Thomas Gavello — OGILVIE

Thomas GavelloC Sacramento River Cats

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 191 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP228

ISO123

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	33	25	5	0	0	1	4	12	3	0	0	200	375	320	695	120	308	36	12	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	106	92	20	2	0	1	7	38	6	1	0	217	314	272	586	54	352	36	7	277	73	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	263	205	51	11	2	10	30	70	26	6	2	249	410	468	878	220	325	27	11	394	153	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	254	49	8	0	7	36	104	13	9	2	193	323	307	631	114	292	34	12	297	87	-5	+1	—	—	+7	0.3
2025	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	197	168	44	9	1	9	18	64	6	2	1	262	354	488	842	226	354	32	9	363	132	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	99	88	23	6	0	3	6	29	2	3	0	261	323	432	755	170	351	29	6	326	107	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	62	54	11	3	0	2	3	20	4	3	0	204	295	370	665	167	281	32	5	298	88	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	33	26	4	0	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	154	312	269	582	115	226	52	9	213	30	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	106	94	13	1	0	1	5	52	6	1	0	138	229	181	409	43	274	49	5	180	8	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	263	215	39	8	1	9	20	100	26	6	2	181	326	353	679	172	269	38	8	300	89	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2024	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	268	34	5	0	5	22	150	13	9	2	127	228	201	429	75	245	49	7	194	17	-30	+1	—	—	+7	-2.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	197	173	35	7	1	7	13	82	6	2	1	202	281	376	657	173	302	42	7	285	79	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	99	90	20	5	0	2	4	35	2	3	0	222	271	344	615	122	315	35	4	264	65	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	62	55	9	2	0	2	2	26	4	3	0	164	246	309	555	145	227	42	3	212	30	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	33	26	4	0	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	154	312	269	582	115	333	52	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	—	33	25	5	0	0	1	4	12	3	0	0	200	375	320	695	120	308	36	12	324	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	369	310	53	9	1	10	24	152	32	7	2	171	298	303	601	132	287	41	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	369	297	71	13	2	11	37	108	32	7	2	239	383	407	790	168	333	29	10	360	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	268	34	5	0	5	22	150	13	9	2	127	228	201	429	75	254	49	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	254	49	8	0	7	36	104	13	9	2	193	323	307	631	114	292	34	12	297	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	358	318	63	14	1	10	19	143	12	8	1	198	269	343	612	145	312	40	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	358	310	78	18	1	14	27	113	12	8	1	252	335	452	787	200	340	32	8	341	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	33	27	4	0	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	148	312	259	572	111	226	52	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	369	310	53	9	1	10	24	152	32	7	2	171	298	303	601	132	270	41	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	266	34	5	0	5	22	150	13	9	2	128	228	203	431	75	245	49	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	358	324	63	14	1	10	19	143	12	8	1	194	269	336	606	142	293	40	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	369	310	53	9	1	10	24	152	32	7	2	171	298	303	601	132	270	41	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	304	266	34	5	0	5	22	150	13	9	2	128	228	203	431	75	245	49	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	358	324	63	14	1	10	19	143	12	8	1	194	269	336	606	142	293	40	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	SF	—	310	264	41	6	1	6	24	95	16	8	2	155	266	254	520	98	211	31	8	240	49	-19	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA RAW	SF	—	310	253	47	7	1	8	35	74	16	8	2	186	322	316	639	130	224	24	11	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	SF	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		233	33	11	250	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	SF	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						228	0	0	213	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	SF	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	213	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	SF	—	319	272	42	6	1	6	25	98	16	8	2	154	265	250	515	96	211	31	8	240	49	-19	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	35%	363	320	57	10	1	10	26	118	14	7	2	178	269	309	579	131	242	33	7	266	66	-15	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	44%	386	340	62	11	1	11	29	123	14	8	2	182	274	318	592	135	246	32	8	270	69	-14	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	49%	400	353	65	12	1	11	30	126	14	8	2	184	275	317	592	133	248	32	8	272	70	-14	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	50%	400	352	66	12	1	11	31	126	14	7	2	188	280	321	601	134	248	32	8	271	70	-14	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	SF	51%	398	350	64	11	1	11	31	127	14	6	1	183	276	314	590	131	247	32	8	269	68	-15	+1	-2	+7	+9	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	35%	126	111	18	3	0	3	9	41	5	2	1	162	256	270	526	108	237	33	7	231	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	44%	170	149	26	5	0	4	13	54	6	3	1	174	268	289	556	114	241	32	8	237	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	49%	196	172	31	5	1	5	15	62	7	4	1	180	273	308	581	128	243	32	8	239	70	-7	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	50%	200	176	32	6	1	5	15	63	7	3	1	182	273	312	585	131	243	32	8	239	70	-7	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	SF	51%	201	177	32	6	1	5	15	64	7	3	1	181	271	311	582	130	242	32	7	237	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	894	786	139	25	3	22	67	284	32	15	5	177	269	300	569	123	241	32	7	237	62	-33	+1	-2	+16	+19	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	101	18	2	16	49	206	23	11	4	177	269	299	569	123	241	32	8	237	62	-24	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3020	2645	469	84	7	80	216	1085	130	60	14	177	272	305	578	128	260	36	7	261	62	-73	+4	-4	+35	+42	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	101	18	2	17	46	234	28	13	3	178	272	306	578	128	261	36	7	261	62	-24	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	925	25	17	184	272	316	+17	+8	0.9	0.9
/162	664	18	12	+11.9	+5.7	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thomas Gavello (OGILVIE)	25	45	60	45	45	164/258/276	112	233	7	7	34%	7%	55	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	46→45	46→40	39	196/258/318	122	283	14	4	35%	7%	63	-1.4	207/287/317	110	285	12	5	29%	9%	74	-0.6	195/283/285	90	265	9	2	28%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	38→45	50→55	49→50	35	201/246/353	152	281	19	13	35%	5%	66	-1.1	206/260/360	154	284	18	15	33%	6%	72	-0.7	202/253/359	157	273	20	15	33%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	35	49→50	49→40	45	189/272/334	145	258	18	5	33%	9%	72	-0.7	198/270/321	123	274	14	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	141/208/218	76	221	10	2	39%	7%	18	-1.3
✕Fernando Perez 2019 · AA	25	41→43	48→50	43→30	37	212/254/349	137	280	17	4	31%	4%	68	-1.0	236/280/378	142	298	17	5	26%	5%	84	+0.2	241/282/391	150	296	20	1	25%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	37→42	48→55	48→50	45	191/268/335	144	270	15	12	34%	9%	70	-0.8	207/281/371	164	300	18	12	35%	9%	83	+0.1	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Mitch Walding 2018 · AA	25	39→45	47→50	43→40	41	197/266/332	135	300	15	4	38%	8%	69	-0.9	196/289/336	140	328	16	4	41%	11%	79	-0.2	179/279/313	134	320	16	3	44%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	40→38	47→50	47→45	42	202/270/337	135	297	15	6	36%	8%	71	-0.8	191/257/327	136	288	16	6	37%	8%	64	-1.3	171/238/297	126	254	16	5	38%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Jason Vosler 2019 · AAA	25	38→44	49→55	44→40	40	202/266/349	147	267	17	2	31%	6%	73	-0.6	217/281/382	165	281	20	3	29%	7%	86	+0.3	213/279/377	164	265	21	3	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Dom Nuñez 2021 · MLB	26	38→45	50	46→45	45	200/276/350	150	264	18	8	31%	8%	77	-0.3	185/275/321	136	265	14	5	33%	10%	70	-0.8	159/256/274	115	227	11	3	33%	11%	49	-1.1
✕Kyle Reynolds 2009 · AA	25	40→42	48→50	44→45	38	211/247/349	138	271	16	6	29%	4%	65	-1.2	202/245/317	115	276	12	8	30%	5%	57	-1.8	117/149/192	75	161	8	4	33%	4%	-12	-1.3
✕Kody Eaves 2018 · AAA	25	40→42	45	48→50	40	204/256/331	128	280	12	10	31%	6%	64	-1.3	194/246/305	111	272	10	7	31%	6%	54	-2.0	177/229/280	103	249	9	4	32%	6%	41	-2.1
✕Eric Wood 2018 · AAA	25	40→50	47→50	47→45	43	207/266/344	137	267	15	7	28%	7%	71	-0.8	214/269/355	141	287	15	8	30%	6%	75	-0.5	207/261/344	136	278	15	5	30%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	45	213/295/327	115	301	10	10	31%	8%	78	-0.3	205/286/325	120	295	11	14	32%	9%	75	-0.5	189/275/311	122	271	11	17	32%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Travis Demeritte 2020 · MLB	25	41→44	50→55	47→50	42	208/274/367	158	292	17	7	34%	8%	80	-0.2	212/276/370	158	317	19	10	37%	8%	81	-0.1	192/251/344	153	290	20	12	39%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Pat Valaika 2018 · MLB	25	42→47	48→55	45→50	37	215/248/359	143	271	15	8	27%	4%	68	-1.0	212/253/362	150	270	19	5	28%	5%	70	-0.8	216/259/347	131	284	17	3	30%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	43→44	44→50	47→45	42	214/273/333	120	291	12	7	30%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/380	157	291	18	7	29%	6%	84	+0.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕John Whittleman 2012 · AA	25	35→43	48→50	43→45	48	188/264/331	143	245	16	3	30%	9%	68	-1.0	199/285/349	150	287	17	5	34%	11%	80	-0.2	172/279/328	156	250	17	1	36%	13%	73	-0.4
✕Cody Thomas 2021 · AA	26	39→47	50→60	47→45	37	203/256/354	151	293	18	6	36%	6%	70	-0.8	222/274/405	183	311	21	5	34%	6%	88	+0.5	231/282/441	211	297	25	3	30%	6%	97	+0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2021 · AAA	25	42→43	44→50	44→50	42	211/263/330	119	272	12	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	216/274/358	142	280	16	15	28%	6%	78	-0.3	211/271/360	149	264	18	19	27%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Luke Ritter 2023 · AAA	26	37→42	48→50	46→45	38	191/262/325	135	291	16	8	38%	7%	66	-1.1	201/285/347	146	307	18	6	38%	9%	80	-0.1	194/285/334	139	299	18	4	38%	9%	74	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps