Angel Chivilli
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2028
ERA5.58
FIP5.13
xFIP7.49
SIERA5.85
K%19.0%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%10.5%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
STUF6060
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†6060
FB Velo
p8797.1
Whiff%
p7829.7%
K%
p1015.6%
xwOBA vs
p120.357
FB (27%)
SL-0.6 (27%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 12 | 45 | 192 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 15.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 4.00 | 3.78 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 8 | 39 | 159 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 19.2% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 3.49 | 2.70 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 32 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 21.8% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 2.21 | 2.63 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 53 | 0 | 61 | 271 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 19.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 5.61 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 55 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 70 | 22 | 9 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 3.43 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 53 | 0 | 68 | 313 | 53 | 24 | 13 | 15.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.05 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 24 | — | 24 | 102 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 5.64 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 33 | 136 | 36 | 13 | 5 | 26.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 4.38 | 3.49 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 52 | 19 | 8 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 5.03 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 53 | 19 | 8 | 25.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.76 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 53 | 19 | 8 | 24.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.65 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 52 | 19 | 8 | 24.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.62 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 49 | 19 | 8 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 23.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 44 | 18 | 8 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 38 | 17 | 7 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 21.2% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 5.18 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 5.32 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 35 | — | 35 | 146 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 19.7% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 5.48 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 20 | 322 | 1387 | 271 | 112 | 44 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.23 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 138 | 12 | 200 | 861 | 168 | 69 | 27 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.23 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Chivilli (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% | — | 4.62 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 150 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Will Vest R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .282 | 3.66 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 124 | -0.05 | 2.53 | 421 | 80 |
| R.J. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.87 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .348 | 3.38 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 112 | -1.49 | 3.01 | 302 | 78 |
| Bobby Wahl R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.68 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .250 | 2.67 | 36.7% | 26.0% | 58 | -1.01 | 2.03 | 148 | 76 |
| James Sherfy R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.98 | 28.7% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .225 | 3.13 | 27.2% | 18.1% | 164 | -0.85 | 2.64 | 271 | 74 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .299 | 5.28 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.38 | 3.90 | 158 | 74 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .371 | 4.34 | 19.8% | 6.9% | 128 | +0.14 | 3.89 | 176 | 74 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.62 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .233 | 3.64 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.98 | 3.54 | 156 | 73 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.34 | 3.85 | 100 | 73 |
| Dany Jiménez R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% | .296 | 3.42 | 32.2% | 21.1% | 104 | -1.57 | 3.16 | 321 | 73 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .260 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 283 | 72 |
| Patrick Ruotolo R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 27.5% | 10.6% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.63 | 28.9% | 25.8% | 37 | -0.57 | 3.02 | 190 | 72 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 100 | 72 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .175 | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 195 | -0.11 | 3.66 | 242 | 72 |
| Joel Kuhnel R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.12 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | .226 | 3.58 | 22.0% | 16.9% | 58 | -0.54 | 2.64 | 412 | 72 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .261 | 3.88 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 114 | -0.55 | 3.82 | 142 | 72 |
| Heath Hembree R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.00 | 18.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .256 | 3.93 | 25.6% | 17.6% | 173 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 382 | 72 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.79 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .336 | 3.35 | 26.7% | 14.0% | 140 | -0.44 | 3.30 | 184 | 72 |
| Bear Bellomy R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.54 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | .274 | 5.62 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 72 | +1.08 | 4.54 | 139 | 72 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 4.11 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.20 | 4.01 | 142 | 72 |
| José Cisnero R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.