Cameron Weston — OGILVIE

Cameron Weston P Syracuse Mets

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.2 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%18.7%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$8M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	11	43	11	3	1	0%	2.3	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.10	—
2022	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	5	0	11	43	11	3	1	0%	2.3	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.10	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	3	43	182	50	13	1	23%	3.3	22.5%	8.2%	14.2%	0.8%	3.35	2.69	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	3	43	182	50	13	1	23%	3.3	22.5%	8.2%	14.2%	0.8%	3.35	2.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	3	43	182	50	13	1	23%	3.3	27.5%	7.1%	20.3%	0.5%	3.35	1.98	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	2.4%	2.97	3.48	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	2.4%	2.97	3.48	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	18	109	440	127	32	11	67%	4.0	28.9%	7.3%	21.6%	2.5%	2.97	2.96	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	29	26	135	605	133	71	16	90%	4.7	22.0%	11.7%	10.2%	2.6%	4.59	4.25	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	3	1	1	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	35	7	57	278	75	32	10	20%	1.6	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	4.0%	7.15	4.69	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	35	7	57	278	75	32	10	20%	1.6	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	4.0%	7.15	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	BAL	34	7	56	275	74	31	10	21%	1.6	26.9%	11.3%	15.6%	3.6%	7.28	4.25	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	BAL	1	0	1	3	1	1	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.51	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	BAL	1	0	1	3	1	1	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.51	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	BAL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	10.5%	8.2%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	BAL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	10.5%	8.2%	3.1%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	63	303	80	35	11	—	—	26.3%	11.4%	14.9%	3.5%	6.93	4.71	-0.1
FULL	25	MLB A+C	BAL	—	—	7	29	80	35	11	—	—	275.3%	119.6%	155.7%	37.2%	63.34	15.43	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	123	0	129	544	104	55	16	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.78	4.77	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	125	0	131	553	107	56	17	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.0%	4.76	4.77	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	125	0	131	553	107	56	17	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.1%	4.79	4.83	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	119	0	125	528	102	54	17	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.95	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	BAL	112	0	118	496	94	52	17	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.5%	8.3%	3.5%	5.03	5.12	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	116	0	122	515	99	52	16	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.1%	4.85	4.84	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	118	0	124	524	102	53	17	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.2%	4.83	4.84	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	118	0	124	524	102	53	17	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.3%	4.87	4.91	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	113	0	119	502	97	52	17	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.4%	4.96	5.03	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	BAL	107	0	112	473	89	50	17	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.5%	8.3%	3.6%	5.12	5.21	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		579	0	608	2567	494	263	85	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.3%	4.91	4.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	86	28	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.2%	9.0%	3.3%	4.91	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		109	54	355	1548	326	146	43	50%	3.3	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	2.8%	4.31	4.03	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	30	200	871	184	82	24	50%	3.3	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	2.8%	4.31	4.03	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Weston (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	18.7%	10.5%	3.0%	—	4.79	19.3%	9.2%	391	-0.07	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	90
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	89
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	89
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	86
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	85
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	85
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	85
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	84
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	84
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	83
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	83
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	82
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	82
Corey Baker R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	25	SW	3.77	17.4%	10.2%	1.5%	.295	4.97	15.5%	7.3%	170	+1.20	3.06	267	82
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	82
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
Erich Uelmen R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	25	SW	5.32	17.9%	11.0%	4.3%	.267	3.90	19.6%	8.9%	112	-1.42	3.48	383	81
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	118	19.2%	10.2%	1.22	4.85
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10