Angel Chivilli — OGILVIE

Angel Chivilli P New York Yankees

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs MLB ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.60

FIP4.37

K%22.2%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%13.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.0

Whiff%

p9032.6%

p4821.9%

xwOBA vs

p530.309

FB (21%)

SL-0.6 (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	12	45	192	45	10	3	100%	3.8	15.9%	6.5%	9.4%	2.2%	4.00	3.78	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	12	45	192	45	10	3	100%	3.8	23.4%	5.2%	18.2%	1.6%	4.00	2.63	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	8	39	159	45	8	1	73%	3.5	19.2%	6.3%	13.0%	0.8%	3.49	2.72	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	8	39	159	45	8	1	73%	3.5	28.3%	5.0%	23.3%	0.6%	3.49	1.73	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	41	167	51	10	1	0%	1.3	21.8%	7.2%	14.5%	0.8%	2.21	2.63	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	41	167	51	10	1	0%	1.3	30.5%	6.0%	24.6%	0.6%	2.21	1.65	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	61	271	68	21	9	0%	1.2	19.6%	9.0%	10.6%	4.2%	5.61	4.90	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	61	271	68	21	9	0%	1.2	19.6%	9.0%	10.6%	4.2%	5.61	4.90	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	61	271	68	21	9	0%	1.2	25.1%	7.7%	17.3%	3.3%	5.61	3.82	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	0	60	251	70	22	9	0%	1.1	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	3.7%	3.43	4.30	+0.2
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	0	60	251	70	22	9	0%	1.1	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	3.7%	3.43	4.30	+0.2
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	0	60	251	70	22	9	0%	1.1	27.9%	8.8%	19.1%	3.6%	3.43	3.81	+0.5
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	68	313	53	24	13	0%	1.3	15.6%	8.0%	7.6%	4.2%	7.05	5.09	-0.4
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	68	313	53	24	13	0%	1.3	15.6%	8.0%	7.6%	4.2%	7.05	5.09	-0.4
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	68	313	53	24	13	0%	1.3	16.9%	7.7%	9.3%	4.2%	7.05	5.10	-0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			88	0	107	481	87	39	24	0%	1.2	18.1%	8.1%	10.0%	5.0%	5.80	5.48	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	28	1	35	140	35	11	5	4%	1.2	22.7%	7.6%	15.1%	3.5%	2.34	4.04	+0.2
YTD	24	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	28	1	35	140	35	11	5	4%	1.2	22.7%	7.6%	15.1%	3.5%	2.34	4.04	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	NYY	13	1	18	67	19	4	1	8%	1.4	28.4%	6.0%	22.4%	1.5%	1.00	2.28	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	NYY	15	0	17	73	16	7	4	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.6%	12.3%	5.5%	3.78	5.47	-0.2
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	NYY	15	0	17	73	16	7	4	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.6%	12.3%	5.5%	3.78	5.47	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	27	6	2	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	8.7%	13.5%	3.7%	4.60	4.37	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	NYY	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	8.7%	13.5%	3.7%	4.60	4.37	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	41	167	41	13	6	—	—	24.5%	8.0%	16.6%	3.6%	2.69	4.09	+0.2
FULL	24	MLB A+C	NYY	—	—	23	97	41	13	6	—	—	42.2%	13.7%	28.4%	6.2%	4.79	4.67	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	72	0	75	318	73	28	13	0%	1.0	23.1%	8.9%	14.1%	3.9%	4.96	4.82	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	72	0	75	318	75	28	13	0%	1.0	23.7%	8.9%	14.9%	3.9%	4.84	4.76	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYY	71	0	74	313	74	28	12	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.0%	14.8%	4.0%	4.82	4.80	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYY	68	0	72	304	72	28	12	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.1%	14.5%	4.1%	4.86	4.89	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYY	65	0	69	290	67	27	12	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	4.2%	4.97	5.05	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	NYY	62	0	65	273	61	26	12	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.6%	12.7%	4.4%	5.14	5.25	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	68	0	71	300	69	27	12	0%	1.0	23.1%	8.9%	14.1%	3.9%	4.96	4.82	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	68	0	71	300	71	27	12	0%	1.0	23.7%	8.9%	14.9%	3.9%	4.84	4.76	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYY	67	0	70	296	70	26	12	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.0%	14.8%	4.0%	4.82	4.80	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYY	65	0	68	287	68	26	12	0%	1.0	23.6%	9.1%	14.5%	4.1%	4.86	4.89	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYY	62	0	65	274	63	26	12	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	4.2%	4.97	5.05	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	NYY	58	0	61	258	57	25	11	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.6%	12.7%	4.4%	5.14	5.25	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		483	0	522	2231	494	199	96	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.9%	13.2%	4.3%	5.10	4.71	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	0	200	856	189	76	37	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.9%	13.2%	4.3%	5.10	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		244	21	348	1493	292	119	45	9%	1.4	19.6%	8.0%	11.6%	3.0%	4.34	4.13	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	12	200	858	168	68	26	9%	1.4	19.6%	8.0%	11.6%	3.0%	4.34	4.13	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Chivilli (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	22.0%	8.9%	3.7%	—	4.79	23.5%	14.6%	224	-0.01	—	—	—
R.J. Alvarez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	23.1%	11.3%	4.0%	.348	3.38	22.4%	10.7%	112	-1.41	3.01	302	81
Will Vest R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.65	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.06	2.56	448	80
Matt Barnes R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	20.3%	10.3%	3.4%	.333	3.12	29.8%	19.3%	198	-1.43	2.54	495	77
Heath Hembree R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	26	SU	3.95	18.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.256	3.89	25.6%	17.6%	173	-0.06	2.58	382	77
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	76
Dany Jiménez R 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	21.6%	9.5%	4.6%	.296	3.42	32.2%	21.1%	104	-1.57	3.17	321	75
Joel Kuhnel R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	19.5%	6.5%	3.4%	.226	3.49	22.0%	16.9%	58	-0.64	2.64	465	75
Alex Hoppe R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	23.7%	9.2%	3.5%	.371	3.94	20.7%	8.7%	184	-0.27	3.13	233	75
Bobby Wahl R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	24	SU	3.68	24.5%	11.1%	2.3%	.250	2.70	36.7%	26.0%	58	-0.98	2.03	148	75
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	75
José Ruiz R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	24	SU	4.23	18.8%	11.5%	2.3%	.345	4.09	24.4%	13.8%	126	-0.14	3.43	459	74
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	73
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	73
Blair Calvo R 2021 · 3.86 FIP	25	SU	3.86	18.6%	9.1%	2.1%	.320	4.11	22.6%	10.6%	92	+0.25	2.86	181	73
Héctor Neris R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.03	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	2.03	682	73
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	73
Jay Flaa R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	18.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.306	4.28	21.8%	9.2%	191	-0.40	3.59	273	73
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	73
Daniel Palencia R 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SU	4.18	24.9%	12.0%	3.0%	.269	3.16	28.3%	18.6%	130	-1.02	2.91	304	73
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	71	23.1%	9.1%	1.57	4.94
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43