Cameron Weston
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.8 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 113
ERA5.00
FIP5.00
K%19.5%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 5 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 25.6% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 3.18 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 5 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 25.6% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 3.18 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 43 | 182 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 23% | 3.3 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 0.9% | 3.35 | 2.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 3 | 43 | 182 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 23% | 3.3 | 27.5% | 7.1% | 20.3% | 0.5% | 3.35 | 1.98 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 109 | 440 | 127 | 32 | 11 | 67% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 2.97 | 3.26 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 109 | 440 | 127 | 32 | 11 | 67% | 4.0 | 28.9% | 7.3% | 21.6% | 2.5% | 2.97 | 2.96 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 29 | 26 | 135 | 605 | 133 | 71 | 16 | 90% | 4.7 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.82 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 29 | 26 | 135 | 605 | 133 | 71 | 16 | 90% | 4.7 | 22.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 21 | 7 | 39 | 195 | 54 | 26 | 7 | 33% | 1.9 | 24.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 7.38 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 45 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 45 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 94 | 428 | 99 | 54 | 14 | — | — | 23.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 5.99 | 4.99 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 56 | 237 | 99 | 54 | 14 | — | — | 42.0% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 6.0% | 10.11 | 5.74 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 90 | 382 | 76 | 44 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 4.91 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 79 | 44 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.89 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 79 | 44 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 4.95 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 89 | 375 | 75 | 43 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 5.06 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 73 | 42 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.97 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 75 | 42 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 4.95 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 75 | 42 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 84 | 355 | 71 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 111 | 58 | 403 | 1701 | 340 | 196 | 55 | 52% | 3.6 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.64 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 97 | 27 | 52% | 3.6 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 54 | 338 | 1465 | 318 | 155 | 39 | 57% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.07 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 32 | 200 | 868 | 189 | 92 | 23 | 57% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cameron Weston (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 19.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 20.1% | 8.7% | 276 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 82 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 82 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 80 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .308 | 4.47 | 22.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.15 | 3.72 | 283 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 79 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 79 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 78 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 77 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 77 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 77 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 76 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 76 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 76 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 84 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 1.21 | 4.93 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |