434	758	182	296	22	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	600	512	157	36	5	26	62	108	19	24	2	307	400	549	949	242	343	18	10	412	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	664	159	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	239	290	357	647	117	300	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	714	642	173	39	4	12	56	129	13	21	3	269	340	399	739	129	319	18	8	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	436	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	218	281	358	638	140	261	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	475	426	110	17	5	16	36	94	12	33	7	258	333	434	768	176	297	20	8	342	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	449	397	107	31	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	270	345	383	728	113	327	18	8	323	105	+3	-1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
2026	29	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	449	397	110	32	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	277	352	393	745	116	337	18	8	333	105	+3	-1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	597	534	126	25	1	13	51	157	7	8	2	236	309	360	669	124	303	26	9	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	447	99	22	1	10	34	120	8	4	0	221	291	342	634	121	264	24	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	537	135	33	4	19	39	130	19	24	2	251	324	434	758	182	291	22	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	661	159	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	241	290	359	648	118	298	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	434	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	219	281	359	640	141	257	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	449	400	107	31	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	268	345	380	725	112	337	18	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	661	159	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	241	290	359	648	118	298	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	434	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	219	281	359	640	141	257	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	449	400	107	31	1	4	37	83	9	4	5	268	345	380	725	112	337	18	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	COL	100%	474	426	108	25	2	9	37	94	8	8	3	255	327	390	717	135	305	20	8	321	103	+2	+0	+1	-5	+10	1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	COL	100%	474	426	113	26	3	10	37	94	8	8	3	268	338	417	755	149	319	20	8	336	103	+2	+0	+1	-5	+10	0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	COL	92%	459	413	103	24	2	8	35	93	8	5	2	250	322	379	701	129	302	20	8	314	99	-1	+0	-2	-5	+10	0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	COL	92%	440	397	96	22	2	7	33	91	7	1	2	244	314	365	679	121	296	21	8	305	93	-4	-1	-2	-5	+10	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	COL	92%	422	379	99	23	2	9	33	86	7	4	2	262	333	405	737	143	315	20	8	329	99	-1	+0	-2	-5	+9	0.2
2029	32	MLB CTX	COL	92%	405	364	93	21	2	8	31	84	7	1	1	255	325	389	714	133	309	21	8	319	93	-3	-0	-2	-4	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1397	1252	333	78	6	25	109	279	24	11	10	266	336	398	734	132	322	20	8	328	91	+4	-2	-5	-22	+30	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	155	36	3	12	51	130	11	5	5	266	336	400	736	134	321	20	8	328	91	+2	-1	-3	-10	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4700	4249	1028	231	22	94	326	1040	91	108	26	242	310	373	683	131	297	22	7	303	91	+5	-2	-5	-28	+42	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	142	32	3	13	45	144	13	15	4	241	310	372	683	131	297	22	7	303	91	+2	-1	-2	-9	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jody Gerutlast yr '10 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,992 PA	3.0	1,992	59	30	262	325	433	-11	+0	7.3	7.3
/162	664	20	10	-3.6	+0.1	2.4	pk7: 7
#2Mike Tauchmanlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,734 PA	2.6	1,734	41	28	249	350	387	-13	+2	6.5	6.5
/162	664	16	11	-4.9	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 7
#3Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Robert Fick'98-'07 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,658 PA	4.0	2,658	69	6	249*	318*	393*	-24	-10	3.9	5.0
/162	664	17	1	-6.0	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 6
#5Joe Grace'38-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,769 PA	2.7	1,769	20	9	269*	341*	414*	-15	-8	3.9	3.9
/162	664	8	3	-5.6	-3.1	1.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.8	1,871	32	20	259	326	386	-16	-7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	11	7	-5.7	-2.3	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Joe Christopher'59-'66 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,868 PA	2.8	1,868	29	29	257*	331*	395*	-17	-14	2.0	2.3
/162	664	10	10	-6.1	-4.8	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Troy Johnston (OGILVIE)	30	50	55	60	40	253/324/386	134	305	9	8	20%	8%	103	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Zach McKinstry 2024 · MLB	29	48→53	46→55	52→55	49	238/305/376	138	290	13	14	22%	8%	93	+0.8	235/306/375	140	287	11	18	21%	8%	93	+0.8	229/305/367	138	276	10	18	20%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Shane Peterson 2018 · MLB	30	48→58	49→50	56→50	40	241/283/396	155	300	16	13	26%	5%	89	+0.5	212/257/339	127	296	13	7	32%	5%	66	-1.1	195/241/310	115	280	11	3	33%	5%	50	-1.5
✕Mike Tauchman 2021 · MLB	30	50→59	49→55	55	52	249/324/411	162	301	15	16	22%	10%	108	+1.9	227/318/357	130	299	12	11	26%	11%	93	+0.8	244/348/366	122	304	13	6	22%	13%	108	+1.3
✕Rafael Ortega 2021 · MLB	30	45→55	49→55	52→55	49	230/292/383	153	269	16	16	21%	8%	90	+0.6	240/316/383	143	289	16	18	22%	10%	99	+1.2	228/314/353	125	275	14	21	21%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Rob Mackowiak 2006 · MLB	30	52→56	47→55	51→50	50	258/322/401	143	306	15	12	20%	8%	105	+1.7	258/331/382	124	319	12	10	22%	9%	104	+1.6	251/335/363	111	318	11	9	23%	9%	101	+0.7
✕Jace Peterson 2020 · MLB	30	48→57	46→50	56→55	51	234/305/373	138	281	12	19	21%	9%	92	+0.7	237/321/383	146	298	15	17	24%	11%	101	+1.4	222/312/344	122	285	12	20	25%	11%	89	+0.3
✕Nathan Lukes 2024 · MLB	30	56→55	43→45	51→50	46	269/319/386	117	320	10	13	19%	6%	100	+1.3	267/323/392	125	304	13	7	16%	7%	103	+1.5	267/325/389	122	296	14	4	15%	7%	102	+1.0
●Dustin Martin 2014 · AAA	30	49→58	46→50	52→55	45	239/295/374	135	307	12	15	26%	7%	88	+0.5	251/307/395	144	318	15	19	24%	7%	98	+1.2	264/321/408	144	329	15	26	23%	7%	106	+1.0
✕Josh Rojas 2024 · MLB	30	51→53	43→50	54→55	51	248/315/361	114	306	11	19	22%	9%	93	+0.8	220/287/331	111	273	11	13	22%	8%	76	-0.4	204/271/311	108	249	10	9	22%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Abraham Almonte 2018 · MLB	29	51→55	45→55	56→55	49	246/306/385	139	301	9	15	21%	8%	95	+0.9	216/295/374	158	265	15	12	23%	10%	88	+0.5	220/317/396	176	267	19	11	24%	12%	100	+0.8
✕Jake Cave 2023 · MLB	30	44→54	49→55	55→50	41	222/283/379	157	300	16	10	31%	7%	86	+0.3	234/290/392	158	305	16	9	27%	7%	91	+0.7	227/283/377	150	294	15	10	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	52→48	49→55	51→55	44	255/308/417	162	322	14	17	25%	7%	103	+1.5	217/273/334	117	290	11	19	28%	7%	71	-0.8	192/251/286	94	259	10	22	29%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Greg Dobbs 2008 · MLB	30	53→58	46→55	50	47	260/306/395	135	299	13	10	18%	6%	97	+1.1	253/299/410	157	288	18	8	19%	6%	99	+1.2	267/304/371	103	311	9	3	17%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Mark Payton 2022 · MLB	30	48→51	47→55	48→50	46	238/290/381	143	281	14	10	21%	6%	88	+0.5	231/286/359	128	272	12	11	19%	7%	82	-0.0	231/288/355	124	272	11	10	19%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Bobby Scales 2008 · AAA	30	52→55	45→50	53→50	44	250/308/388	138	324	11	11	26%	7%	96	+1.0	245/314/373	128	312	12	10	24%	8%	95	+1.0	235/324/380	145	293	12	9	22%	10%	100	+0.6
✕Joshua Palacios 2024 · MLB	29	50→53	49→50	53→55	46	253/307/400	146	292	17	18	20%	6%	99	+1.3	229/295/358	129	283	13	13	23%	7%	85	+0.2	210/285/314	105	268	9	11	24%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Trenton Brooks 2024 · AAA	29	48→52	49→50	52→45	54	239/317/391	153	271	16	6	19%	10%	101	+1.4	232/311/362	130	270	14	9	19%	10%	92	+0.7	222/305/338	116	261	12	8	19%	10%	84	+0.1
✕David Newhan 2005 · MLB	31	59→63	46→50	58→55	49	286/340/427	141	333	13	15	18%	7%	117	+2.6	248/307/379	131	287	13	17	18%	7%	94	+0.9	247/295/388	141	289	15	16	20%	6%	91	+0.3
✕Brian Bogusevic 2014 · MLB	30	49→54	46→45	56→55	49	243/315/377	134	303	13	21	24%	9%	97	+1.1	245/301/369	124	307	13	17	23%	7%	90	+0.6	244/291/365	121	302	13	15	23%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Joey Wendle 2020 · MLB	30	53→61	43→50	53→50	45	255/309/379	123	304	8	16	19%	5%	95	+0.9	260/312/398	138	311	11	16	19%	5%	100	+1.3	265/312/404	139	316	11	16	19%	4%	103	+0.9

Troy Johnston

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps