Brock Jones (P, Visalia Rawhide) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brock Jones P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 180 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%20.8%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	5	0	6	25	7	5	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	3.18	3.27	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	5	0	6	25	7	5	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	49	231	52	33	5	71%	3.5	15.6%	17.5%	-1.8%	2.7%	6.10	5.47	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	10	49	231	52	33	5	71%	3.5	22.5%	14.3%	8.2%	2.2%	6.10	4.33	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	13.0%	15.6%	-2.6%	5.7%	7.94	7.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	13.0%	15.6%	-2.6%	5.7%	7.94	7.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	4.4%	7.94	6.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.95	4.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	6	6	36	151	32	18	5	100%	6.0	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.86	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	2	2	15	63	13	7	2	100%	7.5	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	14	8	2	100%	5.1	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.48	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	183	105	26	100%	6.0	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		38	19	105	506	76	84	20	50%	2.8	14.9%	16.7%	-1.7%	4.0%	6.84	6.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	36	200	961	144	160	39	50%	2.8	14.9%	16.7%	-1.7%	4.0%	6.84	6.17	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brock Jones (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.8%	12.2%	3.1%	—	4.86	21.3%	9.4%	36	-0.09	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	87
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	78
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	77
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	77
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	76
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	76
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	76
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Logan Darnell L 2014 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP-	4.78	19.6%	7.1%	4.4%	.338	4.10	13.4%	6.1%	262	-0.68	3.16	454	75
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	75
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.90	20.1%	9.3%	307	+0.61	3.59	520	73
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	73
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	72
Charlie Furbush L 2011 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	18.0%	7.5%	4.4%	.310	2.67	28.8%	21.4%	154	-2.28	2.40	261	72
J.A. Happ L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	25	SP-	3.90	18.8%	9.4%	2.2%	.260	4.38	18.4%	8.3%	410	+0.48	3.37	1,890	72
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.67 FIP	25	SW	4.67	24.2%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.54	16.2%	6.1%	157	+0.87	2.06	402	72
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	72
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.58	20.9%	12.1%	174	-1.80	2.32	362	71
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	21.0%	12.0%	1.18	4.91
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76