Nathan Hickey

C Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2030MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAABOS	514	.234/.327/.408	17	2	58	—	.188/.253/.313
2026	26	AAABOS	231	.199/.317/.388	8	0	47	—	.160/.248/.301
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBBOS	24	.210/.287/.350	1	0	75	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	28	MLBBOS	88	.210/.287/.349	2	0	75	0.1
2029PROJ40% MLB	29	MLBBOS	125	.210/.286/.346	3	0	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%84

Chase%73

Max EV64

Z-Con%61

Whiff%56

Speed39

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJohnny Monell (age 27) · Andrew Susac (age 27) · Erik Ostberg (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .287 / .350

PA24

HR1

K%33

BB%8

BABIP291

ISO182

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	28	20	5	2	0	0	6	8	1	0	0	250	444	350	794	100	385	29	21	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	146	115	29	6	0	9	24	39	5	0	0	252	403	539	942	287	290	27	16	408	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	182	140	38	12	0	7	39	39	1	0	1	271	433	507	940	236	323	21	21	413	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	335	291	75	18	0	15	40	91	3	3	0	258	353	474	828	216	323	27	12	366	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	82	68	20	6	1	4	12	20	1	0	0	294	407	588	996	294	356	24	15	426	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	70	55	10	1	0	0	15	24	0	0	0	182	357	200	557	18	323	34	21	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	365	300	63	15	1	13	58	114	3	4	0	210	343	397	740	187	282	31	16	333	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	82	17	10	0	0	23	28	1	1	1	207	387	329	716	122	315	26	22	339	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	448	105	23	2	17	59	141	3	2	0	234	327	408	736	174	299	27	11	328	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	196	39	9	2	8	34	61	0	0	0	199	317	388	705	189	242	26	15	317	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	22	3	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	136	296	182	478	45	293	43	14	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	146	125	25	5	0	8	14	48	5	0	0	200	306	432	738	232	230	33	10	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	182	152	32	10	0	6	27	57	1	0	1	211	333	395	728	184	277	31	15	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	335	304	63	13	0	11	27	111	3	3	0	207	278	359	637	151	281	33	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	82	73	16	4	1	4	7	27	1	0	0	219	296	466	762	247	277	33	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	365	319	54	13	1	9	39	136	3	4	0	169	266	301	567	132	246	37	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	89	14	7	0	0	16	33	1	1	1	157	292	236	528	79	248	31	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	469	88	19	2	12	38	167	3	2	0	188	253	313	566	126	258	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	206	33	7	2	6	24	73	0	0	0	160	248	301	549	141	205	32	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	22	3	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	136	296	182	478	45	273	43	14	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	28	20	5	2	0	0	6	8	1	0	0	250	444	350	794	100	385	29	21	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	277	57	15	0	14	41	105	6	0	1	206	321	412	733	206	265	32	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	328	255	67	18	0	16	63	78	6	0	1	263	420	522	941	259	309	24	19	410	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	441	92	20	1	17	40	161	4	3	0	209	280	374	655	166	283	33	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	487	414	105	25	1	19	67	135	4	3	0	254	363	457	819	203	328	28	14	364	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	408	67	20	1	9	55	169	4	5	1	164	270	284	554	120	248	36	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	471	382	80	25	1	13	81	142	4	5	1	209	353	382	736	173	290	30	17	334	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	469	88	19	2	12	38	167	3	2	0	188	253	313	566	126	259	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	448	105	23	2	17	59	141	3	2	0	234	327	408	736	174	299	27	11	328	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	206	33	7	2	6	24	73	0	0	0	160	248	301	549	141	211	32	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	196	39	9	2	8	34	61	0	0	0	199	317	388	705	189	242	26	15	317	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	23	3	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	130	296	174	470	43	293	43	14	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	278	57	15	0	14	41	105	6	0	1	205	321	410	731	205	256	32	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	440	92	20	1	17	40	161	4	3	0	209	280	375	655	166	280	33	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	409	67	20	1	9	55	169	4	5	1	164	270	284	553	120	246	36	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	468	88	19	2	12	38	167	3	2	0	188	253	314	567	126	258	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	205	33	7	2	6	24	73	0	0	0	161	248	302	550	141	205	32	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	409	67	20	1	9	55	169	4	5	1	164	270	284	553	120	246	36	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	468	88	19	2	12	38	167	3	2	0	188	253	314	567	126	258	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	231	205	33	7	2	6	24	73	0	0	0	161	248	302	550	141	205	32	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	10%	281	252	51	12	1	7	26	88	1	2	0	204	281	341	622	137	280	31	9	280	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	210	287	350	637	140	291	33	8	286	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	285	256	52	12	1	7	26	88	1	1	0	204	281	339	620	135	279	31	9	279	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	40%	315	282	58	13	2	7	28	97	2	0	0	204	280	337	617	133	279	31	9	278	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	335	300	61	14	2	7	30	103	2	0	0	203	279	332	611	130	277	31	9	275	73	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	88	80	16	4	0	2	8	27	0	0	0	210	287	349	636	138	290	31	9	285	75	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	40%	125	112	24	6	1	3	11	39	1	0	0	210	286	346	632	136	289	31	9	284	74	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	149	134	28	7	1	3	13	46	1	0	0	209	284	342	626	133	288	31	9	282	73	-5	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	362	326	68	17	2	8	32	112	2	0	0	209	283	347	630	138	288	31	9	283	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+8	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	123	31	4	14	57	201	4	0	0	210	285	349	634	138	291	31	9	283	71	-20	+0	-3	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3233	2875	555	131	12	85	308	1050	24	13	2	193	277	336	612	143	267	32	10	273	71	-36	+1	-4	+21	+25	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	111	26	2	17	62	211	5	3	0	192	276	332	608	140	266	32	10	273	71	-20	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	386	9	1	204	278	337	+7	+4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	15	1	+11.9	+6.9	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Hickey (OGILVIE)	27	40	55	45	55	202/279/338	136	280	6	2	31%	9%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnny Monell 2013 · AAA	27	44→43	46→50	42→45	44	220/281/356	136	289	13	4	28%	7%	80	-0.2	224/285/355	131	289	13	7	26%	8%	80	-0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	43→39	48→50	47→30	44	217/281/356	138	284	15	3	29%	8%	80	-0.2	200/275/341	141	279	17	5	33%	9%	74	-0.5	168/255/307	139	232	18	0	35%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	39	49→50	46→45	41	202/264/342	140	286	17	6	35%	8%	70	-0.8	205/260/335	130	284	14	9	31%	7%	67	-1.1	168/213/304	136	218	14	6	30%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	43→42	49→50	44→40	52	211/307/361	149	295	16	4	32%	12%	91	+0.7	198/284/337	139	295	15	6	35%	10%	77	-0.3	182/269/315	133	275	15	5	37%	10%	66	-0.7
✕Andy Yerzy 2024 · AA	26	38	49→50	49→40	47	197/281/343	146	263	18	6	31%	9%	78	-0.3	191/256/297	106	275	12	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	143/211/218	74	223	10	2	39%	7%	19	-1.3
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	42→43	47→55	43→45	42	212/270/347	135	278	15	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	195/233/301	106	268	10	6	30%	4%	48	-2.5	179/206/266	87	250	7	3	31%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Michael Pérez 2021 · MLB	28	42	47→50	40	46	215/281/347	132	274	15	4	27%	8%	78	-0.3	183/254/320	137	231	17	4	29%	8%	62	-1.4	167/242/278	111	213	15	1	29%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Cam Devanney 2024 · AAA	27	43→42	48→50	43→45	45	219/284/368	149	274	15	7	26%	7%	84	+0.1	216/277/360	144	293	16	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	205/266/344	140	282	16	7	32%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Brett Cumberland 2022 · AAA	27	39→41	44→45	47→30	42	186/305/299	113	293	12	5	36%	8%	78	-0.3	211/301/325	114	312	12	7	34%	7%	81	-0.1	205/289/289	83	301	11	0	32%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Dom Nuñez 2023 · MLB	28	37→46	45→50	46→45	48	187/270/313	125	257	12	4	31%	10%	65	-1.2	173/262/278	105	259	10	6	34%	10%	55	-1.9	138/238/230	92	217	9	4	38%	11%	36	-1.3
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	42→39	46→50	46→45	47	205/294/342	137	299	13	8	33%	10%	82	-0.0	190/285/319	129	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	44→45	45→30	45	211/276/327	115	281	12	3	29%	8%	71	-0.8	202/265/319	117	311	13	4	37%	7%	65	-1.2	182/246/266	84	328	9	1	44%	7%	44	-0.9
✕Brendon Davis 2024 · AAA	27	38→45	49→50	46→50	44	199/273/349	150	262	17	9	30%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/309	114	269	11	17	30%	8%	68	-1.0	174/261/272	98	240	9	22	29%	8%	52	-1.8
✕William Simoneit 2024 · AAA	27	43	44→45	48→45	43	211/286/328	116	300	11	6	32%	8%	76	-0.4	194/259/307	113	315	11	6	39%	6%	60	-1.6	165/229/267	102	285	10	2	43%	6%	38	-1.0
✕Reese Havens 2013 · AA	26	44→40	45	44→40	45	212/288/334	122	308	13	4	34%	9%	78	-0.3	213/281/321	108	288	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	194/255/260	66	237	4	5	19%	7%	45	-0.5
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	42→43	52→55	46→45	47	218/293/384	166	281	21	8	30%	9%	91	+0.7	210/280/373	163	274	22	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	168/241/306	138	201	23	6	30%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Hunter Feduccia 2024 · AAA	27	45→50	48→50	47→40	50	226/298/366	141	288	15	2	26%	9%	88	+0.4	237/319/357	120	315	10	4	25%	11%	93	+0.8	236/324/346	110	314	8	3	25%	11%	92	+0.4
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	209/272/326	117	281	11	5	29%	7%	69	-0.9	220/287/360	140	261	14	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	209/274/376	167	219	18	2	15%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→38	51→55	46→40	49	202/292/372	169	266	17	6	30%	10%	88	+0.4	195/282/347	152	248	18	6	28%	10%	79	-0.2	169/263/310	141	204	20	3	28%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jason Vosler 2021 · AAA	27	42→44	52→55	46→40	41	218/277/385	166	296	21	4	33%	7%	85	+0.2	218/282/380	162	267	20	5	26%	7%	86	+0.3	203/268/362	160	247	21	4	27%	7%	75	-0.4

Nathan Hickey

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps