Hagen Danner — OGILVIE

Hagen Danner P Salt Lake Bees

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%19.0%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	25	0	36	143	42	12	2	0%	1.4	22.6%	9.7%	13.0%	1.9%	2.02	3.47	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	25	0	36	143	42	12	2	0%	1.4	29.4%	8.4%	21.0%	1.4%	2.02	2.48	—
2022	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	4	0	4	19	1	2	0	0%	0.9	5.3%	10.5%	-5.3%	0.0%	4.91	3.99	—
2022	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	4	0	4	19	1	2	0	0%	0.9	5.3%	10.5%	-5.3%	0.0%	4.91	4.19	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	1	40	158	56	11	8	3%	1.2	26.2%	5.7%	20.5%	8.7%	3.63	6.36	-0.8
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	1	40	158	56	11	8	3%	1.2	26.2%	5.7%	20.5%	8.7%	3.63	6.36	-0.8
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	1	40	158	56	11	8	3%	1.2	35.4%	7.0%	28.5%	5.1%	3.63	3.73	+0.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	19.3%	8.0%	11.3%	3.0%	3.06	4.15	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	19.3%	8.0%	11.3%	3.0%	3.06	4.15	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	8.7%	15.4%	2.7%	3.06	3.64	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	7.1%	10.6%	3.3%	5.59	4.29	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	7.1%	10.6%	3.3%	5.59	4.29	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	3.6%	5.59	4.32	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	14.0%	4.3%	2.2%	6.35	4.54	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	14.0%	4.3%	2.2%	6.35	4.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	LAA	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.6%	6.5%	2.0%	6.35	4.31	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAA	30	0	32	135	26	11	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	7.8%	11.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.64	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAA	13	0	14	59	11	5	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	7.8%	11.5%	3.4%	4.65	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	58	11	4	2	0%	1.0	19.0%	7.7%	11.3%	3.3%	4.53	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	839	158	58	29	0%	1.0	19.0%	7.7%	11.3%	3.3%	4.53	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		188	1	210	920	185	83	34	1%	1.1	20.1%	9.0%	11.1%	3.6%	4.32	4.54	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	1	200	875	176	79	32	1%	1.1	20.1%	9.0%	11.1%	3.6%	4.32	4.54	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hagen Danner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	19.0%	7.5%	3.2%	—	4.64	19.3%	11.5%	32	+0.06	—	—	—
Heath Hembree R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	21.1%	7.2%	2.8%	.292	4.03	27.3%	18.8%	162	+0.29	2.58	382	86
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	84
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	84
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	83
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	83
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
JC Ramírez R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	17.6%	6.0%	3.5%	.266	4.69	15.9%	7.7%	188	+0.39	3.75	369	81
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	81
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	81
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	81
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	80
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	80
Ryan Tepera R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	27	SU	4.17	21.1%	7.2%	3.5%	.174	3.40	24.7%	16.0%	206	-0.77	2.35	445	80
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	80
Tristan Archer R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	27	SU	3.65	18.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.286	5.11	15.0%	6.8%	30	+1.46	2.40	321	80
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	80
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	80
John Church R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	28	SU	3.84	13.2%	5.7%	2.1%	.278	2.78	17.7%	8.4%	30	-1.06	2.78	101	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	19.2%	7.6%	1.26	4.59
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38