Edgardo Henriquez

P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.0 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX5 levels	46	5	56	2.72	1.91	38.8%	12.9%	1.8	K 29.4% · BB 12.8% · FIP 2.91
2025	23	MIX2 levels	44	2	43	4.85	3.43	27.7%	9.7%	0.6	K 25.1% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.63
2026	24	MLBLAD	61	1	60	2.85	2.20	29.3%	10.3%	1.7
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAD	65	0	68	3.34	3.32	31.7%	11.1%	1.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	26	MLBLAD	62	0	65	3.46	3.44	31.1%	10.9%	0.9
2029PROJ95% MLB	27	MLBLAD	61	0	64	3.54	3.55	30.5%	10.8%	0.8

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.953First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$2M2031Arb-2$3M2032Ext$8M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

xwOBA vs90

K%88

Whiff%82

CompsChad Sobotka (age 25) · Bruce Rondón (age 25) · Brian Ellington (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8375vR 67

ERA3.34

FIP3.32

K%31.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%20.7%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6060

CTRL3540

CMD3540

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p90100.7

Whiff%

p8230.3%

p8829.3%

xwOBA vs

p900.244

CT+1.0 (15%)

SI (25%)

CU (4%)

FB (59%)

SL-1.1 (22%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$18M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	3	30	143	30	28	0	17%	1.7	14.3%	24.5%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.80	5.00	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	3	30	143	30	28	0	17%	1.7	21.0%	19.6%	1.4%	0.0%	4.80	3.90	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	35	151	50	24	3	69%	2.7	22.8%	19.6%	3.2%	2.8%	4.93	5.20	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	35	151	50	24	3	69%	2.7	33.1%	15.9%	17.2%	2.0%	4.93	3.42	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	13	36	163	44	18	2	93%	2.5	20.0%	13.0%	6.9%	1.3%	4.54	3.77	—
2022	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	13	36	163	44	18	2	93%	2.5	27.0%	11.0%	16.0%	1.2%	4.54	2.88	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	29.4%	12.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.72	2.91	+1.1
2024	22	MIX MLE	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	29.4%	12.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.72	2.91	+1.1
2024	22	MIX RAW	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	38.8%	12.9%	25.8%	0.8%	2.72	1.91	+1.8
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	25.1%	9.0%	16.1%	2.8%	4.85	3.63	+0.5
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	25.1%	9.0%	16.1%	2.8%	4.85	3.63	+0.5
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	27.7%	9.7%	17.9%	2.6%	4.85	3.43	+0.6
2026	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	61	1	60	242	71	25	1	2%	1.0	29.3%	10.3%	19.0%	0.4%	2.85	2.15	+1.7
2026	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	61	1	60	242	71	25	1	2%	1.0	29.3%	10.3%	19.0%	0.4%	2.85	2.15	+1.7
2026	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	61	1	60	242	71	25	1	2%	1.0	29.3%	10.3%	19.0%	0.4%	2.85	2.20	+1.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			86	1	82	334	94	32	3	1%	1.0	28.1%	9.6%	18.6%	0.9%	2.73	2.46	+2.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAD	65	0	68	287	91	32	6	0%	1.0	31.7%	11.1%	20.7%	2.0%	3.34	3.32	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	68	288	90	31	6	0%	1.0	31.1%	10.9%	20.2%	2.1%	3.41	3.39	+1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	64	0	67	284	87	31	6	0%	1.1	30.5%	10.8%	19.7%	2.2%	3.49	3.50	+0.9
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	62	0	65	275	83	30	7	0%	1.1	30.0%	10.9%	19.2%	2.4%	3.59	3.63	+0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	59	0	62	263	77	29	7	0%	1.1	29.3%	11.1%	18.2%	2.5%	3.72	3.80	+0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	62	0	65	274	85	30	6	0%	1.0	31.1%	10.9%	20.2%	2.2%	3.46	3.44	+0.9
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	61	0	64	270	82	29	6	0%	1.0	30.5%	10.8%	19.7%	2.3%	3.54	3.55	+0.8
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	59	0	62	262	79	28	6	0%	1.1	30.0%	10.9%	19.2%	2.5%	3.65	3.69	+0.7
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	56	0	59	249	73	28	7	0%	1.1	29.3%	11.1%	18.2%	2.6%	3.78	3.86	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		324	1	332	1389	413	147	28	0%	1.0	29.8%	10.6%	19.2%	2.0%	3.39	3.05	+5.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	1	200	836	249	89	17	0%	1.0	29.8%	10.6%	19.2%	2.0%	3.39	3.05	+3.6
Career	—	MLE		196	33	259	1134	278	159	16	17%	1.3	24.5%	14.0%	10.5%	1.4%	3.89	3.56	+5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	25	200	875	214	123	12	17%	1.3	24.5%	14.0%	10.5%	1.4%	3.89	3.56	+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgardo Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.32	31.7%	11.1%	2.0%	—	3.50	30.6%	19.7%	201	+0.18	—	—	—
Chad Sobotka R 2018 · 2.87 FIP	25	SU	2.87	29.4%	11.9%	1.4%	.206	4.35	23.2%	11.1%	89	+1.48	2.87	278	72
Bruce Rondón R 2016 · 3.36 FIP	25	SU	3.36	29.0%	10.0%	2.6%	.284	3.41	25.1%	10.5%	82	+0.05	3.11	212	71
Brian Ellington R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	25	SU	3.44	27.5%	14.3%	1.6%	.252	5.01	24.6%	9.0%	97	+1.57	2.75	233	70
J.B. Wendelken R 2018 · 3.31 FIP	25	SU	3.31	29.5%	9.5%	2.7%	.286	3.78	23.3%	14.1%	140	+0.47	3.08	393	70
Diego Castillo R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	25	SU	3.26	27.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.285	3.54	27.8%	19.8%	134	+0.28	2.38	524	70
John McMillon R 2023 · 2.28 FIP	25	SU	2.28	34.9%	13.5%	0.8%	.279	6.14	21.2%	5.9%	67	+3.86	2.28	152	69
Ben Heller R 2017 · 2.86 FIP	25	SU	2.86	32.4%	9.4%	2.4%	.243	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	246	69
Luis Guerrero R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	28.4%	12.1%	2.8%	.270	6.46	17.2%	3.0%	92	+2.71	2.88	232	69
Jaden Hill R 2024 · 3.02 FIP	24	SU	3.02	26.7%	7.1%	2.3%	.360	2.95	25.4%	16.0%	87	-0.07	2.48	169	69
Arodys Vizcaíno R 2016 · 3.36 FIP	25	SU	3.36	27.5%	12.6%	1.8%	.321	3.49	26.4%	17.8%	96	+0.13	2.28	201	69
Aaron Barrett R 2014 · 2.35 FIP	26	SU	2.35	28.2%	10.3%	0.6%	.302	1.86	28.5%	22.8%	29	-0.49	1.86	160	68
José Leclerc R 2019 · 3.12 FIP	25	SU	3.12	33.4%	12.7%	2.2%	.292	3.43	27.3%	16.7%	48	+0.31	1.48	527	68
Hansel Robles R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	25	SU	3.32	25.7%	9.7%	2.1%	.300	3.97	24.2%	15.3%	209	+0.65	2.67	469	68
Dominic Leone R 2017 · 2.74 FIP	25	SU	2.74	29.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.262	4.25	26.2%	16.6%	96	+1.51	2.74	514	68
Ken Giles R 2016 · 2.73 FIP	25	SU	2.73	35.7%	8.4%	2.9%	.342	2.39	33.0%	26.3%	166	-0.34	0.92	414	67
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	67
Camilo Doval R 2022 · 2.81 FIP	25	SU	2.81	28.0%	9.8%	1.5%	.287	2.87	28.6%	17.7%	192	+0.06	2.02	541	67
Isaiah Campbell R 2023 · 3.35 FIP	25	SU	3.35	25.5%	9.2%	2.3%	.273	4.01	19.1%	12.4%	128	+0.66	3.31	246	67
Daniel Bard R 2010 · 3.23 FIP	25	SU	3.23	25.8%	9.2%	2.1%	.210	4.11	20.3%	9.5%	132	+0.88	2.56	456	66
Neil Ramírez R 2014 · 2.43 FIP	25	SU	2.43	29.9%	9.6%	1.2%	.257	4.83	26.1%	13.9%	104	+2.40	2.43	264	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	69	30.1%	10.7%	0.77	3.35
Brad Lidge ('12)	3.0	75	30.9%	11.1%	0.85	3.54
Greg Holland ('22)	2.7	55	29.8%	10.6%	0.71	3.14
Jordan Walden ('15)	1.1	56	28.6%	10.3%	0.53	3.00
Al Hrabosky ('70-'82, 10 WAR*)	3.6	72	26.7%*	10.1%*	0.98*	3.50*
Randy Myers ('85-'98, 16 WAR*)	4.4	74	29.4%*	10.4%*	0.92*	3.47*
Tippy Martinez ('74-'88, 9 WAR*)	4.2	76	27.7%*	12.0%*	0.77*	3.82*