Dilan Rosario — OGILVIE

Dilan RosarioSS Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .275 / .322

PA136

HR3

K%29

BB%7

ISO114

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	201	191	24	5	1	3	7	104	0	9	3	126	157	209	366	84	241	52	3	159	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	201	187	40	9	2	5	11	72	0	9	3	214	258	364	621	150	310	36	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	178	164	18	2	1	1	13	94	0	1	3	110	175	152	328	43	243	53	7	157	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	178	158	33	5	3	2	19	59	0	1	3	209	294	316	610	108	316	33	11	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	3 teams	—	415	370	54	9	1	3	36	195	4	5	6	146	229	200	429	54	293	47	9	203	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	3 teams	—	415	355	73	12	2	5	51	129	4	5	6	206	312	293	605	87	305	31	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	225	210	37	6	2	4	8	100	4	7	2	176	221	281	502	105	303	44	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	225	207	52	9	2	4	11	65	4	7	2	251	302	372	674	121	340	29	5	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	97	85	13	1	1	1	11	36	0	4	1	153	250	224	474	71	245	37	11	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	97	81	15	2	1	1	15	29	0	4	1	185	312	272	584	86	269	30	15	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	SF	—	136	124	27	5	1	3	10	39	1	3	1	218	281	347	628	129	284	29	7	272	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SF	31%	231	209	45	8	1	5	18	65	2	4	1	215	284	335	619	120	285	28	8	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.2
2028	27	MLB	SF	42%	291	263	58	11	2	6	23	81	3	6	1	221	291	346	637	125	286	28	8	283	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	28	MLB	SF	48%	332	300	65	12	2	7	26	92	3	6	2	217	286	340	626	123	286	28	8	284	76	-9	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2030	29	MLB	SF	49%	350	316	69	13	2	8	28	97	3	6	1	218	288	348	636	130	285	28	8	284	75	-10	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2027	26	MLB	SF	31%	72	65	13	3	0	1	6	20	1	1	0	200	278	292	570	92	280	28	8	268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	27	MLB	SF	42%	122	110	24	4	1	3	10	34	1	2	1	218	289	355	644	136	281	28	8	272	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB	SF	48%	159	144	31	6	1	3	13	44	1	3	1	215	285	333	618	118	281	28	8	273	67	-6	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	29	MLB	SF	49%	173	155	34	6	1	4	14	48	2	3	1	219	292	348	641	129	280	28	8	272	66	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	526	474	102	19	3	11	43	146	5	9	3	215	287	338	625	122	284	28	8	272	66	-20	+1	-1	+6	+15	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	126	23	4	14	53	180	6	11	4	215	287	340	626	125	283	28	8	272	66	-25	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2456	2232	410	72	14	41	180	903	20	51	21	184	251	284	534	100	283	37	7	240	42	-160	+2	-2	+26	+70	-6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	109	19	4	11	48	239	5	13	6	184	252	286	538	102	284	37	7	240	42	-42	+0	-1	+7	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	201	187	40	9	2	5	11	72	0	9	3	214	258	364	621	150	310	36	5	272	66	-8	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2021	20	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	178	158	33	5	3	2	19	59	0	1	3	209	294	316	610	108	316	33	11	278	71	-6	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2022	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	195	162	35	2	1	2	28	59	3	4	3	216	342	278	620	62	324	30	14	294	83	-4	-0	—	—	+6	0.1
2022	21	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	120	104	23	8	0	2	15	41	1	1	2	221	325	356	681	135	344	34	12	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	21	INTL	RA12	—	100	89	15	2	1	1	8	29	0	0	1	169	237	247	484	79	233	29	8	218	25	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	225	207	52	9	2	4	11	65	4	7	2	251	302	372	674	121	340	29	5	299	87	-3	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	97	81	15	2	1	1	15	29	0	4	1	185	312	272	584	86	269	30	15	275	69	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	528	11	10	218	285	344	+6	+6	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	14	12	218	285	344	+7.1	+7.5	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dilan Rosario (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	209/275/322	113	284	3	3	29%	7%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2021 · AAA	25	42	47→50	45→50	45	213/277/348	135	274	14	7	27%	7%	73	-0.1	197/276/346	149	249	19	12	28%	9%	73	-0.1	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA	25	43→50	41→45	52→45	47	208/287/310	101	285	9	10	28%	8%	68	-0.5	196/265/303	107	280	10	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	146/216/244	98	209	10	4	34%	8%	19	-1.6
✕Mycal Jones 2012 · AA	25	43→45	45	50→55	43	216/278/345	130	286	12	15	28%	7%	72	-0.2	210/265/300	90	274	7	21	25%	6%	55	-1.4	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→60	48→45	40	191/253/320	128	266	14	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	208/281/378	170	286	21	5	33%	8%	83	+0.6	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Wendell Rijo 2021 · AAA	25	42→41	46→55	44→50	41	211/263/337	126	275	14	7	28%	6%	64	-0.8	218/273/382	164	281	20	15	29%	6%	81	+0.4	213/270/389	176	264	23	19	28%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA	25	43→49	44→45	55→50	40	212/269/332	120	297	10	16	31%	6%	66	-0.6	204/265/310	106	321	10	15	37%	7%	58	-1.2	173/241/254	81	295	9	19	41%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Ryan Ortiz 2013 · AA	25	40	43→45	47→40	49	200/288/306	105	271	11	5	29%	10%	68	-0.5	201/291/297	96	282	8	4	29%	10%	67	-0.5	190/289/275	85	269	6	0	29%	11%	57	-0.6
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	42→44	45	50→55	44	212/277/334	122	277	12	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	218/287/339	121	283	12	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	41→49	44→45	46→50	46	208/272/325	117	250	12	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	220/280/336	116	271	12	12	23%	7%	71	-0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→39	46→50	51→50	41	201/260/336	135	284	13	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	214/277/356	142	303	15	12	32%	7%	75	-0.0	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5