Thomas Gavello

C Sacramento River Cats
Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 191 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2298ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+SF304.193/.323/.3077928—.136/.244/.215
202524AAA/AA/A+SF358.252/.335/.45214877—.214/.284/.371
202625AAASF327.186/.318/.3098853—.168/.274/.261
2027PROJ10% MLB26MLBSF16.179/.267/.2900063-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB27MLBSF69.181/.269/.29211640.0
2029PROJ42% MLB28MLBSF106.182/.269/.2932265-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV82
Speed73
Chase%60
BB%54
K%33
Whiff%31
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.9, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%
CompsBen Rortvedt (age 26) · Morgan McCullough (age 26) · Dom Nuñez (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .267 / .290
PA16
HR0
K%31
BB%6
BABIP248
ISO117
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER60
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ROKACL Giants Black — 3325 5001 4123 00 200375320695 120308 3612 324 28 — — — — — —
202322 A+Eugene Emeralds — 10692 20201 7386 10 217314272586 54352 367 277 19 — — — — — —
202322 ASan Jose Giants — 263205 5111210 307026 62 249410468878 220325 2711 394 83 — — — — — —
202423 A+Eugene Emeralds — 304254 49807 3610413 92 193323307631 114292 3412 297 28 — — — — — —
202524 AAASacramento River Cats — 197168 44919 18646 21 262354488842 226354 329 363 94 — — — — — —
202524 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 9988 23603 6292 30 261323432755 170351 296 326 69 — — — — — —
202524 A+Eugene Emeralds — 6254 11302 3204 30 204295370665 167281 325 298 38 — — — — — —
202625 AAASacramento River Cats — 327269 50718 368216 82 186318309626 123231 2511 290 53 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 3327 4001 2173 00 148281259541 111222 526 210 28 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 10694 14101 5506 10 149238191430 43291 475 197 19 — — — — — —
202322 A MLESan Jose Giants — 263216 39828 1910226 62 181322347669 167271 397 291 83 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 304265 36605 2514513 92 136244215459 79258 488 210 28 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 197173 39817 13766 21 225302405707 179327 397 307 94 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 9990 20502 4352 30 222271344615 122326 354 270 69 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 6255 9202 2254 30 164246309555 145238 403 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 327280 47616 259816 82 168274261535 93223 308 246 53 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 3327 4001 2173 00 148281259541 111300 526 210 28 — — — — — —
202221 ROK RAWACL Giants Black — 3325 5001 4123 00 200375320695 120308 3612 324 28 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 369310 53929 2415232 72 171298300598 129291 417 264 65 — — — — — —
202322 A RAW2 teams — 369297 7113211 3710832 72 239383407790 168333 2910 360 65 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 304265 36605 2514513 92 136244215459 79267 488 210 28 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWEugene Emeralds — 304254 49807 3610413 92 193323307631 114292 3412 297 28 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 358318 6815110 1913612 81 214284362645 148328 385 283 77 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAW3 teams — 358310 7818114 2711312 81 252335452787 200340 328 341 77 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 327280 47616 259816 82 168274261535 93229 308 246 53 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAWSacramento River Cats — 327269 50718 368216 82 186318309626 123231 2511 290 53 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 3328 4001 2173 00 143281250531 107222 526 210 28 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 369310 53929 2415232 72 171298300598 129277 417 264 65 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 304263 36605 2514513 92 137244217461 80258 488 210 28 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 358324 6815110 1913612 81 210284355639 145311 385 283 77 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 327283 47616 259816 82 166274258532 92223 308 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 304263 36605 2514513 92 137244217461 80258 488 210 28 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 358324 6815110 1913612 81 210284355639 145311 385 283 77 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 327283 47616 259816 82 166274258532 92223 308 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLESF 10% 377334 601118 2612114 72 182270299569 117252 327 262 63 -16 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXSF 10% 1614 2000 151 00 179267290557 111248 316 257 63 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLESF 31% 223197 37715 16718 41 184272302573 117254 327 263 64 -9 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.0
202928 MLB MLESF 42% 251223 42816 18798 41 186272302575 117255 317 264 65 -11 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.1
203029 MLB MLESF 46% 262233 44816 19828 31 186272301573 115255 317 263 64 -11 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXSF 31% 6962 10201 5222 10 181269292561 112250 327 259 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202928 MLB CTXSF 42% 10693 16302 8334 20 182269293562 111251 318 259 65 -4 +0 -0 +2 +2 -0.0
203029 MLB CTXSF 46% 121107 19402 9384 10 183269292561 110252 317 258 64 -5 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 296262 45905 229310 40 172262263525 92241 317 258 59 -13 +1 -1 +5 +6 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 9920011 4820422 90 172262264526 92242 317 258 59 -28 +2 -2 +12 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 22821990 35764851 159830106 4611 179276296572 117272 367 256 59 -38 +1 -2 +16 +19 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650567 10218215 4523630 133 180276298574 118271 367 256 59 -28 +1 -2 +12 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 327 PAwOBA .285 → .246 (−38)K% 25.1% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.08%÷1.000×1.200——30.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.70%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0337.63%
HBP% /PA4.89%—×0.940—×1.0334.75%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.000×0.930×1.038×1.03318.12%
Doubles /BIP3.74%÷1.000×0.830×1.038×1.0333.33%
Triples /BIP0.53%÷1.000×0.970×1.038×1.0330.56%
Home runs /BIP4.28%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0333.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .285 → .246; ISO .123 → .096; BABIP .231 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 197 PAwOBA .360 → .307 (−53)K% 32.5% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.49%÷1.010×1.200——38.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.14%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0486.54%
HBP% /PA3.05%—×0.940—×1.0483.00%
Singles /BIP24.04%÷1.030×0.930×1.003×1.04822.81%
Doubles /BIP8.65%÷0.959×0.830×1.003×1.0487.87%
Triples /BIP0.96%÷0.900×0.970×1.003×1.0481.09%
Home runs /BIP8.65%÷0.938×0.700—×1.0486.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .360 → .307; ISO .226 → .185; BABIP .354 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 99 PAwOBA .320 → .270 (−50)K% 29.3% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.29%÷1.018×1.220——35.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷0.962×0.700—×1.0124.46%
HBP% /PA2.02%—×0.850—×1.0121.74%
Singles /BIP23.73%÷1.004×0.970×0.996×1.01223.12%
Doubles /BIP10.17%÷0.992×0.860×0.996×1.0128.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×0.996×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.08%÷1.183×0.780—×1.0123.39%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .320 → .270; ISO .170 → .126; BABIP .351 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 62 PAwOBA .290 → .225 (−65)K% 32.3% → 40.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.26%÷1.070×1.350——40.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.84%÷0.950×0.710—×0.9883.57%
HBP% /PA6.45%—×0.810—×0.9885.16%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.011×0.910—×0.98815.70%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷1.048×0.830—×0.9886.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.820—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷0.980×0.830—×0.9884.92%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .290 → .225; ISO .167 → .126; BABIP .281 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 304 PAwOBA .291 → .210 (−81)K% 34.2% → 47.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.21%÷0.968×1.350——47.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.84%÷1.024×0.710—×0.9988.19%
HBP% /PA4.28%—×0.810—×0.9983.46%
Singles /BIP22.67%÷1.016×0.910×1.003×0.99820.33%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷0.950×0.830×1.003×0.9984.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×1.003×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP4.67%÷1.010×0.830—×0.9983.83%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .291 → .210; ISO .114 → .079; BABIP .292 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASan Jose Giants · 263 PAwOBA .383 → .291 (−92)K% 26.6% → 38.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.62%÷0.935×1.360——38.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.65%÷1.011×0.690——7.27%
HBP% /PA9.89%—×0.780——7.71%
Singles /BIP20.74%÷1.049×0.920×0.967—17.59%
Doubles /BIP8.15%÷1.005×0.830×0.967—6.51%
Triples /BIP1.48%÷0.900×0.910×0.967—1.45%
Home runs /BIP7.41%÷0.890×0.800——6.66%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .383 → .291; ISO .220 → .175; BABIP .325 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Eugene Emeralds · 106 PAwOBA .273 → .197 (−75)K% 35.8% → 47.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.85%÷1.021×1.350——47.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.60%÷0.975×0.710—×1.0124.87%
HBP% /PA5.66%—×0.810—×1.0124.64%
Singles /BIP31.48%÷1.047×0.910×0.955×1.01226.44%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷1.031×0.830×0.955×1.0122.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820×0.955×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.076×0.830—×1.0121.45%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .273 → .197; ISO .054 → .036; BABIP .352 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Giants Black · 33 PAwOBA .327 → .210 (−116)K% 36.4% → 52.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.36%÷1.002×1.440——52.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷0.983×0.620—×0.9857.53%
HBP% /PA9.09%—×0.720—×0.9856.45%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.081×0.820—×0.98522.99%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.921×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.940×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.073×0.780—×0.9855.51%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 116, 2B 84, 3B 88, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .210; ISO .120 → .074; BABIP .308 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).