Keoni Cavaco — OGILVIE

Keoni CavacoSS Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .259 / .296

PA76

HR1

K%34

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	92	89	9	2	0	1	2	50	1	1	1	101	130	157	288	56	211	54	2	123	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	92	87	15	4	0	1	4	35	1	1	1	172	217	253	470	80	275	38	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	260	241	38	5	2	2	13	126	4	5	2	158	213	220	433	62	313	48	5	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	260	236	55	6	2	2	18	89	4	5	2	233	298	301	599	68	361	34	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	396	374	65	16	4	8	16	200	2	7	4	174	212	302	514	128	335	51	4	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	396	368	85	18	5	11	22	138	2	7	4	231	278	397	675	166	332	35	6	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	238	221	28	3	1	2	14	131	2	1	0	127	186	176	362	50	295	55	6	165	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	238	217	44	5	1	5	18	93	2	1	0	203	270	304	574	101	328	39	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	114	106	7	2	0	2	5	71	1	0	0	66	116	142	258	75	143	62	4	122	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	114	104	15	5	1	4	7	50	1	0	0	144	205	327	532	183	212	44	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIN	—	76	70	13	3	0	1	5	25	1	1	0	186	250	271	521	86	284	33	7	254	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIN	30%	129	117	25	5	1	3	10	42	1	2	1	214	281	350	632	137	285	33	8	264	61	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIN	42%	220	199	41	8	1	5	17	70	2	4	1	206	275	332	607	126	286	32	8	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	28	MLB	MIN	48%	283	256	52	10	1	6	22	89	3	4	1	203	274	320	594	117	286	31	8	271	66	-11	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.0
2027	26	MLB	MIN	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	285	33	8	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIN	42%	92	84	16	3	0	2	7	29	1	2	0	190	261	298	558	107	286	32	8	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	MIN	48%	135	123	26	5	1	3	10	42	1	2	1	211	276	341	618	130	286	31	7	264	60	-6	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	266	243	49	9	1	6	20	84	2	5	1	202	268	321	589	119	279	32	8	262	59	-12	+1	-0	+3	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	120	22	2	15	49	205	5	12	2	202	269	322	590	120	279	32	8	262	59	-30	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1808	1673	278	54	10	30	104	804	17	25	10	166	222	264	487	98	292	44	6	215	23	-158	+1	-1	+19	+51	-8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	100	19	4	11	37	289	6	9	4	166	222	266	488	100	292	44	6	215	23	-57	+0	-0	+7	+18	-3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	92	87	15	4	0	1	4	35	1	1	1	172	217	253	470	80	275	38	4	215	23	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	260	236	55	6	2	2	18	89	4	5	2	233	298	301	599	68	361	34	7	274	68	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	396	368	85	18	5	11	22	138	2	7	4	231	278	397	675	166	332	35	6	296	84	-7	-0	—	—	+11	0.4
2023	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	222	202	39	4	0	5	18	88	2	1	0	193	266	287	553	94	312	40	8	255	54	-12	+0	—	—	+6	-0.5
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	15	5	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	333	333	533	867	200	500	31	0	351	127	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	114	104	15	5	1	4	7	50	1	0	0	144	205	327	532	183	212	44	6	232	36	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	266	5	4	205	271	324	+3	+3	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	14	11	205	271	324	+7.1	+7.5	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keoni Cavaco (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	193/259/296	103	284	1	1	34%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	47	-1.9	218/266/359	141	280	17	5	28%	5%	71	-0.3	217/263/365	147	266	20	2	26%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	46→50	50→55	36	206/261/341	135	291	12	10	32%	5%	65	-0.7	210/273/338	128	287	13	14	30%	5%	69	-0.4	189/260/326	136	245	16	21	29%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4